II. APPELLANTS’ ARGUMENT THAT AMICI’S CONCLUSION THAT A CATASTROPHIC EVENT AT THE LHC IS “UNLIKELY” SUPPORTS PLAINTIFFS’ CLAIMS IS BASED ON A FUNDAMENTAL MISUNDERSTANDING OF THE NATURE OF SCIENCE
Appellants argue that: “Merely being ‘unlikely’ or ‘very unlikely’ that the LHC will create conditions that destroy Earth is every reason not to proceed with the experiment unless and until it can be proven to be impossible to destroy the Earth.” (Appellants’ Brief at 11 (emphasis supplied)). Appellants’ proposed standard, that for something to be safe experts must conclude that an accident is “impossible”, betrays Appellants’ fundamental misunderstanding of the nature of science.
As Nobel laureate in Physics Richard Feynman put it, “Scientists, therefore, are used to dealing with doubt and uncertainty. All scientific knowledge is uncertain. This experience with doubt and uncertainty is important. I believe that it is of very great value, and one that extends beyond the sciences. I believe that to solve any problem that has never been solved before, you have to leave the door to the unknown ajar. You have to permit the possibility that you do not have it exactly right. Otherwise, if you have made up your mind already, you might not solve it.” Feynman, R. P. The Meaning of It All: Thoughts of a Citizen-Scientist 26-27 (1999).
The Supreme Court has recognized that “it would be unreasonable to conclude that the subject of scientific testimony must be ‘known’ to a certainty; arguably, there are no certainties in science. See, e.g., Brief for Nicolaas Bloembergen et al. as Amici Curiae at 9 (‘Indeed, scientists do not assert that they know what is immutably ‘true’-- they are committed to searching for new, temporary theories to explain, as best they can, phenomena’).” Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 509 U.S. 579, 590 (1993) (footnote omitted). As the Bloembergen amici went on to explain: “in science accepted ‘truth’ is not a constant . . . it evolves, either gradually or discontinuously. . . . An hypothesis can be falsified or disproved, but cannot, ultimately, be proven true because knowledge is always incomplete. An hypothesis that is tested and not falsified is corroborated, but not proved. Thus, scientific statements or theories are never final and are always subject to revision or rejection. See L. Loevinger, “Standards of Proof in Science and Law”, 32 Jurimetrics J. 327 (1992). . . .” Brief of Amici Curiae Nicolaas Bloembergen, et al. at 12-13, filed in Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 509 U.S. 579 (1993), 1993 WL 13006286 (January 19, 1993); see also L. Loevinger, “The Distinctive Functions of Science and Law,” 24 Interdisciplinary Science Reviews 87 (1999). “Even the most robust and reliable theory, however, is tentative. A scientific theory is forever subject to reexamination and -- as in the case of Ptolemaic astronomy --may ultimately be rejected after centuries of viability.” Brief of 72 Nobel Laureates and Others, filed in Edwards v. Aguillard, 482 U.S. 578 (1987), 1986 WL 727658 (August 18, 1986). [[Indeed, the ancient motto of the Royal Society of London for the Improvement of Natural Knowledge (commonly known as the “Royal Society”), founded in 1663 and probably the earliest society for the advancement of scientific knowledge, is “Nullius in Verba,” which has been translated by the renowned physicist Freeman Dyson (in 55 New York Review of Books, Number 10 (June 12, 2008)) as "Nobody's word is final," signifying a commitment to knowledge through experiment rather than through dogma or doctrine.]]
Appellants note that amici are not “absolutely certain” that there is no risk and they imply that our views should therefore be disregarded. As scientists, we would be abusing the meaning of “absolute” or “certainty” if we had written that there was no chance of any event occurring in the future, because there is nothing absolutely certain about our understanding of the future. To claim that something is “absolutely safe” is incorrect usage and we studiously declined to play this word game in our brief to the district court or in this brief to this Court.
However, we are content to tell this Court, as we did the district court, that the issue of the safety of the LHC has been properly raised by its proponents. It has been extensively examined and discussed by many of the brightest minds that have addressed the issue. The particular concerns raised by the Appellants are not correct.
Amici believe that the procedure for addressing the safety issue was proper and followed and follows the highest standards scientists have yet developed. Whereas we do not say that it is “absolutely safe,” we have no qualms about endorsing the operation of the LHC to our colleagues, our friends, to this Court, and to the world.