Originally posted by Xevious
Imagination is one of the most important elements of any intellectual persuit. Just how much imagination does it take when you sit and think about it, to piece togeather an extinct ecosystem in Paleontology? ... computer programmers, and musicians. ... The reason I chose these three examples is that they each also represent varying degrees of liberty one has in creativity.
In each of the examples you cited, there is one more commonality that they share. Each postulate is tested, remains testable, and can be used to predict the results of other problems. Even in the case of music, though the "test" is in the audience acceptance of the work. The predictability for "other problems" will be anticipating what an audience might continue to be receptive to.
A better analogy might be a 500-piece puzzle. As you put the puzzle together, you need to have some imagination to see the puzzles and anticipate where the pieces might fall together. But in the end, you can't force a piece to fit where you want it just because it was easier.
Originally posted by Xevious
A Paleontologist who said 20 years ago for example that a specimine of Compsognathus had feathers on it would have been highly controversial indeed, if not ridiculed. (Yes, shuch childish things happen in the ranks of Professional Scientists) The same paleontologist today, making the same claim, would recieve a far warmer review by his peers. Why such a dramatic shift in how one interprits some obscure markings inside of a limestone slab?
Simply put, this theory, while it did undergo some initial ridicule and is still held with some skepticism, withstood scrutiny by peers and provided plausible, testable hypotheses. It also created situations in which predictions could be made, namely more fossil record.
However, I do have an example of a scientific enterprise which has the same issue, and thus a precidence. It is called flourensics. In flourensics as you know, the goal is to use scientific methodology to determine all that can be factually obtained from a crime scene. However, for this to work the perpetrator of the crime must leave something behind which can be physically measured and observed. A criminal who is mindful
of this is fully capable of destroying evidence which would hint at
his crime, or implicate a differnt individual for the crime, or both. [/B][/QUOTE]
So are you saying that forensics is largely ineffective? I would think that there are many criminals who are mindful of getting caught (wear gloves, etc.), but still do. In fact, I know this to be true.
Originally posted by Xevious
Applying the same thinking to UFOlogy, where they hypothesis demands that the extraterrestrials are of a much more advanced culture and are perhaps intellectually superior to humans, it is really so difficult to think that if an intellectually superior species wanted it's presence to not be known that it would not be known?
Which is an example of the irrefutable hypothesis, making the entire study of ufo's a pseudoscientific pursuit and a wast of time. If you can never prove, why bother? If you can prove it, you must do so with the use of scientific method. Proving, however, doesn't imply (in this case) beyond all doubt. In science, proof deals more with probabilities and tenative evidence.
Originally posted by Xevious
Secondly it is as Slim stated: that many hoaxes have tainted the credibility of the whole phenomenon. There have been many hoaxes in science. The key difference is that the hoaxes in science are by and largely swepted under the rug, to be forgotten.
The difference is, these hoaxes were uncovered by peer review. Ufologists should scrutinize themselves mercilessly and uncover the hoaxes from withing to give their method more credibility.