China's Emergence As A Global Superpower

Highlights of Wen's Report WORK REVIEW IN 2009 (condensed by Billy T, but still long):

-- China's GDP reached 33.5 trillion yuan, up 8.7 percent from a year earlier.
-- Fiscal revenue was 6.85 trillion yuan, up 11.7 percent year on year.
-- Grain production was 531 million tonnes, a new record for the sixth consecutive year.
-- 11.02 million urban job created
-- The per capita disposable income of urban residents was 17,175 yuan, up 9.8 percent in real terms,
while the net per capita income of rural residents was 5,153 yuan, rising 8.5 percent in real terms. ******See Billy T footnote comment
-- Public investment was 924.3 billion yuan, 503.8 billion yuan more than in the previous year's budget.
-- Invested 654.5 billion yuan to support the post-Wenchuan earthquake recovery and reconstruction work.
-- 725.3 billion yuan to support agriculture, rural areas and farmers, an increase of 21.8 percent.
-- A total of 20 billion yuan was provided to support 4,441 technological upgrading projects.
-- 2009 imports and exports totaled $2.2 trillion.
-- Foreign direct investment amounted to $90 billion for the entire year.
-- The central government spent 127.7 billion yuan on medical and health care, an increase of 49.5 percent.
China invested big to improve people's livelihood in '09
44 percent of the total public investment from the central budget, to improve people's livelihood last year.

Note blue text lines are links to related articles at the source, but do not copy here in this post.

MAJOR TARGETS for 2010
-- GDP will grow by about 8 percent; Full Story
-- Urban employment will increase by more than 9 million people;
-- Urban registered unemployment rate will be kept no higher than 4.6 percent;
-- Rise in the CPI will be held around 3 percent;
-- Balance of payments will be improved;
-- Sound development, and transforming the pattern of economic development will be emphasized.
China will strictly control the launching of new projects this year in an effort to curb redundant investment, according to the text of the government work report that Premier Wen Jiabao delivered Friday.

DEFICIT
-- A deficit of 1.05 trillion yuan has been projected, which consists of 850 billion yuan in central government deficit and 200 billion yuan in local government bonds, which will be included in local government budgets. Full Story

LOANS
-- The total quantity of renminbi loans will be increased by approximately 7.5 trillion yuan.

EMPLOYMENT
-- The central government will allocate 43.3 billion yuan to stimulate employment;
-- Emphasis will be given to helping college graduates, rural migrant workers, people experiencing employment difficulty, and demobilized military personnel find jobs.

PROPERTY MARKET
-- The government will resolutely curb the precipitous rise of housing prices in some cities and satisfy people's basic need for housing;
-- The government will make greater efforts to deal with violations of laws and regulations such as keeping land unused, property hoarding, and price rigging.

INCOME DISTRIBUTION
-- The central government will not only make the "pie" of social wealth bigger by developing the economy, but also distribute it well on the basis of a rational income distribution system.
China to reform income distribution system, narrow income gap
Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao vowed Friday to enhance rational income distribution system as it is an "important manifestation of social fairness and justice" and a major way out for boosting domestic demand and narrowing income gap.


AGRICULTURE
-- The central government will allocate 133.5 billion yuan for direct subsidies for farmers, a year-on-year increase of 6.04 billion yuan.
China vows continuous increase in rural incomes
The central government plans to allocate 818.3 billion yuan ($119.8 billion) for agriculture, farmers, and rural areas this year, an increase of 93 billion yuan over the 2009 level.


EDUCATION
-- Education reform will be advanced in the system for operating schools, curricula, teaching methods, and evaluation systems. >>Full Story
Premier: China to continue cultural system reform
China is deepening reforms on its cultural system, such as encouraging state-owned cultural groups to convert to a stake-holding system.


SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY
-- China will make farsighted arrangements for basic research and research in cutting-edge technologies in the fields of biology, nanoscience, quantum control, information networks, climate change, aerospace and oceanography.

