Simply if an alien race is move advanced and they developed radio technology 500 years prior to us, it causes a problem. The problem is a mixture of economics and intellectual property. For instance we say Marconi created radio, this means that an entire company has been running for years on the stock market and that the entire planet has been filled with radio technology. We assume Marconi had rights to the intellectual property since he was the one that filed the patent.
The main problem with commerce theories is that it's difficult to see what we've got to offer that's worth anything to our penile-challenged little green buddies. If ET got here, then he has the ability to harness truly rediculous outbursts of energy, and he has access to interstellar resources some billion or trillion times greater than what we have here on Earth. His ability to produce gadgets will be virtually unlimited. His technology will leave ours in the dust; so unless Earth art is a galactic hot commodity, then we've got nothing ET wants or needs.
If this musing is true, then copyright infringements become irrelevent because we've got no meaningful method by which to compensate ET for violation of his alleged patent. ET therefore can't be too worked up about it, because he knows there's no way to 'collect payment' from us that holds any interest for him.
The cop out oft used here is that aliens, being alien, think differently, and we could not undersyand their motives, but that is ridiculous, as life is about controlling and utilising resources. All animals have territory, and therefore, an alien race exploring space would have a recognisable reason...
It's a subject where we all have to cut each other slack because no one really knows anything. I too tend to reject the airy-fairy theories that try to square the circle and make ET a shy but well meaning neighbour hear to help humanity.
Blah, blah, blah. ET can solve the engineering problems inherent to pumping the energy output of a star through his ship, but he can't figure out
'See Spot Run'? Please.
ET presumably arose via natural selection on some far off world in the distant past. Hence his psychology, although almost certainly subjected to intensive genetic or biological engineering, will still conform to the evolutionary laws of nature known to dictate the actions of all life forms on Earth. ET puts his pants on just like the rest of us; one leg at a time.
So, yes, their motives would be 'otherwise', but as the myth merchants try and sell us otherwise, they need to come up with some reasons <that ET is here>
Yes, but these 'myth merchants' as you call them don't tend to bowl me over with their powers of deductive reasoning. Therefore I would tend to reject as false any conclusions based solely upon their failure to introduce a plausible scenario for why ET is here.
I'll give it a shot. Variables:
1) ET is held hostage to the laws of physics.
2) ET is hostile. Not "
run a meteor through Earth at .9c" hostile, more like "
1950's Cold War standoffish x 100" hostile. He doesn't trust us, nor ever will.
3) ET's nearest major base is, say, 3,000 light years from here.
All three of these are speculative, but I do think you'll grant that they aren't unreasonable or unlikely? ET might be a brainaic, but he's not a magician. He can't travel faster than the speed of light because nothing can. He can't trust us, because treachery and violence are inherent, hard-wired traits rooted in our basic biology - and ET knows our brain chemistry backwards and forwards. The odds do not favour his base of operations just happening to be right on top of us, do they? The galaxy is over 100,000 light years across.
I propose that ET will come here because he is a slave of Einstein's Relativity and is motivated by the security dilemma posed
by the fact that we exist. ET cannot - ever - move faster than 1 light year per year. Therefore, if ET stays home at his speculated closest major base, he cannot arrive at our doorstep any time he feels like it; he will take 3,000 years to get here,
and not a moment less.
Last time I checked, we've gone from crude steam power to putting probes out of the solar system in less than 200 years.
So my riddle is this: Within the context of the three variables I propose above, how does ET protect his security interests unless he comes here
before our technological base explodes exponentially? His closest settled planet is a hypothetical 3,000 years away. But he knows we might not need 3,000 years to figure things out and escape our Solar System. And then, how the hell is he going to put the cork back in the bottle when we have 200 billion suns
in this galaxy alone to hide amongst?
The assymetry that I propose is the limitation on ET's movement imposed by the speed of light juxtaposed to our speed of technical progress.
ET has to be here now because our technology is moving ahead far, far faster than ET can move between the stars. If he's just now grabbing his coat and running for his Foo Fighter 3,000 years from here, then ET just gave us 3,000 unsupervised years to figure out a star drive and blow this joint, did he not?