No, it isn't. It is still a 30+ year old Soviet surface to air missile defense system. That missile system really worked out well for Iraq when the US attacked and invaded Iraq not once but twice, didn’t it? How long did it take US forces to destroy Iraqi forces not once but twice? And you think it is going to work better for Syria?
It depends on whether the Syrians have learned new things in deployment. A poor weapon can do a great deal of damage with the right application.
As it stands, everyone knows Assad's did it. And it isn't the first time.
Probably. Without reading further in the thread, I haven't seen any connection to Assad's regime than the radio intercepts. Frankly, sarin rounds can be got or made.
Perhaps you expected a similar attack as we saw on the Kurds?
Assad has probably realised a small localised chemical weapon attacks is better. Then bombing the crap out of it after ensures the evidence degrades much faster, as he refuses the UN access to the site for 5 days to make sure nothing is found.
I'm interested to see how that's so. If tissue samples are being used to identify the gas, how would HE affect them? Regarding the previous attacks, I've seen some articles on Syria's culpability, but this evidence isn't public either - I agree with you naturally that the Israelis are good, but not mythical.
Well, they
did produce a report on an attack in March 2013 at a town called Khan-al-Assal. The report isn't available (at least not to the public and possibly to other governmental agencies), but then again neither are the American or French reports (at least not to the public). The Russians say it wasn't military grade, which is about the argument line you'd expect them to take if they're arguing the sarin was home-made, and that RDX was used as an explosive agent for distribution on impact. A CBS article argues that the sarin was
"cottage-industry" produced rather than industrially. So it's not at all impossible that the rebels made some themselves. They also claim the reason the UN team was in the area at all was to investigate the earlier attack. Finally, assuming that the Syrians
did in fact use RDX because they had a stock lying around, it would be curious to have used rockets near Aleppo and mortars (not helis and aircraft as you earlier alleged) in the Ghouta attack (this attack, that is). The
BBC reported that the rebels themselves used sarin earlier as well. Both sides may well have used it. There's another report that the Turks caught rebels sneaking sarin into Syria, but it hasn't been picked up by the major institutions and is probably false.
Never heard of McClatchky news; still, I don't think they could invent the report
itself. Had you not heard of this Russian report when you posted?
Assad's forces also bombed the site where this latest chemical attack occurred, and then denied UN inspectors access to the site for days, during which time, all evidence will have degraded. Hardly the actions of a man or regime that is free of guilt. What it shows is someone destroying evidence.
How do you know it
will have degraded? Chemical stablizers are added to sarin used in warheads, but my impression is that their half-life is fairly long.
Correction: about
five hours, apparently. That might put it within range of a delay of a few days being useful to let the evidence degrade: yet, sarin samples were recovered from tissues collected by the Russians, so I'm not sure about that.
You are the one who brought it up. Do you doubt that they are building one?
I brought it up because it reflects the state of modern credulity about WMD use and construction. I'm surprised that you do believe it; personally, I'm about 65:35 on it.
Considering they have been using chemical weapons for a while now, at what point should the world react to gross violations of international law and human rights conventions?
Well, if all parties (Russians, Americans) are to be believed, then both sides need to be interfered with. Obama would have a much harder job with Islamist forces in Syria than with the Syrians themselves, of course, but if they've used sarin themselves, they couldn't be overlooked.
This is not a mythical search for WMD's like in Iraq. This is confirmation of WMD's being used as we fret idly by.
Yes and no. Assad
does have WMDs. The rebels may too. Who used them here? The Syrians are very suspicious, but then again it's also suspicious that mortars were used for delivery when Assad has aircraft and rockets. You're big on the word "fret" - we can indeed
investigate further. Is justice delayed a few weeks justice denied? Will Assad 'get away' in the meantime? What will happen if we take a little time for further investigation?
He is using WMD's against a civilian population because they don't want him in power and wanted a democracy - free elections and all the things we take for granted - remember? That was how all of this started, when he had his troops open fire on peaceful demonstrators asking for elections.
True. His opposition is now largely comprised of religious fascists, however. I don't know what the intent of the attack was: if Syrian, to intimidate, and if not, to incriminate. That should be a saying.
So when will it stop? How far does he have to go before we deem it unacceptable enough?
I think I just said: investigate. One could at least wait until the UN samples were back. The question is also: how far are
we going to go?