SOCIAL SAFETY NET
-- China will steadily move forward with the pilot program for a new old-age insurance system for rural residents by expanding it to 23 percent of the country's counties.
China to relax hukou restrictions in small cities, towns
China will reform its household registration system and relax restrictions on permanent residence registration, or "hukou", in towns, small and medium-sized cities.
{BILLY T EXPLAINS: "hukou restrictions" prohibited farmers etc. from migrating to cites for higher incomes. (They were like serfs, tied to their land.) With last year's land reforms, they still can not sell their farms, but can lease them to others - making larger more efficient units. (More production with fewer farmers, as began in the US ~100 years ago.) With the lease income they can now move to local cities, get jobs there etc. This is win/win policy change: boosting agricultural production and making the new central and western cities grow.
China has a rational intelligent government of engineers, not self serving politicians.}

HEALTHCARE
-- China will raise government subsidies on basic medical insurance for non-working urban residents and on the new type of rural cooperative medical care system to 120 yuan per person per year, up 50 percent over last year, and appropriately increase rates for individual contributions.

FIGHTING CLIMATE CHANGE {section omitted}
NATIONAL DEFENSE {section omitted and two more}

TAIWAN
-- The mainland will continue to adhere to the principle of developing cross-Straits relations and promoting peaceful reunification of the motherland, firmly embrace the theme of peaceful development of cross-Strait relations and constantly create new conditions for it;
-- The mainland will encourage qualified enterprises to invest in Taiwan;
-- The mainland will promote a win-win situation, set up an economic cooperation mechanism that reflects the characteristics of both sides by negotiating and signing an economic cooperation framework agreement (ECFA).
China to enhance armed police's ability to fight terrorism
China will modernize its armed police force and make it better able to respond to emergencies, fight terrorism and maintain stability.


From: http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2010npc/2010-03/05/content_9541766.htm

************
Despite all of the CCP's efforts to close the gap between urban and rural incomes, it is growing wider! A major reason, IMHO, is described in prior post 960. I.e. shortages of skilled workers is rapidly driving up real salaries and benefits offered in most coastal cities. See also BBC article on this important keynote speech* of Wen at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/8550930.stm
It has less detail than my post but does focus more on the effort to reverse the widening gap between urban and rural incomes. (but does not mention or understand that the new cities in the heartland and farm policy changes are designed to do just that.)
--------
* This speech, IMHO, is more important than Obama's "State of the Union" five weeks ago. It was the Chinese "State of the Union" speech. See video on it at: http://money.cnn.com/video/news/2010/03/05/n_npc_wenjiabao_china.cnnmoney/
 
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China
"The total investment injected into social undertakings by the central government since the fourth quarter of 2008 amounted to 55.58 billion yuan ($8.14 billion), supporting approximately 50,000 projects, ... The central government has been improving people’s lives while assuring economic development amid the global financial crisis since the fourth quarter of 2008, Li said.

As of the end of last year, 17,171 medical and health service projects and 4,522 family planning programs have been established at the basic level. More than 5,000 cultural centers at the county level have been built.* The investment also included funding for the rebuilding and construction of schools in rural areas ..."
From: http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2010-03/07/content_9550696.htm

*Billy T comment: China has 55 distinct nationalities most with their own languages and all with unique traditions, customs, national styles of dress, etc. Peking has a "Park of the Nationalities" which is permanent museum/ festival center, celebration China's cultural diversity. It is very popular place to visit.

China is now realizing that it can generate tourist travel (domestic GDP) with many distributed but more limited parks of this type. For example in Manzha (city) there is the "Park of the Dai" (a tribe/ people) where 333 Dia families live with traditional houses and dress. (Much like Williamsburg VA has a colonial village) It cost US$15 to enter and receives 500,000 visitors each year. For additional fee, you can stay with one of the families (sleep in their house) and eat their traditional food, etc. Only small part of the 5,000 new cultural centers will be this type of development but there should be dozens like the Dai village park.

I own stock in CTRIP COM INTERNATIONAL LTD, a Chinese tourist group as the Chinese tourist industry is rapidly expanding as the average urbanite's salary is gaining about 15% in real purchasing power each year. Chinese are visiting China, flying to regions they only have read about.
 
"... a recent report by the McKinsey Global Institute{said}:

“In 20 years, China’s cities will have added 350 million people—more than the entire population of the United States today.”

“By 2025, China will have 221 cities with more than 1 million inhabitants—compared with 35 in Europe today—and 24 cities with more than 5 million people.”

“By 2030, 1 billion people will live in China’s cities…170 mass transit systems could be built…40 billion square meters of floor space will be built in 5 million buildings—50,000 of which could be skyscrapers.”

In other words, as the global economy stalls and China transforms itself from a nation of farmers to a nation of urban dwellers, the equivalent of 10 New York Cities will need to be built, ..."

