I´m not sure who you speak of as being in "open warfare." I will however mention one index of lack of war or more peaceful relations:
um you know that whole little chinese civil war thing
I´m not sure who you speak of as being in "open warfare." I will however mention one index of lack of war or more peaceful relations:
As far as what is for sale in the markets, China has been more "free market capitalism" than the US for about 30 years. Less regulation, less hoops to jump thru to open a business, etc. With some bad consequences, like posion in the milk sold, etc. China punishes those who are excessively bad - Two of makers of tainted milk were executed. etc. That is the Chinese replacement for US´s tight regulation of the economy.... it remains to see how a country that industralizes under a communist government and than moves more to capitalist society will stablize.....
I might add: There is no need for any food stamps program in rapidly growing China with it labor shortages. They don´t plan on switching to US style economy - After the dollar crashes, the US may see that the Chinese economy is better and switch to its long range planning of infrastructure with less regulated maker place and criminals (at all levels) who abuse it going to jail or executed.http://www.investingdaily.com/15872/as-goes-china-whither-asia said:".. Demand for Chinese exports has slowed thanks to weak growth in the US and the festering European debt crisis, Chinese manufacturers aren’t simply folding up shop and going home. Labor costs in China have on average surged by 20 percent a year for the past four years. Wages in China’s coastal provinces, the country’s manufacturing and export hubs, have been rising even faster, as factories have been struggling to attract cheaper labor from the country’s interior.
As the central government has stepped up its spending in the country’s previously neglected hinterland, rural Chinese have been able to make a better go of life at home, negating the draw of factory life. And since most families already have at least one relative working in a coastal factory and are sending money home, there just isn’t an urgent need for cash.
While that’s created a virtuous cycle as far as the average Chinese is concerned, it’s made life tough for manufacturers who moved their operations to China to take advantage of cheaper labor in the first place. So rather than simply going out of business, manufacturing is leaving China at a quickening pace, bound for countries like Sri Lanka, Vietnam, Bangladesh, the Philippines and Thailand.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-20103483 said:The Three Gorges Dam stands more than 40 stories high. The scale and scope of the project is stunning. The dam stretches for over 2km (1.25 miles), … and cost more than $40bn (£25bn). Designed to control the flooding of the mighty river, the dam produces vast amounts of electricity - the equivalent of 11 nuclear power stations. It is one of the most impressive feats of civil engineering anywhere in the world and stands as a symbol of China's progress over the last 20 years.
The Three Gorges Dam makes more power than 10 nuclear power plants can with zero fuel cost. In fact fuel cost is negative as for 100s of Km above it now that the Yangtze River is 100+ meters higher so large energy-efficient ships can haul cargo where they could not before. I am not sure, and only time will tell, but it should be self cleaning of silt by excess flow discharge seen in the photo. Part of the year the water level is lower and produces less energy. On an annual energy production basis, Brazil has the world´s largest dam and it is 50 years old! (Built when Brazil´s government was more like China´s is today. Also later the military government mandated the switch to locally produced, sugar cane alcohol powered cars, which have 30+ years of large scale use now. Great saving in oil imports for three decades! )http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Gorges_Dam said:The three Gorges Dam} construction started on December14, 1994.[20] The dam was expected to be fully operational in 2009, but additional projects, such as the underground power plant with six additional generators, delayed full operation until May 2012. The ship lift is expected to be completed in 2014 .... {Billy T comment: A great benefits project, two decades in the building!}
http://www.merkfunds.com/merk-perspective/insights/2012-11-16.html?registered=yes&utm_source=cc_newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=2012-11-16-insight said:"..We disagree with media reports that China's new Politburo Standing Committee is dominated by relatively conservative members. What we see is a complete defeat of current President Hu's Chinese Communist Youth League (CCYL) clique and a victory of retired President Jiang's Shanghai clique....
As a result, except for new President Xi Jinping (not necessarily associated with any clique) and new Premier Li Keqiang (Hu's CCYL clique), all of the other five new committee members are considered associated with Jiang's Shanghai clique or favored by Jiang. In addition, current President Hu will unexpectedly no longer serve as military leader after stepping down from the position of Party leader.
