Cris No that isn’t quite correct. Proofs are something that occurs in mathematics not science.
Yes, that distinction has been acknowledged several times, even in this thread I believe.
Science doesn’t claim to provide proofs. Science is primarily a logical process where the vast majority of conclusions are inductive. E.g. a test gives the same results 100% of the time so we can tentatively move on with some degree of confidence that that phenomenon is understood. This class of knowledge is best considered as scientific theory, e.g. the theory of gravity, atomic theory, etc, not to be confused with the layman concept of theory which largely means “best guess”. With any inductive process the conclusion must always be qualified by the degree of confidence and good scientists are always aware that a future test might yield a different result and hence the theory might need to be modified. A classic example is Newtons Laws of motion that had to be later modified when Einstein demonstrated relativity. The new tests didn’t invalidate Newton’s findings but enhanced them.
The critical driving force in science is evidence.
Please, if we are to be accurate, let us be honest and point out that it is what can only be called scientific evidence that drives science.
In a court of law circumstantial evidence can send a person to their death.
In science circumstantial evidence is of little value.
What is of little value in science may result in certain death.
Some people believe all evidence is scientific in nature, but that is only true for certain belief systems.
For those of the legal belief system, eye witness accounts are evidence. They may not be convincing, but many things can be admitted in court as evidence, that science would never accept, or accept with an insignificant importance.
But such a theory might well be the final truth and while science will not claim it a proof it might well be. My only issue is with your wording. It is that science doesn't claim a proof not that science hasn't found a proof.
You are using
proof in two different meanings here. Let us agree to say “It is that science doesn’t claim a proof not that science hasn’t found the truth.”
In your first use of
proof, you mean evidence which is convincing in all scientific tests and logic.
If science found proof, they would claim proof.
What you mean is, they may have found convincing evidence, which is consistent with the truth, but because the process of science is so rigorous, it cannot declare it has found proof.
Your meaning (it is clear to me, correct me if I am incorrect), is that science may have evidence consistent with the truth, but lack scientific proof.
What I see, that you do not, is that that is true for any claim.
Any belief may be consistent with reality, but lack the scientific proof.
Depending on our particular belief system, we may have very much evidence, which appears to us as overwhelming, or we might have some scribbles on a piece of paper.
The evidence may be exactly the same, but carry different weight based on our belief system.
There is no evidence that it did or could and hence no reason to reach a conclusion that such a thing is possible under the conditions described.
There is evidence, but not scientific evidence.
The inability to conclude that such a thing is possible is not equivalent to claiming it is impossible.
Where did I lose you?
We might show
A is true or false, we might show
~A is true or false. If we can not show either one is true or false, then either might be true or false. You statement is not true.
This is very simple logic.
Although from an inductive perspective and based on exiting known phenomena it is fairly reasonable to conclude that it is extremely unlikely. For anyone to claim otherwise would require substantial evidence.
We have no disagreement.
BHN If this (in their mind, or in reality), is true, it is not a part of science. Science says it cannot be proven impossible, there is no proof to show it cannot happen.
Cris Science says no such things. Science simply doesn’t operate that way.
Science is a process which yields certain results.
Can science ever yield the result that says it is impossible that the earth stood still? I say, no, this is not possible. Do you disagree?
Can the process of (non-mathematical) science provide proof of anything?
If my statement is false, show us the scientific proof the earth could not have stood still that one day.
You do not like the wording of my statement, so change it to suit your usage, the meaning will remain the same.
That is an invalid claim. To claim odds one must know all the possibilities. E.g. we know two 6 sided dice have 6 numbers each and we can accurately calculate the probability of any combination occurring on a given throw. In the case of the earth standing still there is nothing to indicate that it is a possibility and hence no odds can be established.
I do not argue for particular odds, simple odds greater than zero.
To know exact odds, one must know all possibilities.
To know the odds are greater than zero one only has to know there is no proof it is impossible.
Lacking scientific proof that it is impossible, the odds are greater than zero.
Again, this is simple logic.
As we previously discussed, the truth may be that the odds are zero, but lacking scientific proof, science cannot state that the odds are zero. The process of science cannot yield results consistent with the statement “The odds of the earth standing still on that day are zero.”
Which is all irrelevant because you cannot demonstrate that it is a possibility.
