Giskard said:
I do not need a raise, I already have my plasma TV. Why do you cry over the fate of so many humans just trying to survive the next 24 hours but then scorn the only system that will stop all that.
Please don't introduce a strawman argument. The point under discussion is that my claim that the majority of the world's population is focused on surving the next 24 hours is correct and you were too narrow minded to see it until it was pointed out to you.
Giskard said:
Only if the numbers (which are conspicuously absent from your post) take into account that very few places in our galaxy are safe for a long enough time for intelligent life to develop.
You really are going to need to learn to read properly if you wish to debate with me.
Point 1: I said "
if there are alien intelligences that virtually all of them will be more advanced than us".
Point 2: You respond with another strawman argument (is that your stock in trade?) that we might be the only intelligent civilisation in the galaxy. I agree with that. I think we probably are. But that is not the condition I am considering - see point 1 above. Read it. Understand it.
Point 3: The numbers. I suggested
you do the numbers. I was crediting you with sufficient intelligence and numeracy to undertake the task. Since you lack one or other or both I present them in the next point.
Point 4: Assume 50 intelligent civilisations in the galaxy including our own. Assume average duration of civilisation is 50000 years. (If it's good enough for the Order of the Dolphin it's good enough for me.) Assume civilisations come into existence at the same rate they cease. So, currently there are four civilisations younger than us and forty five that are older.
If you want to use different assumptions you had better have a very good justification for moving from these reasonable values. Most changes will increase the number of advanced civilisations, not decrease them.
The only change you can make that will tilt this is favour of us being the oldest and most advanced is to reduce the average duration of a civilisation to below five thousand years. You can justify that?
If you are going to respond please try to do so without resorting to transparent intellectually dishonest debating tactics. Let's stick to facts or justifiable postulates and we can all be happier.