At least that's how we perceive it.
It's not like we can work with anything other than our perceptions.
At least that's how we perceive it.
But we can use our intelligence and knowledge to try to understand any difference between what it is we perceive and reality, just as we do so for optical illusions etc.It's not like we can work with anything other than our perceptions.
As explained, if you bother to read, it can be argued both ways with regard random events as to what actually causes the outcome that we perceive as random: either it is uncaused or it is caused by a hidden variable. Ask yourself what causes a specific radioactive atom to decay when it does?Actually you're entirely changing the premise that "everything is caused" to "some things are caused and some things are uncaused." How convenient. So where do you derive this premise that some things are uncaused? Random event may be indeterminate but they are still caused. Your premise that certain events are uncaused is flawed imo. There are no events that are uncaused.
it makes no difference whatsoever to the argument I presented, and your criticism here stems from your misunderstanding with regard chaotic indeterminacy as I have explained above, and my premises already allow for quantum indeterminacy (I.e. probabilistic determinism).It makes all the difference. Either it's caused but we just don't know the cause, or it is not caused at all by anything. I disagree with the latter. Randomness is simply one of many examples of causes that undetermined in regards to their outcome. Chaotic indeterminacy and quantum indeterminacy would be two others.
Of course you can qualify premises. They're called exceptions. Cause and effect is the primary assumption. That if there are also uncaused things then they are necessarily random is a qualification, an exception, and only needed if you hold to the notion that there are uncaused events.You can't qualify a premise with a premise that says the exact opposite. Your premise WAS everything has a cause. Then you add another premise, that there are uncaused events and that they are random. That's not a qualification of anything. It is contradiction of the first premise by the second premise. So which is it? Everything is caused except uncaused things? Is that your new premise?
No, that is no what I mean by initiator of action. I have already explained what I meant. It is you who equating this to mean indeterminate agent, when it have already expressly stated what is meant. Initiator of an action is one that is not itself caused. Otherwise it is just another link in the chain. So the conclusion still stands, as your objection is based on a gross misunderstanding on your part.You said an intiator of action, by which I suppose you mean an indeterminate agent, has to be either random or at the Big Bang. I pointed out that quantum states are examples of indeterminate states that neither uncaused/random nor at the big bang. So this conclusion does not follow.
Perhaps I should have written "or at least still behaves..."That's not how you stated it. Here's what you actually said:
There's no problem here. Caused events could be random, and if there are any uncaused events then they are necessarily random. So if an event is random it could be either caused or uncaused, but you would need to know more than merely "it is random" to know which it is.LOL! So let me get this straight. All events are caused. But uncaused events are random. Now caused events are random. But random events could be uncaused or caused, and it makes no difference either way. What's the problem here? Are you losing track of all the premises you are having to reintroduce into your theory just to justify the conclusion?
Hopefully now you have understood your misunderstanding of what I have said: I.e. I never said that caused events could not be random, and in fact the very nature of probabilistic determinism (remember that stated in the premises) is random but within the probability function.Not random, by your own definition of uncaused being random. I'm talking about caused indeterminate events. These would by your own terminology not be random since they are caused.
And, as barcelonic and I have both tried to explain to you and QQ, our own position leads to the same conclusion... That consciousness causes future events. That has never been disputed.I'm simply saying that every event that is caused is also a cause. That's my premise. Therefore, since consciousness itself is caused, it must also be able to cause future events. B follows A. Remember that?
You are on thinking your misunderstanding of what I said. Caused events can also be random.Your new updated premise is that all events are caused, except when they're random or uncaused. So right there you break the chain by saying there are uncaused events. There can be no relay of causation from caused events to random events.
Yep, C causes D, as we all agree.Already stated. And it entails that since consciousness is caused, it must itself cause. Thus the causal agency of consciousness on the future and its own brain processes.
Pathetic, MR. You are complaining about the inclusion of exceptions into an argument, and additional premises that are there to qualify the starting premise?Yes I did. The statements "every event has a cause" and "uncaused events are random" ARE contradictory. IOW, they cannot both be true. You're going to have do away with one of these. Qualifying one of them will do you no good here
I am referring to the philosophies of (in)determinism. What are you referring to? If you are referring to an indeterminate system then this means merely unpredictable, and you need to distinguish between the practical side (I.e. Accuracy of measurement) and the theoretical side.Wait, you do realize the distinction between a chaotically determinate system, and one that in fact causes an indeterminate outcome, and a strictly determinate universe, or one where such would be impossible? Wiki once again:
"In other words, the deterministic nature of these systems does not make them predictable."
