I've yet to see him do any and I've given him plenty of opportunities. Like when he claimed Hawking radiation can tunnel material into the black hole. I asked him to explain how it can do precisely the opposite of what Hawking and everyone else (including Malcolm Perry, who Paul mentions a lot and who lectured me Hawking radiation, which Hawking developed around the time Perry was his PhD student!) says. Nothing. Even when he claims something as innocuous as just percentages, I have asked him to back them up and he cannot. So where's he demonstrating working knowledge of physics? :shrug:Walter does know some physic, probably more than I do in this area.
Can you back that 'a week' ballpark figure? You'll find it depends on the number and size of the extra dimensions. But I'll give you a chance to show you can produce a backup to your claim of 'a week', just like I gave Walter a chance.A quick summary of it is that if Hawkings is wrong about tiny black holes evaporating in a "final high energy flash," then Earth will probably not last a week after one moving with less than the Earth's escape velocity is made.
But if the black holes are stable, they would form a gas throughout the universe which has a Boltzmann distribution and then there'd be some moving slowly, enough to be gravitationally captured, in the vicinity of any and all large stellar objects. Yet we've been here longer than 'a week'.Your argument repeating mine, posted here years ago, to the effect that we are safe because cosmic rays of much higher energy are constantly striking Earth and also make tiny black holes does NOT apply as all those tiny black holes are still traveling with essentially the speed of light and just pass harmlessly thru the Earth (and the sun also for that matter, if they happen to be headed that way).
Conversely, we have to make some pretty specific assumptions about quantum mechanics and gravity to firstly say that there's a change black holes can form even within 10 orders of magnitude of the LHC's energy levels. More specific assumptions about Hawking radiation being wrong. More assumptions to get the Earth eating time down to less than 4 billion years (at which point the Sun will die anyway). And even then, we've had to take the semiclassical limit of our understanding of quantum gravity (such as using SuGRA to model the low energy limit of string models, something I do my PhD on).It seems at least possible, since we know so little, next to nothing, about how "quatum theory" applies to "gravity physics" on very tiny scales that very tiny black holes could be stablized against the "final flash" by some quantum effect as atoms are against the radiative decay the accelerated charge (the electrons) orbiting the nucleus mandates if quantum effects were not stabalizing the atoms.
I once did the calculation of the radiative decay lifetime of a hydrogen atom if classical EM theory of Maxwell were not blocked by the quantum effects. I forget the exact results but all atoms would decay in very small fraction of a second, except for the fact that quantum effects are important on these tiny scales.
How do we know that quantum effects do not also apply to the tiny black holes that the LHC probably will make? If they do and very tiny black holes are also stablized, as atoms are, against radiative decay, then as stated and explained in more detail in post 1524 "Earth is a gonner."
So the "We're doomed!" people are making more assumptions about the danger than we are!
Can you point me to a post where Walter provides a level of understanding which goes in excess of someone whose read a few pop science books and Wikipedia? The link you provide where he corrects you doesn't go very far.I have seen no evidence that you understand this problem as well as Walter does.
For instance, I linked to the lecture notes I transcribed from the lecture course by Malcolm Perry I attended and then asked Walter to provide a back up to his claims on Hawking radiation which was of similar technical detail to the lecture notes I'd provided. After all, if someone as wet behind the ears as myself could understand those lecture notes, and get a Distinction in their 4th year exam on it, then Walter should have no problem giving a response which shows a similar level of technical understanding, right? Right?
And having read through your post 1524 I fail to see anything which isn't addressed in the safety argument. You just arm wave, assuming that a black hole made will repeatedly destroy the Earth or it only needs to hit one particle to be trapped or the process of absorbing material is quick or that a lot of them will be made. The safety analysis goes through such things quantitatively and precisely, you just blur the specifics enough that you always end up at the end you assume, that there'll be a clear and present danger.
Actually, Coulomb scattering is more appropriate. They aren't referring to electromagnetic scattering, they explicitly state they are considering neutral black holes and gravity only interactions. Since all the particles involved in the interactions have gravitational interactions with one another, you wouldn't model them as Compton scattering, where they are blind to one another until collision, but as them interacting with one another as they approach, via gravity. The diagram on the Rutherford/Coulomb Scattering page of Wikipedia shows how such scattering looks diagrammatically, which is the kind of interaction two objects interacting gravitationally would have. Infact, it's the same kind of process the lecture notes I liked to discuss, when working out the absorption cross section of a black hole. It's a pretty standard form of interaction in general relativity. Heck, I even wrote a program in C, for my 3rd year computing project, which worked out, via limiting orbits and numerical solutions of the Einstein Field Equations, the absorption cross section for a black hole absorbing photons or massive particles.A more correct name by classical analogy would be "Compton scattering," (as that applies to a non-charged particle passing a charged one) not "Coulomb scatering" as the electric Coulomb force is not causing the scattering. Calling it Coulumb does not make it so - but it sure does mislead!]
So it would seem your loud mouth whining about what (even if you were right) is nothing but a matter of terminology is actually demonstrating your ignorant of general relativity and basic gravitational interactions.
Good job.