It is neither Handwaving nor a muddle. Imagine the "decision" being whatever your television is showing at a given time in the future (say 10 seconds from now). The system required to show that picture is far larger than the television (the broadcaster etc) but nothing beyond 10 light seconds can possibly affect that picture. The closer in time you get to the point of decision, the smaller the sphere of influence. Until at the time of decision the picture is what it is.
Is that still too difficult for you to understand?
Drop the word "actually" - it's confusing you. (It's bringing in that supernatural assumption you keep denying you are making - it's synonymous. By "actual" you mean "supernatural").
You mean it's confusing you. And there is no assumption of supernatural, but it is a conclusion for the strictly deterministic system, as per the logic initially set out by Baldeee. By "actually free" I mean that is more than merely the belief and perception of being free, for example.
The human approaching the traffic light has - at that moment, prior to making the decision, prior to the light changing color - the ability to stop or go. That's a physical fact. To verify, run the situation several times with different light colors, and record the outcomes. Nobody's "beliefs" are involved.
Ah, is this the indeterministic system that you say isn't indeterministic? And you call me confused!
But that's not the situation. We have the same inputs leading to the same outputs, always and by assumption.
So the same light colour always leads to the same response by the driver? If yes, how is that an ability to do otherwise? If no, how is that not an indeterministic system (same inputs leading to different outputs)?
If your answer to the latter is that the inputs so are different then you are again not actually looking at whether there is an actual ability to do otherwise, but only in how it appears.
So we don't have indeterminism - indeterminism would be an illusion, here.
You're catching on. Something can be considered an illusion if it appears to be contrary to what it actually is.
And since determinism means that all our actions are set in stone aeons ago, where is this ability to do otherwise?
But I do. It's just that a mistake like that has nothing to do with this thread. The example of the driver approaching a traffic light does not appear indeterminate, for example.
It very much does. Same input but different output. That is almost the definition of indeterminate. But, because we know the system is deterministic (in a strictly deterministic universe) we can deduce that the different output must have been caused by different inputs - inputs that we were otherwise not aware of. And because we weren't aware of them, how can we possibly say from such a system and our view of it, that it is showing an actual ability to do otherwise?
We are not interested in the freedom or lack of freedom that your mythically closed system may or may not possess. It's irrelevant.
Is the human making the decision, or not? Because the human being is an open system, and if the human being is making the decision an open system is making the decision.
And it "actually" is, observably, making a decision. You can record the brain waves. Physics.
For the last time: no one has disputed that the process of making a decision occurs!
Was my post that confusing? Here - reread:
Can I dumb it down some more? Let's try: Different outputs demonstrate different inputs, by deduction from the deterministic assumption - your deterministic assumption. I got it from you. It's already done - no "good luck" involved, no further effort necessary.
So you didn't catch my "especially in our actual universe which isn't strictly deterministic". Your response of "it's called science" and bravado that it was possible thus included that scenario, thus I continue to offer you good luck in trying to show that, in our universe of indeterminacy, different outputs always mean different inputs.
However, if you were only referring to the case of strict determinism, then yes, you could indeed deduce that the different outputs were the result of different inputs. And thus the appearance of indeterminism (when one only looks at the inputs one is aware of) is illusory (I.e. Appears indeterministic but is actually deterministic).
Good, we've got that settled.
So, show me how the "science" that you refuse to link to shows that the process of the will is actually able to do otherwise, given that any difference in output from the same inputs that we are aware of must mean that there are other inputs we are not aware of? If they can't rerun the experiment with those exact same inputs (both those we are aware of and those we are not aware of) then where is the control to be able to argue that we have the ability to do otherwise?
Instead, all that we can conclude is that yes, freewill is a process that's we can observe in the lab, but at best it is only "free" with regard the causes that we are aware of. But know that this freedom, this indeterminacy, is illusory, because the system (when considering all inputs, not just those we are aware of) is deterministic.