Pinball1970
Valued Senior Member
Just a correction "What Evolution is," is E Mayr. My spell check prefers "Mary" for that combination.
Yes, caused a stir in the 1970s but now is not in an overview. I will check more though.Hmm, so the implication is it's quite an arcane issue, debated among experts but with little impact on the essentials of the theory. Much as I suspected.
I just hate long winded analogies, by the time you have explained them, you may as well just have taken the time to talk about the science.Lol! Yeah, he does talk about baseball a lot. Not very interesting to we limeys.
I will check that out thanks.You won't do much better than his 2007 "Punctuated Equilibrium" for an overview of recent discussions here
Might sell well in S Asia, though.Yes, caused a stir in the 1970s but now is not in an overview. I will check more though.
I also need to check what the great man himself said about his own theory.
I have two books from him but I find him difficult to read, he is obsessed with baseball!
I am not interested in Baseball so I really do not want a description of it in an intro to a biology book.
Imagine if Dawkins wrote a book on Evolution and the intro was about cricket?
His publisher would certainly have words!
[...] Scientists meanwhile continue, as a matter of course, to spread the untruth -- whether known to them or not -- that scientific theories can be falsified, indeed, they continue, this is precisely what distinguishes science from pseudoscience, metaphysics, "woo" stuff, religion, or whatever.
[...] Obviously, appeal to falsifiability or unfalsifiability is almost irresistible in its seductiveness, allowing scientists to dismiss out of hand anything they don't like. -- "It's unfalsifiable, therefore it's not science, therefore it's crap." [...] How about you, CC? Any thoughts?
I just hate long winded analogies [about baseball], by the time you have explained them, you may as well just have taken the time to talk about the science.
They can be useful if used sparingly.
I will check that out thanks.
"Facts do not 'speak for themselves'; they are read in the light of theory."
"The new orthodoxy [of plate tectonics] colors our vision of all data; there are no 'pure facts' in our complex world."
- essay "The Validation of Continental Drift", found in "The Richness of Life"
And because a main hypothesis may sometimes need support from background assumptions (auxiliary hypotheses), reciprocal tweaks in the latter may allow it to stay in play as a contender, after a test fail. Or again -- like an octopus, maybe it has so many arms prowling in various areas that chopping one off doesn't kill the beast.
axocanth said:Is the theory of punctuated equilibrium a gamechanger for evolutionary biology?
If 'punctuated equilibrium' is merely jargon for the sudden appearance of species in the fossil record, then it would lack explanatory force. It adds nothing to our understanding to say that the sudden appearance of species in the fossil record is explained by the sudden appearance of species in the fossil record.
But in fairness to those who proposed the idea, I think that it has more content than that. I think that their idea is that species gradually become highly adapted to their ecological niches. Being highly adapted, these populations experience very little selective 'force', we might say, and experience little evolutionary change over long periods of time. They are in a sort of adaptive equilibrium. But if the environment changes, such as Darwin's finches moving to a new island offering different foodstuffs, or perhaps the long-ago transformation of African forest to savannas that's hypothetically forced humanity's ancestors down out of the trees, then selective pressures might suddenly increase, leading to what might later look like a sudden spurt of evolution.
I don't see that as a game-changer, since it's exactly what we would expect on Darwinian principles.
If I remember correctly, what originally brought us to where we are today -- besides delicious serendipity -- was the claim that macroevolution reduces to microevolution.
The PE crowd claims it does not. (The evo-devo people too), TheVat posted a link to another commentator who feels that cases of irreducible macroevolutionary process are rare but nonetheless real.
Perhaps the significance has not sunk in yet. If these guys are right then, rare or not, the reduction fails. It's the same effect that a measly single black swan has on the assertion "All swans are white" - i.e. catastrophic!
A similar thing happens in the philosophy of mind with attempts to reduce the mental to the physical. If something is left out (e.g. qualia) in this putative reduction, then the reduction fails, physicalism is wrong, and it's the end of the world.
The received legend about this paper -- I really do wonder how many colleagues have ever based their comments on reading this article with any care, or even at all -- holds that I wrote a propagandistic screed featuring two outrageously exaggerated claims: first, the impending death of the Modern Synthesis; and second, the identification of punctuated equilibrium as the exterminating angel (or devil).
[ . . . ]
Given the furor provoked, I would probably tone down -- but not change in content -- the quotation that has come to haunt me in continual miscitation and misunderstanding by critics: "I have been reluctant to admit it -- since beguiling is often forever -- but if Mayr's characterization of the synthetic theory is accurate, then that theory, as a general proposition, is effectively dead, despite its persistence in textbook orthodoxy. (I guess I should have written the blander and more conventional "due for a major reassessment" or "now subject to critical scrutiny and revision" rather than "effectively dead.")