If it is not predictable, how do we know what the numbers are?MR, I believe you have a significant point! [How significant though I am not yet sure... still thinking on it.]
Possibly an example of determinate yet unpredictable:
I am referring to the philosophies of (in)determinism. What are you referring to? If you are referring to an indeterminate system then this means merely unpredictable, and you need to distinguish between the practical side (I.e. Accuracy of measurement) and the theoretical side.
Things can be chaotic and unpredictable in a deterministic universe (I.e. Governed by the philosophical nature of determinism) only because of our inability to measure the initial conditions with sufficient accuracy. If we could then theoretically the chaotic system (ie. sensitive to initial conditions) would be predictable.
This is what Lorenz meant with regard chaotic systems, as I have explained... That if we could measure precisely we can predict precisely, but a small inaccuracy at the start equates to a significant different at the end.
And, as barcelonic and I have both tried to explain to you and QQ, our own position leads to the same conclusion... That consciousness causes future events. That has never been disputed.
But whereas your conclusion is limited to starting with consciousness as initiator, ours doesn't and it asks what caused consciousness, and takes it back further. Thus we conclude that what you conclude is just a perception.
C leads to D, sure, and that is what we all conclude.
But whereas you are content to say that C is the initiator and that there is genuine freedom in going from C to D, we just happen to say that A leads to B leads to C leads to D and does so without any possibility of genuine freedom.
But we all conclude that C leads to D.
Magical Realist said:Yes..the indeterminancy of the system itself emerges from preceding causes.
But you have yet to show how indeterminacy can lead to freewill. All you seem to do is conclude on indeterminacy and then jump from there to "thus we have freewill". Big step in the middle of all that you are missing. Care to share?
If you read the first closely they are talking about how it is modelled, not what it actually is, through their use of probabilistic distributions. As soon as you look at probabilities you of course open the model to indeterminacy.Your knowledge of chaos theory is impressive, but your conclusion that such systems are not really indeterminate is wrong. And since I'm not going to be reduced to another round of my "Yes it is" vs your "No it's not", I will instead quote various authorative articles showing how chaos involves actual ontic indeterminacy and not just epistemic indeterminacy. Let' start with this one:
You have singularly failed to provide valid reasoning as to why any of the premises are unfounded, and not only that you continually misunderstand them despite great pains to explain them repeatedly.I'm backing out of this debate with Sarkus because frankly its starting to get ridiculous, pedantic, and boring. There are so many premises, many of them contradictory AND unfounded, required to support the thesis that freewill is an illusion that just by Occam's Razor it's proving itself untenable. I otoh present only one premise, that all caused events are also causes, which leads to the conclusion that consciousness, to the extent that is caused, also causes events. This is proof of the REAL causal agency of consciousness, not an illusion of causal agency. We simply have no example in our experience of a caused process NOT being able to cause and influence future events, which appears to be the conclusion?premise?assumption?qualification? of the "freewill is an illusion" thesis. IOW, it really is true that when I choose to move my hand, the hand moves. Conscious decision is obviously causally efficacious in determining our own behavior. There is simply no basis whatsoever for dismissing it as an illusion.
If it is not predictable, how do we know what the numbers are?
The illusion of cause and effect as a premise?You have singularly failed to provide valid reasoning as to why any of the premises are unfounded, and not only that you continually misunderstand them despite great pains to explain them repeatedly.
Occam's razor would actually prefer the notion that freewill is an illusion, unless of course you define freewill merely as being what we consciously perceive. And as explained, there has never been a disagreement that that definition of freewill exists, but it also limits the understanding you can reach.
Occam's razor would prefer it because it does not require the underlying particles to operate contrary to the laws of the universe as we currently know them, as repeatedly explained.
You present one premise that concludes that consciousness is part of a causal chain. As is a rolling dice. As is each element in Newton's Cradle.
