Billy T,
Ophiolite,
Interplanetary biological transfer via ejecta sits comfortably with me. I can almost accept the possibility that relatively unprotected cells could survive interstellar journeys. However, I don't see how life could have originated in the interstellar environment, given the lack (I assume - this subject is not my forte) of large surface areas for the accumulation and concentration of the requisite molecules. To me, panspermia, used as an explanatory principle for terrestrial life, seems absurd. Why move the problem of genesis to a seemingly hostile environment from a demonstrably benign one if the necessary raw materials were common in both?
If I've erred at all in my reasoning, be gentle. Remember I'm strictly a layman in this area.
Do you arrive at your figure from the rapid appearance of terrestrial life, or is there another basis for it?Simple life is probably very common. I.e. better than a 50/50 chance on at least one orbiting object in every solar system.
I agree that prokaryote-like life is likely to be more common than eukaryote-like life, but the subject seems too speculative to justify the term "highly probable", given the single example we currently have.To advance to more complex, but still single-cell forms (Those with considerable internal structures providing unique services to the organism.) is highly probable at least on thousands of objects in each galaxy.
Ophiolite,
Interplanetary biological transfer via ejecta sits comfortably with me. I can almost accept the possibility that relatively unprotected cells could survive interstellar journeys. However, I don't see how life could have originated in the interstellar environment, given the lack (I assume - this subject is not my forte) of large surface areas for the accumulation and concentration of the requisite molecules. To me, panspermia, used as an explanatory principle for terrestrial life, seems absurd. Why move the problem of genesis to a seemingly hostile environment from a demonstrably benign one if the necessary raw materials were common in both?
If I've erred at all in my reasoning, be gentle. Remember I'm strictly a layman in this area.