Yes, the rhetoric was too strong (if only because I should have anticipated the emotional reaction that would then preclude careful reading of what I actually said). But I will defend the content of the quotation as just and accurate. First of all, I do not claim that the synthetic theory of evolution is wrong, or headed for complete oblivion on the ashheap of history; rather, I contend that the synthesis can no longer assert full sufficiency to explain evolution at all scales (remember that my paper was published in a paleo-biological journal dedicated to studies of macroevolution). Two statements in the quotation should make this limitation clear. First of all, I advanced this opinion only with respect to a particular, but (I thought) quite authoritative, definition of the synthesis: "if Mayr's characterization of the synthetic theory is accurate." Moreover, I had quoted Mayr's definition just two paragraphs earlier. The definition begins Mayr's chapter on "species and trans-specific evolution" from his 1963 classic -- the definition that paleobiologists would accept as most applicable to their concerns. Mayr wrote (as I explicitly quoted): "The proponents of the synthetic theory maintain that all evolution is due to the accumulation of small genetic changes, guided by natural selection, and that transspecific evolution is nothing but an extrapolation and magnification of the events that take place within populations and species."
Second, I talked about the theory being dead "as a general proposition," not dead period. In the full context of my commentary on Mayr's definition, and my qualification about death as a full generality, what is wrong with my statement? I did not proclaim the death of Darwinism [note terminology! - axo], or even of the strictest form of the Modern Synthesis. I stated for an audience interested in macroevolutionary theory, that Mayr's definition (not the extreme statement of a marginal figure, but an explicit characterization by the world's greatest expert in his most famous book) --with its two restrictive claims for (1) "all evolution" due to natural selection of small genetic changes, and (2) transspecific evolution as "nothing but" the extrapolation of microevolutionary events -- must be firmly rejected if macroevolutionary theory merits any independent status, or features any phenomenology requiring causal explanation in its own domain. If we embrace Mayr's definition, then the synthesis is "effectively dead" "as a general proposition" -- that is, as a theory capable of providing a full and exclusive explanation of macroevolutionary phenomena. Wouldn't most evolutionary biologists agree with my statement today?
Nonetheless, I was reviled in many quarters, and in prose far more intemperate and personal than anything I ever wrote, for proclaiming the death of Darwinism, and the forthcoming enshrinement of my own theory as a replacement.
Pinball, have you got a hold of Gould's "Punctuated Equilibrium" yet? In what follows, I'll be drawing from and quoting from pages 329 -331 (some sentences omitted for brevity).
My intention in this post is merely to express my initial ideas regarding the subject line, not the rest of the opening post.
First, is punctuated equilibrium really a theory? I'm presently inclined (it could change tomorrow) to think of theories as explanatory contexts that serve to explain and make sense of observations of particular instances. Newton's physics would be a theory in that way, since it allows us to make sense of all kinds of physical observations, turning them into examples of various theoretical Newtonian principles in action.
But in fairness to those who proposed the idea, I think that it has more content than that. I think that their idea is that species gradually become highly adapted to their ecological niches. Being highly adapted, these populations experience very little selective 'force', we might say, and experience little evolutionary change over long periods of time. They are in a sort of adaptive equilibrium. But if the environment changes, such as Darwin's finches moving to a new island offering different foodstuffs, or perhaps the long-ago transformation of African forest to savannas that's hypothetically forced humanity's ancestors down out of the trees, then selective pressures might suddenly increase, leading to what might later look like a sudden spurt of evolution.
I don't see that as a game-changer, since it's exactly what we would expect on Darwinian principles.
I'm glad you [Yazata] raised this because I'm stuck for an answer! The PE view is quite clear that stasis is the norm, though why this is so . . . um, I'll be re-reading Gould's "Punctuated Equilibrium" soon, let you know what I find, and whether it tallies with what you say above.
Theoretical constructs that cover or help explain a broad variety of things obviously aren't going to be abandoned or significantly disparaged in importance because of one of their predictions (or whatever) being falsified in one of those particular nooks. And some continue to be invaluable tools, like Newton's innovations not becoming obsolete.
Never been sure if there is any sense in which GR "overthrows" Newtonian. Certainly the instrumentalist view is that it's an upgrade to handle high velocities and large masses and so on. But are there really any epistemologists out there who would have such a narrow definition of truth that they couldn't acknowledge that GR is more a patch than a contradiction? In your Smith and Jones contention, I would say Smith is probably just wrong and should concede Jones's point. Overthrown, after all, isn't all that ambiguous in its meaning - it sorta means tossed in the wastebasket, no longer of use. Overthrown dictators don't hang around the palace dispensing helpful nuggets of wisdom. But that clearly isn't the case with Newtonian fizz.In an epistemological sense, if one asserts the truth of relativist physics then -- on pain of inconsistency -- one must assert the falsity of Newtonian mechanics. To nail your epistemological colors to one is to say that the other has been overthrown. They cannot both be true. "Overthrown" = no longer believed.
In an instrumental sense, by contrast, the purchasing of a new electric drill no more overthrows your old hand drill than Einstein does Newton, indeed the old drill might even be more useful for certain applications, e.g. drilling a hole when Louise is sleeping and you don't want to wake her up. Awwww!.