- leopold claims to understand the definitions of macroevolution and microevolution
- leopold claims to understand the 1980 conference reported on by Roger Lewin in Science
- leopold claims that all 50 scientists are logically and legally bound to forever have the dogmatic views about macroevolution and microevolution that leopold ascribes to them based on second-hand reports as leopold not only refuses to read their actual writings from 1980 but denies that they have a right to point out that Roger Lewin seems to have misquoted them and that the quote makes no logical sense.
leopold has been doing this for [POST=2716879]over 2 years[/POST], in the face of all evidence, so it is clear he is being driven by dogmatic adhesion to a creed and not evidence and logic.
leopold reads this
According to the traditional position, therefore, if sedimentation and fossilization did indeed encapsulate a complete record of prehistory, then it would reveal the postulated transitional organisms. But it isn't and it doesn't.
and thinks "it" means "evolution" when a sensible reading is that "it" means "sedimentation and fossilization."
leopold reads this
In a generous admission Francisco Ayala, a major figure in propounding the Modern Synthesis in the United States, said: "We would not have predicted stasis from population genetics, but I am now convinced from 884 what the paleontologists say that small changes do not accumulate."
and he thinks Roger Lewin is (via his purported quote of Francisco Ayala) communicating a statement of fact. Actually, what is being conveyed is a distorted description of
punctuated equilibrium -- a mechanism which imposes a non-trivial rhythm on the rate of phylogenetic change in the fossil record. This idea was only 8 years old in 1980 and it was already strongly convincing. When you have a large and successful population during a long period which lacks disasters, there is no adaptational pressure and thus small changes don't
tend to accumulation in
any particular direction and the size of the population buffers it against genetic drift, so the distinctive phenotype can persist
in some cases over millions of generations, and this is what is meant by "stasis" in punctuated equilibrium. None of the mechanisms of evolution (variation, competition, natural selection, mutation) have been turned off but since the population is large and successful it tends to stick with that success than to wander off. (leopold used to think the "884" had more significance than a page-number preserved by lazy cut-and-paste even though his other quotes were weirdly hyphenated due to the same cut-and-paste procedure.)
In reality, Roger Lewin was not at the conference as a scientist but rather as a reporter. News reports, even in peer-reviewed journals of good reputation, are not peer-reviewed articles. And even peer-reviewed articles are by no means guaranteed to be infallible -- some amount to no more than describing a line of enquiry, some have typos in data, some have important calibration errors. Science isn't a collection of journal articles -- science is the process of improving human understanding of the universe by throwing out the ideas that don't work. And leopold is not doing science since he should have thrown out the idea that he understood this topic two years ago.
But it is
irrelevant that you claim your post was edited, since [POST=2716892]the very next post[/POST] double-discredits your news coverage with a quote from the purported author of the source and the paper that was presented at the 1980 conference. You therefore made
no true observation and your post and any editing of it was irrelevant in 1980, 2001, 2011 or today. A news article is not peer-reviewed scientific research and a purported quote lacks the authority of stating an authors opinion that his own writings have. Here is the relevant rebuttal:
http://www.noanswersingenesis.org.au/another_creationist_out_of_context_quote.htm
Dr Francisco Ayala said:
I don't know how Roger Lewin could have gotten in his notes the quotation he attributes to me. I presented a paper/lecture and spoke at various times from the floor, but I could not possibly have said (at least as a complete sentence) what Lewin attributes to me. In fact, I don't know what it means. How could small changes NOT accumulate! In any case, virtually all my evolutionary research papers evidence that small (genetic) changes do accumulate.
The paper that I presented at the conference reported by Lewin is virtually the same that I presented in 1982 in Cambridge, at a conference commemorating the 200 [sic] anniversary of Darwin's death. It deals with the claims of "punctuated equilibrium" and how microevolutionary change relates to macroevolution. (I provide experimental results showing how one can obtain in the laboratory, as a result of the accumulation of small genetic changes, morphological changes of the magnitude observed by paleontologists and presented as evidence of punctuated equilibrium.) The paper was published as part of the conference proceedings:
Ayala, F.J. 1983.
Microevolution and macroevolution. In: D.S. Bendall, ed., Evolution from Molecules to Men (Cambridge University Press), pp. 387-402.
More accessible are two papers dealing with the same topic, written with my colleague G.L. Stebbins: Stebbins, G.L. and F.J. Ayala. 1981. Is a new evolutionary synthesis necessary?
Science 213:967-971. (I quote from the abstract of the paper:
"Macroevolutionary processes are underlain by microevolutionary phenomena and are compatible with the synthetic theory of evolution." But, please, read the whole paper to get the wealth of results and ideas that we are discussing; and read also the following paper:
"Stebbins, G.L. and F.J. Ayala. 1985. The Evolution of Darwinism.
Sci. American 253:72-82."
You may quote from this letter so long as you don't quote out of context or incomplete sentences.
Reading Ayala's 1983 article, we see on page 392 his breakdown of leopold's question:
Francisco Ayala said:
The issue 'whether the mechanisms underlying microevolution can be extrapolated' to macroevolution involves, at least, three separate questions. (1) Whether microevolutionary processes operate (and have operated in the past) throughout the organisms which make up the taxa in which macroevolutionary phenomena are observed. (2) Whether the microevolutionary processes identified by population geneticists (mutation, random drift, natural selection) are sufficient to account for the morphological changes and other macroevolutionary phenomena observed in higher taxa, or wherther additional microevolutionary processes need to be postulated. (3) Whether theories concerning evolutionary trends and other macroevolutionary patterns can be derived from knowledge of microevolutionary processes.