We believe the reasons why some may consider the new committee as conservative are: 1) Zhang Dejiang, who was educated in North Korea, was appointed the 3rd on the committee, and 2) Candidates like Wang Yang, who has been outspoken and aggressively called for political reform and grassroots democracy, were not selected. We don't think it's necessarily the case that the new committee is so conservative. Newly appointed President Xi Jinping is known for his support for market-oriented reform. Unlike outgoing President Hu, who came from a humble family, Xi's princeling background (the privileged offspring of prominent figures in the revolution that brought the party to power in 1949) and political resources will enable him to push ahead reform.
In addition, the stances that China’s leaders hold are not necessarily the same on political and economic issues. Hu's CCYL clique, especially outgoing Premier Wen, firmly supports further political reform, but in terms of economic policies, they focus more on reducing regional imbalances and income disparity than on market reform. In contrast, Jiang's Shanghai clique tends to focus more on economic reform but they're more politically conservative. .."
I obviously agree with this as it is what I predicted more than 5 years ago. Also it is what is happening: Growth of GDP was 55% in the domestic consuption sector with investment and exports both down as percentage of GDP growth (but still dominating).from Email of Investment Daily said:"..In his first remarks as Chairman, Xi said that the Chinese people want stable jobs, better social security and health care and more "satisfactory income.” Given his clear focus on material wealth, we should look for the Party to work towards bolstering domestic consumption. .."
Robert Horrocks said:".. The average 40-year old in China has seen standards of living more than triple since they were 30-years old. Prosperity has spread from the coastal provinces to more central regions of China. People are, by and large, content with the material advances made under the Communist Party over the last two decades.
The party, too, is not as divided as it used to be. The old divides between left and right were between those who believed that the state should command and direct economic activity and those that believed in the dynamism of free markets. But that argument is largely over and China’s economy is less monolithic—the large state-owned enterprises account for one-third of economic activity today; small and medium enterprises, predominantly privately owned, account for 80% of urban employment and three-quarters of new product innovation.
Consequently, China’s newly diverse economy is harder to centrally control. .."
{Billy T notes: That as far as what is for sale in the market place, the CCP does not even try. - The invisible hand of Adam Smith takes care of that.}
I don´t doubt it, but some will say: "Not even a good PhotoShop job."http://news.yahoo.com/china-lands-fighter-jet-carrier-show-force-141821417.html said:".. China ushered in a new generation of leaders this month at the 18th Communist Party Congress in Beijing, with outgoing President Hu Jintao making a pointed reference to strengthening China's naval forces, protecting maritime interests and the need to "win local war". .."
Why do they want an aircraft carrier when wars are now fought with drones?A chinese made carrier-borne J-15 fighter jet takes off from the Liaoning, China's first aircraft carrier, in this undated handout photo released November 25, 2012. China has successfully conducted flight landing on its first aircraft carrier...
Many reasons: In addition to ability to deliver many different weapons, including ship sinking torpedoes, close in troop support fire, etc. probably "show of force capability" is most important. I noted some years ago that China is spending 100s of billions of dollars, paid up front for long term (some 30 years and most more than 20) delivery of oil, minerals, timber etc. in part to not get stuck holding too big a bag of green paper when the dollar collapses.Why do they want an aircraft carrier when wars are now fought with drones? ...
Low flying fighters always run the risk of being shot down.Many of these contracts are with African and other not very stable governments or even crooked dictatorships. An aircraft carrier can get the fighters close enough to fly squadron of fighters over the ruler´s palace - if he is not keep up his end of the agreement. That is a lot cheaper than an invasion.
Possible but not nearly as easy as the helicopters now in use by the US as much faster and higher.Low flying fighters always run the risk of being shot down.
Spin of Earth brings Africa under them. More than a decade ago Brazil built and China launched and Earth resources satellite that has helped guide aid to Africa, etc.I don’t believe China's satellite guidance systems cover Africa...yet.
True. And China has about 10 times more subs than the US has already, but only a few are long range missile launchers. Most are ship attack subs for self-defense in the S. China sea.But when this happens they will be able to strike very accurately with missiles launched from submarines.