I was very surprised when you linked this in, so surprised that I went to the link and checked it. You seem to be implying that I thought the US had carried out the bombings, somehow. This was
not my point at all: rather, I was impressed that
someone actually had pictures and was looking for suspicious backpacks and bags. In the succeeding post, I suggested that Jones had
unwittingly identified security personnel. As in: they were not actually involved, but were on scene to provide
security. If you care to pursue this line of inquiry, could you cite directly from those posts indicating where I thought the Americans had done it themselves, which is what you're accusing me of above? If I may offer in amused rebuttal, you seem much more familiar with Jones' conspiracy line than I.
And frankly, since when should we listen to who hates us to see how we should act? By we, I mean the West.
Then so be it. I'd just like someone to come out and publically admit that, no matter what occurs, the West will be blamed by Islamists (and other political opportunists). I'm cheered, though, that you've come around to indirectly admitting such individuals exist.
We have a situation where a man with a massive stockpile of chemical weapons is using those weapons against his own civilian population because they wanted to have free and fair elections and their desire for that ultimately led to the civil war we are seeing today. He has been using chemical weapons against his civilian for months.
Question: what were the political allegiances of the district struck?
I'm sorry, chemical weapons being used against a civilian population.
How fucking long do we need?
How about two or three weeks to be sure, before we run in and kill a couple thousand, or ten thousand if Obama does put "boots on the ground"?
Again, coming from the guy who quoted Alex Jones in his zeal to blame the US Government for the Boston bombing, you'll excuse me if I have a quiet chuckle at you accusing anyone of paranoia.
Now imagine
my mirth at finding you misrepresented me again.
Where did I advocate bombing Syria "good and flat"? Where? Can you provide a link to where I said such a thing?
Oh, just supposition, like you do to me.
There is no maybe. I provided links above. I know you read French, so it won't be an issue for you.
If I were to be truly mean, I could just pitch it on basis that you
don't read French. Yet, as you surely also know, that's not my style, so I read it. It does mention a Syrian heli attack, but other than that largely gives that which we know: that he has sarin, and that Alawite personnel are in charge of it. You could say it establishes precedent, though, sure: but not on the list of chemical warhead types are mortars, which were used in the Ghouta attack. Again, wouldn't be hard to slap together, but why didn't he just use rockets? The French report does allege air attack, but I haven't seen this from any of the eyewitness reports.
EDIT: actually, that last sentence is wrong: the French allege
conventional aerial attack only, unless I've missed something. So for the time being, that's still a no.
You don't want him to respond because the opposition and the victims are Muslims and then you criticise him for not acting sooner. My my..
How many deliberate surface misrepresentations can you cram into one sentence? This is a record. Rather than fisk you, I have simply corrected your infantile sentence below:
I don't want him to run off half-cocked because there's a less strong element of certainty about the origin of the attack (Syrian or Islamist) and because of the political fallout inevitable from any action but most specifically if it turns out that many Muslims get killed by air strikes, quite possibly more than were killed by gas. Then I criticise him [Obama] for not having a more effective diplomatic response to prevent the attack in the first place, since the Americans insist they were monitoring the situation. My my..
I left in the "my my" for free, short bus. Do you think it helps your case, doing this? You're a lawyer, aren't you? Aren't there some kinds of rules on ethical conduct for lawyers?
...good God, I just realized the complete naivety of that last sentence.
What the Gulf War has shown me is that you are cowards who refuse to act when you are meant to act
Wait: is this "you" you or "we" you?
- you know - WMD's are actually used and instead prefer to wave your dicks around saying how great you are
Oh so this is "you" you.
Not "we" you. Ok.
and when push comes to shove and you are meant to act when WMD's are used (you know, illegal under international law and all that and gross human rights violations and a war crime), you run like scared children.
Perhaps you should go back to reading Alex Jones' infowars and looking for blackwater types.
I guess you could write him about the Blackwater types if you're really so inclined. You know, you should probably check your references a little more carefully from now on. Just a suggestion.
Anyway, back to the main point: the case is growing somewhat stronger but not conclusive for the Ghouta attack being the work of the Syrians (Assad). Your links do raise some new questions. I'll try to compose a better breakdown of the evidence so far... if I ever get the time.
Writes like one, acts like one, maybe he is one.
The fellow with the high school education is criticising my use of the English language? Ok.