But, as is your want, you jump from "it is a cause... freewill is genuine!" with no further explanation other than repeating your notion of freewill that limits itself to what we consciously perceive.
Further, you fail to understand that whether freewill is illusory or not, because you are not consciously able to experience freewill as anything other than how we perceive it, judging it by how we perceive it is no basis for an argument - as whether it is illusory or not we experience it in the same way.
So perhaps it is better you back out as you have claimed much but offered nothing, despite your insistence to the contrary.
Nice!I guess that I would say that my choice is the result of my 'free will' if it was the uncoerced result of my own internal decision process.
Uncoerced, because if somebody holds a gun to your daughter's head and says 'Do X, or I'll kill her', that's not a free choice, even if doing X came about as a result of your own inner decision process. And if somebody's holding a gun and a sudden seizure makes their finger convulse, firing the gun, I wouldn't call that an exercise of free will, because their inner decision process wasn't involved.
That needn't mean that free choices are uncaused. It needn't even mean that they are locally indetermined. Most of those who argue for the reality of free-will (I'm one of them) would agree that our choices come about as the result of our understanding of the situations we are in, along with our intentions, opinions, emotions, preexisting knowledge and so on. Those kind of things determine our choices and makes them something very different than random rolls of the dice.
And I believe that kind of psychologistic language makes sense of an underlying neurophysiological process that's entirely naturalistic. I'm sure that causality applies to it at that level. (I'm far more of a physicalistic reductionist than many here.)
What champions of free-will are typically arguing against isn't causality so much as it's fatalism. That's the idea that all of our choices were basically imposed on us from outside, because they were already fully determined before we were even born, and likely at the time of the big-bang itself. It's essentially the idea that our own internal decision processes and the choices they seemingly result in are illusory, nothing more than a row of causal dominoes falling down. It's also seems to imply that individuals have no responsibility for their actions and that human life is little more than puppets being jerked around by their strings.
That's where the idea of indeterministic or probabilistic causality is relevant. It allows us to continue saying that every state, event or whatever it is, is the result of an immediately preceeding cause, without necessarily committing ourselves to the thesis that everything that happens right now was already predetermined by the state of the universe in the more remote past.
I think that very likely there's an element of novelty and unpredictability to how things evolve. Put another way, even if we could know the state of the universe in the more remote past with all the accuracy physically possible, we couldn't predict precisely how the universe will evolve subsequently. If we could reproduce the physical state of the big-bang with all of the accuracy physically possible and then fire it off a second time, the new universe would very likely evolve in a very different way than this one, despite the initial conditions being as close to the same as physically possible (I'm thinking of quantum-style indeterminacy here).
Returning to the idea of free-will, let's say that 'free-will' means that our decisions are the uncoerced result of our own inner neurophysiological decision process (however neuroscience eventually explains it) reacting to the situations that we find ourselves in. If indeterminate or probabilistic causality suggests that the situations that we find ourselves in and our own neurophysiological states that causally react to them weren't already predetermined in all of their details long before the situations even came up and perhaps before we were even born, causality (in the less deterministic sense) would seem to be consistent with the existence of free-will in the naturalistic sense I favor.
In other words, I see us as physiological organisms that are in the position of having to react to their environment in real time, ad-hoc. We find ourselves in the position of having to make real choices, choices that weren't already predetermined for us long ago. What happens in our heads matters and our actions and behavior arise from that process.
To the extent that there's still physical determinism, it's the situation that we find ourselves in along with our own intentions, understanding and passions that are determining what we do. If we try to push things back, asking what determined that situation and those inner states, we can probably make it work reasonably well for short temporal distances. But if we push harder, moving further into the past, I suspect that things will get fuzzier and recede into unpredictability pretty fast. That's consistent with our ability to talk about people's personalities and tendencies and our ability to use those to kind of roughly predict in a probabilistic way the kind of things that the other person might possibly do further out in the future. When it comes to predicting what some unborn person is going to do 200 years from now, we're in the dark.
I'm saying that I think that those kind of commonplace observations are likely a pretty accurate description of how many of the more complex sort of natural events evolve. The opposing determinist argument seems to depend on the existence of hidden variables that supposedly still precisely predetermine everything, even if human beings can't know them and despite things not exactly looking that way in our lives. But if we can't know it, then why have faith in that metaphysical belief? Why insist that all our free-will intuitions are just "illusions"?