Again, if neither
A nor
~A can be shown to be true or false, either might be true or false, so the possibility exists that either may be true or either may be false.
Simple logic.
No this is nonsense. The inability to show that something is impossible does not lead to a conclusion that something is possible. One condition is not dependent on the other. Your conclusion is a non-sequitur.
I do not say I have convincing evidence it is possible, I say this is convincing scientific evidence it could be possible. [BHN prev quote:
this is scientific evidence that it could have stood still].
To say it
is possible, is to claim to know the truth, reality, to have proof.
I only claim that it could be possible. Again, this is simple logic.
If I cannot show it is impossible, I have shown it
could be possible.
No. Neither A nor ~A have been established.
Not only has neither been established, neither can be established. A very significant difference. If I am not able, using all of the resources available to science, to establish the truth or falseness of A or ~A, then I have established that either may be true or either may be false (according to science). Simple logic.
Strictly from the absence of evidence one is not able to conclude that the condition is possible or impossible. From the perspective of science and inductive reasoning we can conclude that the possibility is significantly unlikely.
Of course it is significantly unlikely. Even believers make that claim, that’s why they call it a miracle.
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Snakelord
BHN At least you have given up this claim that imaginary things no one believes in, have equal status with things the majority of individuals believe in. At least you have failed to respond.
Snakelord On the off chance that you can find it in your apparently moral, loving theist heart to answer my question decently, here it is again: What did I fail to respond to?
How is my meaning not clear?
You had failed to respond to my rebuttal that imaginary things that no one believes has equal status with things the majority of individuals believe in.
You failed to counter, I assumed you gave up that line of argument, then you later bring it up again.
If you counter my rebuttals when they occur, it makes things more simple.
To ignore my rebuttals, then bring up the same tired argument later is a waste of time.
Ideas have value based on their acceptance.
Ideas do not lose all value simply because one or two persons doubt them, or even if 40% of the people doubt them. When virtually no one accepts them, they have no value.
All of this has nothing to do with the truth or falseness of the ideas, simply the value individuals put on them.
If you claim it as "evidence" then you are simply wrong. Amount of believers does not hint, imply at nor is it evidence that something is true - hence the day zero people believed the world was round changed nothing to the fact that it is.
You confuse facts or truth with beliefs.
I have never hinted that if everyone in the universe believed something, that would make it true.
Beliefs are what is believed to be true (yes, stating the obvious, forgive me).
We have learned, through experience, that when no one believes a claim, it is unlikely to be true.
We have learned, through the same experiences, that when many people believe something is true, the likelihood of it being true increases.
Everyone’s belief system operates this way.
If one person tells you some unusual event happened (say, the president was assassinated) you may have serious doubts. If every person you meet remarks what a terrible thing it is that the president was killed, your beliefs about such a possible event changes, you begin to think it might actually be true, and you will seek confirmation.
If only one person says it happened, and everyone else says they know nothing about it, your belief is very slight.
If every person says it happened, your belief changes because the likelihood of it being true increases.
The single person who says it happened may be correct (because they did it), but no one else knows about it, so no one believes him.
The likelihood of it having occurred is slight, because the evidence is that only one person believes it. It is true, but not believed.
When everyone says it has happened, the likelihood of it having occurred has increased, but it may be totally bogus.
BHN Something millions of people believe has more likelihood of being true than something no one believes in. That is simple common sense.
SnakeLord That is simply incorrect.
Why is it incorrect?
Offer some explanation. I have explained why I reason that it is true. Please offer some reasoning that leads you to believe it is not true.
We know that all sane individuals
want to know the truth. Whether they actually do or not is another issue, but it is in their best interest to know the truth.
All individuals
want to know the truth, so when many people believe something, we can be assured they have perceived claims or evidence to convince them of the (perceived) truth.
All individuals
want to know the truth, so when few or no persons believe something, we can be assured they have not perceived any convincing evidence.
We do not have to reinvent the wheel, we use the decisions of others to influence our judgments or decisions. Each of us wants to know the truth, so when others we respect believe something to be true, we accept this as evidence that it is true. Please note I say
evidence, and not
convincing evidence.
We tend to put more strength in the beliefs of those in our own belief system, and to doubt the beliefs of those in other belief systems. When many persons in our belief system say something is true, it has a stronger likelihood of being true than when a few persons in an opposing belief system says the opposite is true.
