Schmelzer
Valued Senior Member
The origin of the crap was, in this case, your crap: "John Bolton bears as much or more responsibility for the Syrian war than Clinton". Either elections matter, than Bolton as a Rpublican extremist has no power during Obama time, thus, cannot bear responsibility for the Syrian war which started 2011 in Obama time, or not. Your choice. I would like to prefer at least some consistent description of your reality.You keep posting silly crap like that because you lack information.
For example: you apparently have no idea what Bolton's influence and power has been, even the basic biography: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_R._Bolton
and you have no clear idea of Clinton's role in US policy in Syria, for comparison.
Strangely, up to now, this evil candidate did a lot of things I liked. And already half of the time is over. It looks like he may now do a serious thing which I don't like - namely to start a war in Venezuela.You supported the candidate most likely to have the US do exactly what you claimed you didn't want it to do, the candidate whose administration would most resemble the administrations whose behavior you most deplored, the candidate most likely to have the US behave as you claimed you didn't want the US to behave.
That it was impossible for Trump in the anti-Russian anti-Trump hysteria started by the liberals to start better relations with Russia is obvious, there is not even a need for a deep state, the anti-Russian anti-Trump mass media are open and obviously anti-Russian and anti-Trump.Now he is doing that - and you are flailing around looking for some "deep State" to explain what was right in front of you all along.
So essentially we agree - these were well-designed rhetorics. Let's add that the proposal also made sense. Because the worst thing for a reasonable US strategy would be a Russia-China-Iran alliance. Once one wants to fight China as well as Iran, fighting at the same time Russia is the greatest imaginable strategical stupidity.They were neither stupid nor accidental. They were the rhetorical claims, the bullshit line, of a very good, very able con man (and likely blackmail victim).
In fact, after Trump's election, some of the nationalist Russian commentators were afraid of this scenario, Trump establishing good relations to Putin and Russia going back to the Western side, cooperating with the US against China. I doubted that this has a chance. Whatever - it has not happened, and, given that this helps to finish the US unipolar world earlier than other possibilities, that's fine.
In fact, there are already two things the anti-Trumpers have done which have been good for the world, and bad for the US unipolar world: 1.) preventing a union with Russia, and forcing Russia into a Russia-China-Iran alliance, 2.) boosting Saudi Arabia because of this murder case in the embassy. I tend to shift toward the position that it does not really matter who rules the US, but that it is important that there is a split, and that they hate each other so much that both sides don't care about side effects in their in-fights.
There was some danger of a well-thought US foreign policy, namely of a correction of Obamas main stupidity, to force Russia and China into a strategic alliance. Fortunately, this has been prevented by the anti-Trumpers.You actually believe they were evidence of well-thought US foreign policy, for chrissake. (While ignoring the ones you didn't like, such as more nuclear weapons and more overseas military violence and more torture prisons and more taking oil by coercion and so forth).
We have something to look at. Fine, so what? We will look at.And now you have Bolton and Abrams to look at, as predicted by the better informed.
In fact, what do Russian commentators think about Venezuela? Quite different things. Many note that a large part of the inner problems is the economic stupidity of socialism. Other think the more important cause of the problems is the US fighting the Chaves regime from the start. There is agreement about the people there hating gringos very much so that a direct US war will not be something they will easily win, but, instead, something much more horrible than Afghanistan, and even with a lot of what is opposition to Maduro now switching sides. Moreover, there is the racist component - the opposition to Maduro being the rich white, with the poor natives behind Maduro. A constellation where you cannot expect many people switching sides because the US wins. To localize the war by motivating Brasil or Bolivia to start a war already fails, thus, without direct US involvement, there will be nothing but a few US-paid terrorists coming from Bolivia, with the danger of a revival of FARC in Bolivia as an answer. In comparison with Venezuela, both Bolivian as Brasilian armies are not a big problem. Thus, there will be nothing without the US itself fighting there. In other words, a new Vietnam for the US, which is already overstretched in Afghanistan and Syria. Once a military failure so close to the own border would be horrible, one can expect that the US gives a shit about Syria and Afghanistan and possibly even more in Eurasia. So, a plausible imaginable outcome of the whole game would be the return of the US to Monroe, South America being ruled by the US, but Eurasia left to Russia and China Once this would be a sort of acceptance of a multipolar world, this would be not that problematic too - and all this even if the US succeeds in Venezuela.
If they fail, like in Vietnam, even better. What would be necessary for this? The Venezuelan army is prepared for this, they have been aware for the danger for years, and they know that the army itself can hardly withstand against the US itself, thus, they have done all that is useful for a long term partisan war against US occupants. They will have the support of the people. Some more foreign support would be useful, of course. No problem. Cuba can get everything heavy they need for this from Russia, and then Cuba can organize the transfer to Venezuela.
So my guess is that what will be started will be yet another terrorist war, similar to Syria. With the Army being able to control this, at worst with some provinces under terrorist control similar to Idlib now. Something Hillary would have liked to do too.