We are not not talking about ICBMs, we're talking about a cruise missile fired from a submarine that can destroy a specific building very accurately.If you think that a GPS like system is needed for ICBMs
One does not need GPS to accurately guide a cruse missile. For at least a decade US cruse missiles have used the military accuracy level GPS, but for more than a decade they used "terrain matching guidance" which is inertial guidance between correction way points with detailed maps of the way points (from high resolution satellite photos) stored in the missile. They too could fly thru a particular window of a building, but had to have reasonably clear weather when over their correction points and each shot had to have these maps loaded in, not just the GPS coordinates of the target.We are not tking about ICBMs, we're talking about a cruise missile fired from a submarine that can destroy a specific building very accurately.
The TERCOM (terrain comparison) system is only accurate within hundreds of meters and also needs a fixed launch position, and hundreds of detailed digital maps stored on board.One does not need GPS to accurately guide a cruse missile. For at least a decade US cruse missiles have used the military accuracy level GPS, but for more than a decade they used "terrain matching guidance" which is inertial guidance between correction way points with detailed maps stored in the missile. They too could fly through a particular window of a building.
I don´t think hardly any of this is true, based on conversation at APL with people evaluating the system years ago. Why do you say this? Inertial guidance is quite good* - submerged subs used it for weeks. Sailed under the polar ice, etc. GPS has replaced terrain gudance at least 20 probably 30 years ago so I feel free now to tell some vague facts based on "hear-say." (I did work a little on HARM - independently checking TI´s seeker logic and found a small error when enemy was using coordinated on/off blinking of two radars trying to make HARM centroid between them, but never on cruise missles. I felt good as I may have saved some pilot´s life.)The TERCOM (terrain comparison) system is only accurate within hundreds of meters and also needs a fixed launch position, and hundreds of detailed digital maps stored on board. These conditions are rarely possible in the fast moving events of war. Military analysts remember all the catastrophic misses of the gulf war that would often destroy a school or hospital 200 meters from the intended target.
http://www.honeywell.com/sites/portal?smap=aerospace&page=Missles_Munitions3&theme=T5&catID=C47E27B3A-58A6-A2E2-09FE-769AD775C886&id=H9CB06E91-4DB9-9829-A9C5-F419FF80645E&sel=4&c=n said:"The ring laser gyro was developed in the 60s and 70s for commercial, space and military guidance, navigation and control systems."
how ever true that is it remains to see how a country that industralizes under a communist government and than moves more to capitalist society will stablize. look at russia its been close to century since their industrial build up and 20 years since the fall of communism and they still aren't completely stable( though I am willing to admit that may be for other reasons than the switch) until everything their evens out and stabilizes I'm unwilling to assume long term stability.
This direct buying of the energy assets is new approach, although China has been buying up farm lands for some years (tried to in Brazil, but was not allowed to). For half a decade China has been paying up-front in full for long term (up to 30 years) energy delivery contracts. For example, more than 4 years ago, gave PetroBras 10 billion dollars for 200,000 barrels / day (on average) delivered to China for 20 years. (Until ~2028, as I recall.) This buying of real assets with US Treasury´s paper promisses reduces the holding of dollars in China´s reserves just as well as the older paid-up-front contracts did. For more than two years now, the total dollars China holds in reserves has been slightly decreasing.http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-12-07/canada-approves-both-cnooc-nexen-petronas-progress-bids.html said:Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper approved Cnooc Ltd.’s $15.1 billion takeover of Nexen Inc. (NXY) and Petroliam Nasional Bhd.’s C$5.2 billion ($5.2 billion) takeover of Progress Energy Resources Corp. (PRQ) ... Harper said the two transactions are the end of a "trend" and the country {Canada} will no longer allow state-owned companies to take over businesses in the nation’s oil sands, and will toughen requirements in other industries.
The deal by Beijing-based Cnooc is the largest ever takeover by a Chinese company, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It gives the state-owned company a stake in Canada’s largest oil-sands project and the biggest position in the Buzzard oil field in the U.K. North Sea.
