btimsah said:
But, earlier you stated the debris from Roswell has long been destroyed. Are you saying that if it was a space craft, it's no longer destroyed? It' exists, so where is it? What kind of double standard is that? If they would destroy evidence of a top-secret weather balloon, they sure as hell would destroy evidence of an alien vehicle.
That's exactly what I'm saying. A true alien spacecraft would have more intrinsic value than even the most elaborate of Project Mogul's other vehicles. That the crashed Mogul balloon that started the Roswell myth has been destroyed (or probably simply tossed in the trash) is easy to imagine. I haven't seen where they've bothered to keep any of the other balloons, perhaps in a museum somewhere, but in such a case I'm sure they would want a whole balloon system. But to suggest that they would destroy an alien spacecraft because they would a crashed, failed balloon (Mogul wasn't about weather, btw) is not only post hoc, but a slippery slope argument that I think most wouldn't accept.
btimsah said:
I did not read the indian story. I will dismiss that story, for the same reason you dismissed my testimony by a general.
Sure. No problem. It wasn't for you anyway; it was for the casual lurker that hasn't really made up his/her mind about UFOs and Skepticism. It serves my cause better if you don’t' read it and come up with a logical argument to counter it anyway.
btimsah said:
Yes, you believe the government's 3rd explanation of the myth. You think I'm sensational?
The government's explanation is plausible. The crashed alien craft isn't. There are far more problems with that explanation than the government's official explanation. These are problems that the UFO believer won't see, because he/she isn't interested in the physics of space flight, asking questions about the technology of an alien race that will allow them to travel untold light years only to crash on some redneck's ranch, etc.
Yes, the government's explanation is far more plausible. That's not meant to imply that the government always tells the truth, only that, in this case, given the speculations available, Project Mogul would appear most likely.
btimsah said:
When probably half the country if not more, believes ALIENS CRASHED AT ROSWELL I don't really get the point.
Half the country or more believes in the Christian god. Half the country or more believes in George W. Bush. I'd say half the country or more is pretty gullible. But if half the country or more had half an education or more, all of the above would be far less prevalent in the United States.
Your arguments keep following the
post hoc, ergo propter hoc and
non sequitur fashion: I don't believe in a government conspiracy to cover up aliens, but I accept one to cover up weather balloons, etc. This implies either an unwillingness to examine the evidence objectively or evaluate historical precedents of the actions of government entities during wartime, etc. The Cold War, while largely before your time, did exist and did create circumstances that caused a protocol of secrecy to be established in all governmental organizations, particularly the military. S2 and G2 sections of battalion and division sized elements worked to maintain operational security (OPSEC) of all functions of their units, even those without security classification.
That Project Mogul existed is expected. It had clear purpose and was precisely the kind of operation that might provide the kind of information that we needed to get regarding Soviet Atom Bomb tests. Project High Dive also was precisely the kind of experimentation you would expect in developing fighter jet ejection seats. It all had to be conducted
somewhere. The myth of Roswell centers around the White Sands Proving Grounds,
exactly where you would expect such experiments and operations to occur.
The crashed disk nonsense arose from out of two things, initially: 1) the flying saucer craze that had just begun that June with Kenneth Arnold's "sighting" and, 2) the military's secrecy and initial cover-up of a Cold War operation. The military acted
just as expected given the time period, circumstances, and OPSEC of the operations.
btimsah said:
The General's testimony, which is not third party for example, you don't believe.
Which is it? The general was a member of the government. Either you believe the government or you don't. You can't have it both ways, remember.
btimsah said:
Yet, you are more than ready to believe them without ANY PHYSICAL EVIDENCE. This is a nice try, but it's obvious you're bias has lead you to fight any and all UFO cases and make them "mundane".
Of course. It is
because there's no physical evidence that the Project Mogul/Project High Dive explanations are more credible. The more extraordinary the claim, the more extraordinary the evidence must be. The physical evidence of the two projects is lacking, but not non-existent. We have photographs and epigraphical evidence of both projects. We haven't any photographs or epigraphical evidence of a crashed disk.
btimsah said:
I don't always lean toward ETI. However, you ALWAYS lean toward a non un-explainable explanation and that is where you fail and become fanatical. SOME CASES ARE UN-EXPLAINABLE. Admitting that is okay!
I readily agree with you last two statements. In fact, I would go so far as to say that
most cases defy explanation, primarily because there simply isn't enough data. But just because they are "unexplainable" in no way implies that they are "alien."
btimsah said:
We all believe things without physical evidence chief. You believe it's the Mogul weather balloon, without physical evidence. I believe it was probably a crashed flying saucer by an ET. WITHOUT PHYSICAL EVIDENCE.
The difference is that there is evidence that Projects Mogul and High Dive existed as well as legitimate reasons for them both to exist. Moreover, the Mogul balloon (which is not a "weather" balloon, as you keep stating –it makes me think you don't actually know what you're talking about) crashed near a PROVING GROUND. In the absence of any
extraordinary evidence and with only some very
mundane evidence, it seems clear that the
extraordinary explanation is without merit. The conspiracy theories of UFO believers notwithstanding.
btimsah said:
SkinWalker said:
It has everything to do with what I wrote above. Correct me if I'm wrong:
The debris was discovered by rancher Mack Brazel on 6/14/47.
On 6/24/47, Kenneth Arnold has his "sighting" over Oregon/Washington and the press coins the term "flying saucer" based on his description.
7/4/47 marks the relative peak of the saucer hysteria in the United States.
7/5/47 is the day that Brazel hears of the saucer story.
On 7/7/47 he tells the Roswell sheriff what he found on his ranch.
Not knowing that Professor Charles Moore's Mogul Flight #4 was launched on 6/4/47 and subsequently lost, Brazel, and later Marcel, make the assumption that since there are all these 'flying saucers' about, one of them crashed. Near a military proving ground!
”
What is you're point? Yes, that's what the radio address said. "We believe we found a solution to the so called flying disk's". They reported the story as they should have.
The point is clear, but perhaps not to someone close-minded. Hysteria was in effect following Kenneth Arnold's "sighting" and Brazel's find on his ranch only fed the hysteria. A hysteria that didn't last long, and the Roswell story remained obscure until later authors profited very handsomely from book sales on the subject in the 1970s and 1980s.
btimsah said:
SkinWalker said:
I wonder how many UFO/ETI believers bother to read these authors. Some do, I'm sure.
That has nothing to do with being close-minded... What are you talking about? Close minded has to do with not letting yourself believe in something far-fetched or different, one cannot allow him/herself to even concede such a thing, because they are too close minded. If you wish to change the definition, because you don't like being called "close minded".. then okay..
Clearly "close-minded" is not allowing for
all possibilities or examining
all information objectively. You are quick to accuse me of being close-minded for not believing in an alien intelligence that has the ability to travel untold light-years to crash on some redneck's ranch in New Mexico, but when I suggest
probabilities you won't even acknowledge them.
Close-minded is the undereducated masses that believe in UFOs, Ghosts, astrology, psi, ESP, remote viewing, etc. without question.
Could UFOs be the result of alien intelligence? Sure. That is a possibility. It just hasn't shown itself to be a
plausible one, particularly with regard to Roswell.
But if you want to shut out the information and education that will shed light on such myths, yet consider yourself to be "open-minded," be my guest.