That's not exactly what the scale says:We might see a type 3 civilization, I am open to that, I am not too sure about a type 2 civilization mind you. They are capable of harnessing power from their sun (and I don't mean solar power), I don't think that would be too noticable.
TYPE II: A civilization capable of utilizing and channeling the entire radiation output of its star.
The energy utilization would then be comparable to the luminosity of our Sun, about 4 x 10 to the 26 power Watts.
http://www.coseti.org/lemarch1.htm
So YES, that much power, CHANNELED into a usable form needed by a civilization is very likely something that would stick out if it was on our side of the Galaxy if it started (and continued for a long time) somewhere within the last 50,000 years. There is no evidence of this however.
Not rule out, but no evidence of any life has been seen and we've been looking over huge times and distances, so it can be fairly reasonable to say that it is unlikely that there are any type 2/3 civilizations near us and so it's highly unlikely any civilization could have come here.I guess it really depends. We certainly have not measured enough space to rule out either civilizations.
I feel like sometimes you don't quite 'grasp' the massive landscape of the universe... it is simply huge! How you can think we would know of things by now, is beyond me!! What we have seen must only be the tip of a pin.
You cannot understand these concepts if you say the more we look into space, the more unlikely it is. To be honest, what we have seen is but a fraction, and the likelihood is still very high that there is. I say high, because of how much space there is to consider and how many planets contained therein. The amount of space we must have measured intensely must be only a few percentage, maybe less. (And I mean a proper intense study). I don't mean taking a picture where you can have loads of galaxies in one frame, like which NASA take pics of.
Well you haven't given me one reason I should consider the size of the universe.
Our own galaxy has ~300 billion suns, and is over 100,000 Light Years across in size.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milky_Way
Can you conceive of a civilization which would run out of 100s of Billions of solar systems to explore within 50,000 LY such that they felt they needed to go 2.5 MILLION light years just to explore what would be essentially the exact same type stars and planets?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andromeda_Galaxy
You might notice the definition implicit in Type 3
TYPE III
Characteristics:
Galactic Civilization.
Interstellar communication/travel.
So again, even when these definitions were created it was realized there is no reason for an advanced civilization to leave it's home Galaxy.
Or the Drake Equation, which we have discussed, is about the likelihood of communicating life in OUR Galaxy, not the Universe, etc etc.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation
Now if one considers a civilization that IS that long lived and that prolific such that they have exhausted their own Galaxy and are branching out, and are capable of travelling MILLIONS Of Light Years to the nearest other Galaxies, the CHANCES that one of those Galaxies is the Milky Way is still only roughly 1 in 40 Billion.
Compare that to the odds of winning the MegaMillion Lottery. 5 numbers are drawn from a group of 56 and 1 number from a group of 46, The chances of matching all 6 numbers to win is only 1 in 175,711,536. A piece of cake in comparison.
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