Source: SeattlePI.com
Link: http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/opinion/207765_fisk14.html
Title: "Fear and voting in Baghdad"
Date: January 14, 2005
British journalist Robert Fisk paints with words such an image of Baghdad that we might wonder if neo-impressionism is about to rise in the 21<sup>st</sup> century. His January 14 correspondence from Baghdad brings tales of an Iraq so mired in conflict that universities are hamstrung, motorists are clashing with police over fuel queues, and twenty-floor security walls are being built around commercial centers. And as even an old associate of Fisk's, a publisher, gives his reasons for not voting in the upcoming, at least you can get a pizza in under ten minutes.
Baghdad may be a city of clichés, but one of those clichés is also that Baghdad seems a city of contradictions.
It seems a rough time in Baghdad, and we can only wish voters the best of fortune. The upshot, however, is that Americans watching this drama play out, either first-hand or through the news media, need not worry about American prestige; such concerns right now seem both selfish and pointless.
A glance at the numbers marking the last forty years of federal elections in the United States shows that 1996, at 49.1% nationwide turnout, was the lowest of the sample in a presidential cycle. Off-cycles, however, have dipped as low as 36.4%, in 1998 and 1986. The numbers compare to voting-age population estimates, not voter-registration figures.
With more than half the Iraqi population represented by four provinces in danger of not being able to fully participate in the election, one wonders if Iraq can get a voter turnout number rivaling even our most apathetic years here in the states.
No wonder the Bush administration wants to play down the turnout numbers.
In the meantime, Election Day approaches, and what comes after is yet to be written. Hopefully, we will see new clichés installed in Baghdad: a city of brotherhood, a city of freedom, a city of enlightenment.
Have the bookies formulated a betting system for what happens next?
____________________
Notes:
See Also -
Link: http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/opinion/207765_fisk14.html
Title: "Fear and voting in Baghdad"
Date: January 14, 2005
Journalism yields a world of clichés but here, for once, the first cliché that comes to mind is true. Baghdad is a city of fear. Fearful Iraqis, fearful militiamen, fearful American soldiers, fearful journalists.
Jan. 30, that day upon which the blessings of democracy will shower upon us, is approaching with all the certainty and speed of doomsday ....
.... At the al-Hurriya intersection Tuesday morning, four truckloads of Iraqi national guardsmen -- the future saviors of Iraq, according to President Bush -- are passing my car. Their rifles are porcupine quills, pointing at every motorist, every Iraqi on the pavement, the Iraqi army pointing their weapons at their own people. And they are all wearing masks -- black hoods or ski masks or kuffiyas that leave only slits for frightened eyes.
Just before it collapsed finally into the hands of the insurgents last summer, I saw exactly the same scene in the streets of Mahmoudiya, south of Baghdad. Now I am watching them in the capital.
SeattlePI.com
British journalist Robert Fisk paints with words such an image of Baghdad that we might wonder if neo-impressionism is about to rise in the 21<sup>st</sup> century. His January 14 correspondence from Baghdad brings tales of an Iraq so mired in conflict that universities are hamstrung, motorists are clashing with police over fuel queues, and twenty-floor security walls are being built around commercial centers. And as even an old associate of Fisk's, a publisher, gives his reasons for not voting in the upcoming, at least you can get a pizza in under ten minutes.
Baghdad may be a city of clichés, but one of those clichés is also that Baghdad seems a city of contradictions.
I glance at the Iraqi press. U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell is again warning of "civil war" in Iraq. Why do we westerners keep threatening civil war in a country whose society is tribal rather than sectarian? Of all papers, it is the Kurdish Al Takhri, loyal to Mustafa Barzani, which asks the same question. "There has never been a civil war in Iraq," the editorial thunders. And it is right. So "full ahead both" for the dreaded Jan. 30 elections and democracy.
The American generals -- with a unique mixture of mendacity and hope amid the insurgency -- are now saying that only four of Iraq's 18 provinces may not be able to "fully" participate in the elections. Good news. Until you sit down with the population statistics and realize -- as the generals, of course, all know -- that those four provinces contain more than half the population of Iraq.
SeattlePI.com
It seems a rough time in Baghdad, and we can only wish voters the best of fortune. The upshot, however, is that Americans watching this drama play out, either first-hand or through the news media, need not worry about American prestige; such concerns right now seem both selfish and pointless.
A glance at the numbers marking the last forty years of federal elections in the United States shows that 1996, at 49.1% nationwide turnout, was the lowest of the sample in a presidential cycle. Off-cycles, however, have dipped as low as 36.4%, in 1998 and 1986. The numbers compare to voting-age population estimates, not voter-registration figures.
With more than half the Iraqi population represented by four provinces in danger of not being able to fully participate in the election, one wonders if Iraq can get a voter turnout number rivaling even our most apathetic years here in the states.
No wonder the Bush administration wants to play down the turnout numbers.
In the meantime, Election Day approaches, and what comes after is yet to be written. Hopefully, we will see new clichés installed in Baghdad: a city of brotherhood, a city of freedom, a city of enlightenment.
Have the bookies formulated a betting system for what happens next?
____________________
Notes:
Fisk, Robert. "Fear and voting in Baghdad". SeattlePI.com, January 14, 2005. See http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/opinion/207765_fisk14.html
See Also -
InfoPlease.com. "National Voter Turnout in Federal Elections: 1960 - 2000". See http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0781453.html