This is so obvious, so undeniable, any opposition is an extraordinary claim, and requires extraordinary evidence.
What is your extraordinary evidence my statements [
We tend to put more strength in the beliefs of those in our own belief system, and to doubt the beliefs of those in other belief systems. When many persons in our belief system say something is true, it has a stronger likelihood of being true than when a few persons in an opposing belief system says the opposite is true.] are not true?
BHN You proclaim things with the certainty of the flat earth believers, and are incensed that your beliefs would be questioned.
SnakeLord Intriguing. What 'beliefs' are those pray tell?
Why so obtuse?
The belief there is no god, of course.
SnakeLord You have made 2 main arguments:
1) Something is true only if loads of people believe in it.
BHN: I never made this argument, you cannot show that I have.
Snakelord Lol, you've stated it dozens of times, "you cannot compare invisible bananas, nobody believes in them...."
I say nobody believes in invisible bananas, (implied: so they are probably not true), and to you this equates with “something is true only if loads of people believe it”?
Your point has completely missed me, as I see very little connection between the two concepts.
Let me see if I can make my position very clear:
The truth is not dependent on the beliefs of individuals, but individuals find it in their best interest to understand the truth, and to seek the truth, so when many individuals believe they know something to be true, this is some measure of evidence (second hand, call it a claim if you wish) that the belief is true. The value we put on this some measure will be based on the number of persons and what belief system they belong to. Every individual believes there is a direct connection between their beliefs and the truth (not necessarily a one to one correspondence, but some connection). Some will be correct, some will be incorrect.
This is an idiot proof concept, and your failure to acknowledge it has me concerned.
My concern is that you are intentionally being unreasonable, in the illogical sense.
If you were to type "seen a leprechaun" in google you would get a total of 802,000 sites. Indeed there are literally thousands upon thousands of people that claim to have seen leprechauns. Leprechauns have been written about for many hundreds of years, they feature in many prominent modern day festivals and advertising, every single person I have ever met has heard of leprechauns, and... the shocker.. how many times have you heard someone say "knock on wood" or "touch wood"? Yes, that has it origins in leprechaun mythology. Leprechauns have left their mark on the whole of humanity. I have heard literally hundreds of people say touch wood without realising that they are in fact asking a leprechaun for luck - and they take it so literally without realising what it is.
Does all of this add up to so much as one small, tiny little shred of evidence for the existence of leprechauns? The answer is a big fat hairy no.
That is a small number of hits for google, and we both know many of them will be jokes, and other references not claiming to be the truth or sightings.
“Thousands upon thousands” is a relatively small number, compared to the hundreds of billions of individuals who make no such claim. In percentages, what are we talking? Less than 1%, that is my claim. A lot less.
1000 times 1000, is one Million. That is less than 1% of the current population of the US adults.
Add in all the people who have died since the first leprechaun was reported, add in all of the people in Ireland and all of the other countries on the earth who have lived and died, and we are at the level one might call insignificant.
Your argument lacks serious merit.
I will say this is evidence of leprechauns, an insignificant amount of evidence, by the argument you present.
BHN: You have expressed a strong belief an imaginary universe with no god.
SnakeLord: Where? I'll send you dollars via paypal if you can show me..
Well , I seriously doubt you deny a belief in a universe with no god.
You want me to show you where you imply that is an imaginary belief, and again you are being obtuse.
You know my meaning and pretend you do not.
You have no proof such a universe exists, so I claim your belief is imaginary.
You have no proof I am not correct, I have no proof you are not correct. I consider your belief imaginary, you consider my belief to be imaginary. We all know that, the evidence is overwhelming.
BHN: Would you care to claim you have no belief system?
SnakeLord Depends how you define it, but generally speaking no.. I don't have a belief system. I have a "ah this is what the evidence shows" system - be that tea, crossing the road, bonking the wife..
You have expressed key parts of your belief system.
I know of no way to define
belief system, in any conventional sense, that one can claim to have no belief system.
One is always free to invent a meaning, to support their position.
If you have invented such a meaning, I will entertain it. Bear in mind I will claim it is a meaning held by one person alone, and so lacks credibility.
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andbna
I will reply as soon as time presents itself.
Thanks for the reply.