Quoted in Email From:
"RobertHsu@Chinaprofitstrategy.com"
 
“… Cnooc Ltd., China’s biggest offshore oil explorer, agreed to buy a 50 percent stake in rival Argentine producer Bridas Corp. for $3.1 billion, adding 318 million barrels of reserves as Chinese fuel demand surges.

China’s oil and gas companies spent at least $13 billion on acquisitions since 2008 {that is a billion per month!} as the nation scours the globe for resources to feed the world’s fastest-growing major economy. Growth will accelerate to 8.8 percent this year, four times faster than that of the U.S., according to the United Nations. That’s stoking Chinese demand for fuel in autos and industry. …”

From: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aHQr8eF0.QaA&pos=3

Billy T comment:
Not only is China securing its future oil needs (at what will no doubt turn out to be less than half the price at time of delivery) but by spending dollars for real assets is able to reduce its exposure to dollar collapse.
 
"... {Chinese} engineers want the train to run at a top speed of 420 kph to guarantee a safe operational {average} speed of 380 kph, ... It is expected that an 110,000-km railway network will be completed by 2012, including 13,000 km of high-speed rail. China already has 6,552 km of {high speed} rail track in operation - the longest amount of high-speed rail track in the world.

State-owned Chinese companies are already building high-speed lines in Turkey and Venezuela. Many countries, including the United States, Russia, Brazil and Saudi Arabia, have also expressed interest. The ministry has signed cooperation memos with California in the United States, as well as Russia and Brazil. "China is willing to share its mature and advanced technology with other countries to promote development of the world's high-speed railways," he said.


At present, at least 10,000 km of high-speed rail line is under construction in China. About 3,676 km of new track for running trains at speeds up to 350 kph have already been laid and put into operation. Another 2,876 km of old tracks have been upgraded to run trains of 200 to 250 kph. Ultimately, China plans to construct a 120,000-km railway network, including 50,000-km of high-speed rail track, by 2020.

From: http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2010-03/15/content_9588140.htm

Billy T comment:
Note also that China has the world's only commercially-operated routine-service Magnetic Levitation train. It is a relatively short run from Xanghi to the airport. China tends to import technology and then improve it. This article notes that China now has 940 patents related to high speed train technology.
 
actually they just put blue stickers on it and act as if they´ve invented the whole thing :rolleyes:
Can you support this and explain the 940 patents related to high-speed trains.

Also it that were true, why has China been selected to build the new high speed trains in Turkey and Venezuela, instead of a German company like Semans or a US company like GE?

Also why are Russia, Brazil and California signing MOUs with China for high-speed trains technology?
 
Can you support this and explain the 940 patents related to high-speed trains.

i don´t care that much for such numbers ... if they would be that innovative, you could surely list some of their new cute toys. fortunatly, it seems they can only copy things. what do you think why they´ve bought this maglev? getting the technology, that was all what they had in mind. now they are building the same trains, added some funky LCDs and that´s their invention.

Also it that were true, why has China been selected to build the new high speed trains in Turkey and Venezuela, instead of a German company like Semans or a US company like GE?
Also why are Russia, Brazil and California signing MOUs with China for high-speed trains technology?

shit sherlock, guess why .... as moderator in B&E, you should know the reason. of course it´s the price. :rolleyes:
if you don´t have to pay a R&D-department, you can save a lot.
 
i don´t care that much for such numbers ... if they would be that innovative, you could surely list some of their new cute toys. ...
some years ago I read about how innovated China was in developing consumer products, especially electronics. The article focused on cell phones. - thousand of different designs as I recall - one for ladies has a refillable chamber for perfume she can spray when needed. That is a "cute toy."

The world's first commercial production line electric car of BYD motors is a more substantial one. - Sort of a "cute toy" as it cost about twice as much as their IC engine models.

Also China is building several supper critical steam coal fired electric plants - they get nearly 50% more power from the coal, but that clearly is not a "cute toy."
Lets hope they will sell the technology even to the US to greatly reduce US's CO2 production.

I don't agree that China is selling high speed trains to other countries based on the price alone. They have the technology developed for the world's fastest trains. Significantly faster than all others now existing.
 
