As it stands just over 50% of UK residents have been inoculated. Border management will always be on their agenda but the arrival of the Indian variant will no doubt be used by the government to reduce vaccine resistance. Lock downs are now subject to the political and somewhat genuine desire to increase inoculations.
The vaccine roll out gives Boris J. the ability to plan to open up the economy and I do not think he will go for a hard border closure...not now any how.
The other thing to consider is that the UK is dependent on imports from the EU for many essential needs and to disrupt that again after the Brexit thingo would be cause for concern.
Because of significant vaccine uptake in the USA lock downs of states ( if even possible) is not going to happen and again any outbreak will justify more people getting inoculated which is what the government wants any how.
Here in Australia we have very poor uptake of inoculation, mainly because we haven't had any local transmission of concern for many months and people generally feel no rush ( except front line medical staff etc.) Of course we only need to have one major outbreak and vaccination resistance will diminish...
The Australian Federal government is being pressured to spend huge money on specialized dedicated quarantine facilities ( mainly for repatriation -India -World etc) but would no doubt be arguing that the billions needed would be wasted if only inoculations were more comprehensive. Basically Australia can not maintain it's isolation from the world for too long ( Hospitality industry, tourism, international University students etc) and will have to open it's borders sooner than later.
In all cases the world is relying on the effectiveness of their respective inoculation campaigns and the long term benefit of vaccines.
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