Obviously I don't know all the things that I just wrote either, but at least it's consistent with how reality looks to me, consistent both with how I perceive my own decision process and with my understanding of science. That's why I prefer my version.
I can't be held responsible for your inaccuracies.Your semantical tapdancing is really starting to nauseate me..
Yes it is.Uh no..calculating out the next digit of pi isn't predicting anything.
I repeat, if you are referring to the system of using the previous digits to try to establish the next, then yes, as stated up front, it is unpredictable.Prediction means to be able to know in advance. In advance of what? In advance of knowing what the next digit is by calculating it out. Got it? The sequence of pi's digits is totally unpredictable and random. Any math teacher can tell you that.
Are you talking about the temporal nature of cause and effect being illusory? If so, then it may be, but the illusory nature does not impact the argument presented. Time is irrelevant to the argument which purely premises that events are caused (and I know we use temporal language, but that is because if time is illusory it is a damn good one and our language has developed around it).The illusion of cause and effect as a premise?
Or are you claiming "cause and effect" are existent?
Please define "nothingness" and show that it is a possibility that requires consideration.Also how can "nothing" cause anything?
Is "nothingness" an illusion too?
nah! If you were truly interested in the subject at hand, you would define it yourself. You would also explore the ramifications to your position.Please define "nothingness" and show that it is a possibility that requires consideration.
well that says a lot hey?If you mean that the concept of events causing another (even if it all happens at time t=0) is the illusion, then the argument would not hold up, since its premise is that cause and effect holds. If you disagree with the premises, as I said from the outset, you will reach a different conclusion. I have no issue with that. Never have. But if you accept the premises then I think the argument holds.
Not sure I'm following all this, but you think it requires creativity to provide evolution? As in biological evolution?One thing I do know and believe quite strongly is that "creativity" is directly related to oppression of freedom. The essence of creativity is freewill.
The predetermination of the existence of freewill is essential for sustainable evolutionary success. As it takes creativity to provide the evolution.
Do you think plants have freewill?With out free will this universe would be entirely dead, as life and (pro)creativity are directly associated.
"Random selection"? You need to be careful that when you refer to random you are no merely referring to a pseudo-randomness - i.e. which looks random due to our lack of knowledge, but which might actually be determined.To say that evolution is a fully determined process contradicts the current believe in random selection
I am not sure I understand how you are using or understanding the term freewill, if you think that genetic diversity in our features requires freewill.So we have a paradox, of those believing in a fully deterministic universe and the simultaneously held belief in Darwinism.
It is also why one face [organism) is never absolutely and exactly the same as another. [therefore infinite diversity requires freewill [determined in-determinism] to be a reality and not a mere illusion]
Validity as in whether his conclusions logically flow from his assumptions (irrespective of the soundness of his assumptions)? I don't know his works sufficiently to comment.@ Sarkus,
Do you hold to the belief in the validity of Darwinism?
The use of the Pi digits was only to exemplify the issue of determined indeterminism to the debate... why have you missed this?I can't be held responsible for your inaccuracies.
Yes it is.
Prediction applies to a system. You have assumed the system to be "look at the previous digits and try to establish the next state (i.e. predict the Nth digit)".
Other systems exist in which Pi is predictable. And it is so predictable that we can actually establish it with 100% accuracy.
We merely need to use algorithms.
I repeat, if you are referring to the system of using the previous digits to try to establish the next, then yes, as stated up front, it is unpredictable.
But that does not make Pi unpredictable... only that system (of trying to guess digits from the preceeding ones, which will be the system referred to in any quote you try to post).
Pi is a number. It exists as a number independent of any calculation. It is not a system in and of itself. It can not therefore, in and of itself, be "unpredictable".
There exist numerous systems of trying to predict the next digit: one of which is using previous numbers. And in this regard, the next digit is unpredictable.
But there exist systems of establishing the next digit that do not rely on the previous numbers, and they can have 100% predictive ability, which is why we can use them to actually calculate those digits.
But heck, you'll just refer to this as semantic tapdancing.