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some years ago I read about how innovated China was in developing consumer products, especially electronics. The article focused on cell phones. - thousand of different designs as I recall - one for ladies has a refillable chamber for perfume she can spray when needed. That is a "cute toy."

a cell phone with parfume shouldn´t count as invention .... they have just merged two things that existed already.
may i ask if today all ladies have such thing in their handbag !? :D


The world's first commercial production line electric car of BYD motors is a more substantial one. - Sort of a "cute toy" as it cost about twice as much as their IC engine models.

now if they would have invented the electric car, that would count. the chinese are just trying what a lot of other producers already tried. Maybe they will successful (what i doubt). Is that an invention? of course not. Porsche produced the lohner already 1900. but well, surely no mass-production for today standards.

Also China is building several supper critical steam coal fired electric plants - they get nearly 50% more power from the coal, but that clearly is not a "cute toy."
Lets hope they will sell the technology even to the US to greatly reduce US's CO2 production.

you mean those : http://www.power-technology.com/projects/yuhuancoal/ ?
co-production of siemens and a company from china. siemens responsible for the technology and the chinese partner for stealing it :rolleyes:


I don't agree that China is selling high speed trains to other countries based on the price alone. They have the technology developed for the world's fastest trains. Significantly faster than all others now existing.

it´s quite possible, that they have improved an existing technology. i guess that´s not so difficult, if you don´t have to start from scratch and don´t have to care that much about the cost of your product (because of cheap labor).
 
a cell phone with parfume shouldn´t count as invention .... they have just merged two things that existed already. ...
that is what most invention are - combining two or more prior ideas in a new way. I had a professor who like to say: "When you have new idea, invention, etc. look up what the ancient Greeks called it." Often many independent inventions of same nature happen soon after there exist the set of ideas required to combine into the "new invention."
now if they would have invented the electric car, that would count. the chinese are just trying what a lot of other producers already tried. Maybe they will successful (what i doubt). Is that an invention? of course not. Porsche produced the lohner already 1900. but well, surely no mass-production for today standards.
In terms of sales they are successful - in part as China has long made most lithium ion batteries for the world, but typically in small sizes for computers etc. (BYD made many and only recently started to make cars.)
you mean those : http://www.power-technology.com/projects/yuhuancoal/ ?
co-production of siemens and a company from china. siemens responsible for the technology and the chinese partner for stealing it :rolleyes:
Thanks for this link - it is the best I have seen. I first read of this technology in the people's daily about year ago. Siemans is responsible for the high pressure turbine design. A Japanese company for some critical parts of the high pressure boiler and China for boilers, coal feed, etc. total system integration. China is not importing the plant and slapping an "invented in China" label on it as you suggested. In the modern world there is almost nothing "invented from scratch." Can you name any modern invention of significance that is not just the combination of existing ideas with perhaps the discovery of some new material property? To seal a phrase from Newton: "Inventors are now standing on the shoulder of giants who went before."

it´s quite possible, that they have improved an existing technology. i guess that´s not so difficult, if you don´t have to start from scratch and don´t have to care that much about the cost of your product (because of cheap labor).
Again: Can you name any modern invention that is "made from scratch" I.e. not just a combination of prior ideas and knowledge with perhaps some newly discovered material property? The era of Edison type trial and error inventors is basically over. Inventions come mainly from huge R & D budgets now days. One little improvement added to earlier ones in most cases. That is true of Chinese (and all other country's) modern inventions.
 
a cell-phone with parfum is NO invention :rolleyes:
billy, if i mix my poo with your poo, is that an invention? i mean, it´s a new idea that surely nobody else had before. and i have never said, that that chinese aren´t successful when it comes to sales.

Can you name any modern invention of significance that is not just the combination of existing ideas with perhaps the discovery of some new material property?

the toilet with lotus-effect is what i call an invention. we already had toilets, and because of fundamental research, somebody had the idea to use a certain material to make a well-improved toilet. your example of this phone reminds me a lot to an episode of the simpsons .... homers brother invented a baby translator. homer wasn´t sure that it will be successful and asked, why he didn´t just took something people already loved and added a clock :D
of course i know that nobody can come up every day with new and yet undiscovered laws of physic. when i said "start from scratch", i rather meant having the idea for something new, create prototypes and then go into mass production. the chinese somehow always start already at the mass-production - guess why. the theory of a maglev is about 100 years old. in 2003, they got a maglev from siemens - in 2006, they already tested their "own" comparable version. if you don´t steal the technology, then it surely takes more than 3 years to design your very own creation and even test-fly it.

i really have no idea which great idea came from the chinese and isn´t 2000+ years old. they´ve shown that they can build what others have built already, nothing else. nuclear bombs, space rockets, maglevs, computers, laser, microwave-ovens, adhesive tape and web-forums are NO chinese inventions. countries in eastern europe copy products, the chinese are smarter - they copy the whole machine that makes the products. they steal, and they don´t even feel shame in doing so. i don´t say they are just idiots, but it surely has a reason, that you can´t name a truly brilliant invention that the chinese did.
 