Ayala answers #1 and #2 in the affirmative but I think confused history with theories in his answer of #3. #3 logically requires an understanding of climate, astronomy, plate tectonics, ocean flow, geochemistry, etc to account for the history of life on earth and I think Ayala correctly gets caught up in complexity and answers the wrong question. Humans make choices. Economics is the study of humans making choices. But even complete knowledge of economics will not describe history, because history is about people making choices with the ideas and information that they had at the time which is far more complex than describing how people make choices under fixed laboratory conditions. So then Ayala's endorsement of a study of macroevolutionary history and mechanisms as a field of study in its own right does nothing to weaken his overwhelming endorsement of #1 and #2. leopold, importantly, seems to deny #1 and #2 so #3 becomes irrelevant to the present conversation.
The main idea is that
stasis in the fossil record of phenotypes is real and is a trivial prediction of a static fitness landscape with a persistent, isolated broad peak. But this does not mean that small changes unrelated to the fitness would not accumulate even to the point of speciation -- just that later population resembled former populations in the characteristics that made the former population successful at the local fitness peak. A change in the fitness landscape (climate change, introduction of a competitor, etc) would "puncture" the period of phenotype stasis at the broad peak of the fitness function (aka. equilibrium).
http://evolution.berkeley.edu/evosite/evo101/VIIA1bPunctuated.shtml
dr. ayala and his quote is entirely irrelevant to this discussion and my request.
the discussion is about the conclusion reached by the conference of 50 scientists and my request has NOTHING to do with dr. ayala.
This is a remarkable claim considering that you invented a conspiracy about the page number mistakenly included in your purported quote of Ayala.
this is micro evolution.
it was the conclusion of these scientists that this process can't be extrapolated to macro evolution.
there were 50 there, not just 3 or 4 or 10.
don't you understand?
these scientists FOUND NO EVIDENCE for accumulating changes that lead to macro evolution.
these scientists had almost 200 years to find this stuff and it simply wasn't forthcoming.
to imply that we have all these wonderful transitional fossils that explains evolution is simply untrue.
see immediately above.
you can call this creationist until your tongue rots but it changes nothing.
You have completely misinterpreted what the "clear no" was in regards to. So has pretty much everyone who has ever put that quote on a creationist website. The standard evolutionist response is to reestablish the context simply by quoting other portions of the article. That's all that needs to be done. Most recently, it's been done by James R and Aqueous Id on page 26. Previous to that it's been done by an array of contributors across several threads in the last 2+ years.
Your problem, of course, is two-fold. First, you've either never read the article in its entirety, or you've failed to understand its content (hence your failure to correctly contextualize certain portions of it). Second, you refuse to listen to anyone who does understand it.
The bottom line is that there is absolutely no evidence to suggest that there was a single evolutionary biologist at the Chicago conference who was disputing that gradualism is a key feature of evolutionary development. In fact both Francis Ayala and Stephen Gould, who clearly form the cornerstone of your efforts to extinguish the idea that gradualism was a concept championed by evolutionists of the day, are both on record (through statements as well as work they were actually doing at the time) as saying the opposite, and have been ever since.
okay, no problem.
these scientists concluded that the process of microevolution can't be extrapolated to macroevolution.
how did they conclude that?
definition of macroevolution:
http://evolution.berkeley.edu/evolibrary/article/0_0_0/evoscales_04
Words have more than one meaning (especially in sources with decades inbetween them) and so it is best to quote Roger Lewin if you want to know what Roger Lewin meant in 1980 about macroevolution. Fortunately in the same paragraph where he defines his terms so it is clear he is aware that he is doing some damage to the story in his attempts to convey it.
Roger Lewin said:
The changes within a population have been termed microevolution, and they can indeed be accepted as a consequence of shifting gene frequencies. Changes above the species level - involving the origin of new species and the establishment of higher taxonomic patterns - are known as macroevolution. The central question of the Chicago conference was whether the mechanisms underlying microevolution can be extrapolated to explain the phenomena of macroevolution. At the risk of doing violence to the positions of some of the people at the meeting, the answer can be given as a clear, No. What is not so clear, however, is whether microevolution is totally decoupled from macroevolution. The two can more probably be seen as a continuum with a notable overlap.
Roger Lewin's article does not say all 50 had the same position. Indeed, Ayala, who was actually one of the 50, is the better source points out that no sensible person would say macroevolution is not a consequence of microevolution. The nuanced position of the conference was that macroevolution by itself is interesting in ways unique to it is largely the same way History and Economics are unique fields of study. In the future one can imagine these fields merging more completely as man's ignorance of the universe is gradually eroded.
When you try and insert another source's definition you do violence to Roger Lewin's communication. But even the NSF-funded site
Understanding Evolution that you quote tells you microevolution drives macroevolution, so you are not correctly summarizing science to say the opposite.
Accumulating change
Microevolutionary change might seem too unimportant to account for such amazing evolutionary transitions as the origin of dinosaurs or the radiation of land plants — however, it is not. Microevolution happens on a small time scale — from one generation to the next. When such small changes build up over the course of millions of years, they translate into evolution on a grand scale — in other words, macroevolution!
The four basic evolutionary mechanisms — mutation, migration, genetic drift, and natural selection — can produce major evolutionary change if given enough time. And life on Earth has been accumulating small changes for 3.8 billion years — more than enough time for these simple evolutionary processes to produce its grand history.
I have not gone to a research library to read all of the related 1980's materials, but it seems like Ayala and others are making an argument from ignorance when they say the rhythm of macroevolution can't be derived from microevolution that they are actually only communicated "I didn't think of that" which is no proof of the impossibility of it. Does anyone have a good example of them making a stronger claim than this?