Evidence of natural selection at work
Science 16 December 2005:
Vol. 310. no. 5755, pp. 1807 - 1809
Island Biogeography of Populations: An Introduced Species Transforms Survival Patterns
Thomas W. Schoener,1* Jonathan B. Losos,2 David A. Spiller1
1) Apply Darwin's theory to define an environment that causes a "life struggle" -- such as cold temperatures. Propose this to be the cause of change for hypothesis testing purposes.
Islands, introduction of predator
2) Identify "potential good traits" on an
a priori basis -- these traits could hypothetically increase the chances of survival -- traits such as higher metabolism, more body hair, more body insulation, etc, etc. A
Post priori basis (after the fact) won't get it -- we are doing a hypothesis test here.
adaptation to vegetation types.
3)State your hypothesis. For example: Cold weather causes animals to genetically change so they grow longer hair, have more body fat, have higher metabolism, etc.
The environment is instrumental is the survival characterists of species
Predator introduction changes species equilibrium, and changes species survival characteristics in relation to different local environments
4) Choose a species that has a short reproduction cycle -- such as a mouse.
lizard
Anolis sagrei
5) Control the test, and account for the causes of all the mortalities (the best you can). This step is optional, but could provide insight on how your test is proceding.
Control islands are used where there are no predators introduced.
6) Continue the test until it appears you have statistically significant data.
done
7) If you think you have statistically significant data do the appropriate analysis to determine if it's just a random drift in the population (noise factors), or if there is a direct cause-and-effect relationship as stated in the hypothesis.
done
8) Repeat the test to verify the cause and effect relationship -- (this could also be done by running another test in parallel).
done
9) If any "surprise traits" come about that you have not postulated, then change your hypothesis and run another test.[/QUOTE]
done
Population phenomena, which provide much of the underlying basis for the theoretical structure of island biogeography, have received little direct study. We determined a key population trait—survival—in the Bahamian lizard Anolis sagrei on islands with an experimentally introduced predatory lizard and on neighboring unmanipulated islands. On unmanipulated islands, survival declined with several variables, most notably vegetation height: The island with the shortest vegetation had nearly the highest survival recorded for any lizard. On islands with the introduced predator, which forages mostly on the ground, A. sagrei shifted to taller vegetation; unlike on unmanipulated islands, its survival was very low on islands with the shortest vegetation but was higher on the others. Thus, species introduction radically changed a resident species' relation of survival to a key island-biogeographical variable.
http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/310/5755/1807
By using an archipelago of small islands as a laboratory for both comparative study and manipulative experiment, we showed a notable natural relation of survival rate to island characteristics—especially vegetation height—and the ability of an introduced predator to transform that relation. Implications of this study extend beyond islands: Vegetation structure over much of Earth's surface is being precisely characterized, in part to understand how species populations respond to anthropogenic changes in land use or in climate (24–26). However, information beyond vegetation structure may be crucial. Thus, in our study, survival is unrelated to vegetation height if data from all 12 islands are considered together (r = –0.23, –0.24), yet knowing which islands have the introduced predator makes the latter a good predictor of survival rates.