Can you support this and explain the 940 patents related to high-speed trains.

Also it that were true, why has China been selected to build the new high speed trains in Turkey and Venezuela, instead of a German company like Semans or a US company like GE?

Also why are Russia, Brazil and California signing MOUs with China for high-speed trains technology?

that´s funny .... china sells their high speed trains to turkey and venezuela, but has recently ordered 100 high speed trains from germany :D
maybe they don´t want to use their own inferior technology !? maybe they need more know-how for their masterpieces? or is it possible, that they just put blue stickers on those trains and send them to turkey? or can you imagine another reason for this action?

http://www.railwaygazette.com/news/single-view/view/10/china-orders-100-high-speed-trains.html
 
Again you are just repeating yourself – i.e. telling that combining existing ideas or products into a new product or system is not an invention; but you are still ignoring my request for some examples that are inventions and yet not just combining older ideas with perhaps some new discovered material properties. For the third time:
... Again: Can you name any modern invention that is "made from scratch" I.e. not just a combination of prior ideas and knowledge with perhaps some newly discovered material property? The era of Edison type trial and error inventors is basically over. Inventions come mainly from huge R & D budgets now days. One little improvement added to earlier ones in most cases. That is true of Chinese (and all other country's) modern inventions.
It is easy for you to say China does not make inventions but your logic seem to be saying no one makes inventions anymore as now days almost all "inventions" now are just the combinations of prior concepts or systems, possibly exploiting some newly discovered material property.
 
combining existing ideas or products into a new product or system is not an invention

it is, if it is useful and has a chance to be successful. cellphones with parfum or cigarette lighters with a clock are cheap crap and nothing to be proud of. everybody can come up with this product. hey, i build a clock into my mouse and i´m already an inventor, right? :rolleyes:
you know what´s innovative? swissmetro is an acceptable example. maglev-technology, but using a vacuum tubes. indeed a great idea.

Can you name any modern invention that is "made from scratch" I.e. not just a combination of prior ideas and knowledge with perhaps some newly discovered material property?

i did, billy, but you prefered to not read them, it seems.
nuclear bombs, space rockets, maglevs, computers, laser, microwave-ovens, adhesive tape and web-forums
of course you can play the idiot now now and say, that for example web-forums are just possible because of http and so on - i already showed you what i mean with "start from scratch". theory, prototype, mass-production.
my opinion is, that they only steal technology and sell it as their creation. you failed to show at least one lousy thing that the chinese had first (and please - nothing where parfum or a clock is added).


ps: maybe you would like to give an explanation for my previous question too ... how comes that china orders such a large number of velaros, if their own trains are so sophisticated.
 
China to build high speed rail crossing 17 countries.China said the other countries came to them initially due to China having the expertise and know how with high speed rail.China is to pay for the entire rail line in exchange for natural resources from the other countries.The real kicker is this project may very well be the largest infrastructure project ever undertaken.

http://tinyurl.com/yz5vxkw

http://tinyurl.com/yewhqdc
 
a two-day travel with a train versus some hours with a plane - and as far as i know even more expensive :rolleyes:
btw, the russians never liked the idea of changing their track width to european standard. they could have easy and quick connection to the rest of europe, if they would have wanted to do so. they demanded the velaro to be produced for their wide tracks. now they´ll do it just to make the chinese look great? i don´t think so.

edit: well, maybe it would make some sense when they want to use this line for the transport of goods. faster then ships, but still more expensive.
 
no. but if they really should be able to take technological leadership, it would help a lot. high speed trains, superplanes and hyperboats would change my mind :D
i mean they already are a superpower, if not even almost THE superpower. i think it´s not fair how they reach it (stealing, dirty cheap labor), but unfair is a ridiculous word when it comes to world politics.
 
And they are utterly dependent on exports to the west. What's going to happen when we stop buying all those salad shooters?
 
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