Earth, sun & IR are far from normal conditions, where long term temperature average is constant as Solar absorption, SA = IR radiant energy. These abnormal conditions slowly began to be significant when man replaced wood energy (briefly stored solar energy) with fossil energy (coal, and more recently petroleum and natural gas). Now the imbalance is rapidly increasing but less than 7% of it is effecting man as Earth is an "oceanic planet." Eventually the balance (SA =IR) will be restored, but without drastic change in way civilations operate (For current profits) man will not be here to see that new equilibrium level.
Sorry graphic is 5 years obsolute, but it clearly tells man's problem.
Oceans are now shielding man from almost all of the effects of his excessive and rapidly growing release of solar energy stored millions of years ago. Even only the 2.1% of the imbalance directly heating land is beginning to show. The not currently hidden in deep ocean water, 6.6% is giving obvious indicators (more flooding, air temperature rise, ice melting, more frequent and stronger storms, sea level rising, jet stream wander, droughts, more fires, etc.) with much worse to come, long before new SA = IR equilibrium is achieved, with wet bulb temperature of 35C, starting to reverse earth's human population growth, if the four horsemen have not already done that. Lets call "35C wbt" the "Fifth Horseman."
Intended to be funny as "gallows humor" but it is also why NTE is almost* certain.
* I have now finished both design, most of the analysis, and written up a provisional patent application, PPA, that has a slightly chance to help my grandchildren's children survive when (and if) they are born. I am filing to make sure someone else does not patent same idea try to make money on it via "carbon credits." The threat of NTE is too serious to be exploited for profit. The PPA fee is much lower than the regular fee as it only records the invention's date - patent office does not even read it and "circular files" it one year later, if not converted into a regular application.
I am now starting to make a partially working model for a promotional video; when it is done I will learn how to use U-tube, etc. and contact some who are both also concerned and quite rich. - Possibly for financial and other help with final patent filing and certainly for financing the proto-type but more importantly, due to the huge costs, getting it qualified for carbon credits. If it does works, as I believe it will - it will be widely replicated as a profitable new industry. The license fee, if I get the patent, will be very small until my costs are recovered, then, nominal, say 0.001% of each unit's production cost.
I don't have much hope / expectation that it will avoid NTE, but want my great grand children to know their great grand dad did all he could. If it does prevent NTE, there is a certain irony in it as it used the profit motive to save mankind.
Oceans are now shielding man from almost all of the effects of his excessive and rapidly growing release of solar energy stored millions of years ago. Even only the 2.1% of the imbalance directly heating land is beginning to show. The not currently hidden in deep ocean water, 6.6% is giving obvious indicators (more flooding, air temperature rise, ice melting, more frequent and stronger storms, sea level rising, jet stream wander, droughts, more fires, etc.) with much worse to come, long before new SA = IR equilibrium is achieved, with wet bulb temperature of 35C, starting to reverse earth's human population growth, if the four horsemen have not already done that. Lets call "35C wbt" the "Fifth Horseman."
* I have now finished both design, most of the analysis, and written up a provisional patent application, PPA, that has a slightly chance to help my grandchildren's children survive when (and if) they are born. I am filing to make sure someone else does not patent same idea try to make money on it via "carbon credits." The threat of NTE is too serious to be exploited for profit. The PPA fee is much lower than the regular fee as it only records the invention's date - patent office does not even read it and "circular files" it one year later, if not converted into a regular application.
I am now starting to make a partially working model for a promotional video; when it is done I will learn how to use U-tube, etc. and contact some who are both also concerned and quite rich. - Possibly for financial and other help with final patent filing and certainly for financing the proto-type but more importantly, due to the huge costs, getting it qualified for carbon credits. If it does works, as I believe it will - it will be widely replicated as a profitable new industry. The license fee, if I get the patent, will be very small until my costs are recovered, then, nominal, say 0.001% of each unit's production cost.
I don't have much hope / expectation that it will avoid NTE, but want my great grand children to know their great grand dad did all he could. If it does prevent NTE, there is a certain irony in it as it used the profit motive to save mankind.
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