China is securing global reserves to feed demand in the world’s second-largest economy, which accounted for half of the world’s oil consumption growth in 2011, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Harper, who has touted Canada as an emerging “energy superpower,” has called it a national priority to diversify energy exports, sending less to the U.S. and more to Asia.
.{post 1203, this thread in part}
China´s South-North Water Transfer Project is unique in the world – Far larger than any other. It will remove nearly 36 billion cubic metres of water every year from the Yangtze River Basin – which drains much of the nation’s central and western regions – and ship it to the arid North some 3,000-kilometres (1,900 miles) away!
US´s Lake Mead, 16th largest man made reservoir in world, is slowly going dry - perhaps by 2021 according to a Scripps study. - A preventable economic disaster for the SW of the USA. The limited water in US´s arid SW is already doing great economic damage every year - It is less than 1900 miles for the abundant freshwater of the Great Lakes, but US can not do what China has done to improve productivity of a naturally arid region. ... long-term, great-benefit projects are not possible in the US.
Scripps Institution of Oceanography / Univ. of California, San Diego:
".. There is a 50 percent chance Lake Mead, a key source of water for millions of people in the southwestern United States, will be dry by 2021 if climate changes as expected and future water usage is not curtailed, ... Without Lake Mead and neighboring Lake Powell, the Colorado River system has no buffer to sustain the population of the Southwest through an unusually dry year, or worse, a sustained drought. In such an event, water deliveries would become highly unstable and variable, ..." From: http://scrippsnews.ucsd.edu/Releases/?releaseID=876
If the US were as well run economically as China is, then this foreseeable disaster could be avoided. - Re-filling Lake Mead & Lake Powell with excess Great Lakes water is possible, for a Chinese type of government with long range planning capacity. This year´s drought, should be taken as warning that LA, etc. may lack water - an economic and humanitarian disaster....
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1079021-chinese-and-american-demographics-contrasted?source=email_macro_view&ifp=0 said:US women are using the men to have children, then largely discarding them into a society of relatively rootless males. Although it began as a problem mainly among high school dropouts, it has now become a middle class phenomenon of substantial proportions. {above green bars in the} graphic representation from the Marriage Project at the University of Virginia.
In this society, single men have less incentive to succeed economically than their married counterparts. They remain in the hook-up, sports-and-video-game culture that they inhabited as late teenagers. The impact of these factors on the children is enormous. ... Let us contrast this hard-working single American mother with her Chinese counterpart described below. The American is always pressed for time. She has three jobs: The home, the children and earning a living. She spends as much time with her children as she can, but often she is tired and finds it easier to keep the children occupied {TV on} rather than enriched. That is borne out by a number of the studies cited {see link}.
The Chinese woman has time to make the house proper for her husband and, especially with only one child, has time to enrich the child's education and make certain the child prepares properly for school. The Chinese children are highly likely to become better educated, with a better understanding of the world than their American counterparts.* That is going to make the Chinese children better competitors for the good jobs that the world will have to offer, most of which will be global jobs, not local jobs.
Billy T Summary: The future belongs to the country with best educated children, the strongest family structures and most productive society in real things of lasting value, not in terms of rock concerts, professional ball games, latest hair and dress styles, trips to Disneyland etc. etc. that have no lasting value but are making up 2/3 of US´s GDP; with the US living far beyond US production warrants with flood of imports paid for with borrowed money and unlike China, a nation of great savers for future benefits and education of next generation, the typical American has little more than the hope that Social Security will not have collapsed before he retires and collects.Chinese women are not working in factories in nearly the same proportions as they did ten years ago. "Our generation doesn't work in factories," he reported a typical young woman saying. What could have created that change, I wondered. The answer is to be found elsewhere in the Pilling article: Because of many couples' preferences for male children, they have used abortion to create a ratio of 119 male births to 100 female births. As a consequence, females are much in demand as mates and they can, in large measure, choose to mate only with the most productive males and create the kinds of lives they would prefer. For many young Chinese women, this is a life centered on their families, not their jobs. They will have the one child permitted and will lavish their attention on their successful male mate and their one child, including the one child's education and future prospects.