Warning to Ostriches:
Keep head deep in sand as here is more contradicting thread's title:
"... It's conceivable that we entered a recession in the fourth quarter of this year,'' said Paul Kasriel, director of economic research at the Northern Trust Co. in Chicago and a former Fed economist. ``It's going to be a soft holiday sales season,'' he added, predicting the
unemployment rate will climb to 5.6 percent next year from 4.7 percent last month.
The collapse of the U.S. subprime mortgage market has led Citigroup Inc., Merrill and other banks and securities firms around the world to write down about
$76 billion of losses and markdowns this year.
Concern about the mounting losses diminished banks' willingness to lend cash to each other, sending funding costs higher. The three-month dollar London Interbank Offered Rate climbed to as high as 65 basis points more than the Fed's benchmark rate last week. That's the
widest spread, except for on Sept. 18 when the Fed cut rates, in seven years.
FROM:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ahUlLsekWXLA&refer=home
The FED should be turning on the mikes in a few minutes** to announce at least a 0.25% new cut, bringing the total to 1%, but it has not yet slowed the slide of global confidence in the soundness of the US economy. The dollar continues to fall. The grim choice seems to be recession or inflation.
Freddie Mac agrees:
"... Freddie Mac expects a 3 percent to 3.5 percent default rate, exceeding the record 2.4 percent rate on its books in 1991, the company said, according to a slide presentation. Credit losses on the current book of business will be $10 billion to $12 billion, Syron reiterated today. Almost half the impairments were reflected in third-quarter results reported on Nov. 20, the company said.
The decline in housing* ``will get tougher before it gets better,'' Syron said.
The share of all home loans with payments more than 30 days late rose to a seasonally adjusted 5.59 percent last quarter,
the highest since 1986,
From:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&refer=home&sid=auyuUCsPHc2U
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* Too bad, if true, for
Sandy who stated that she has already been buying up real estate. Perhaps she has not been praying well recently and God gave her bad advice?
** right on sched and Bloomberg had it posted in 3 minutes:
" The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter-point to 4.25 percent to prevent the housing slump and credit squeeze from undoing the six-year expansion. "