trippy said:
So to sum up.
Plutonium naturally occurs in Uranium Deposits.
Plutonium naturally occurs in minerals and some bedrock.
Where plutonium occurs in bedrock or mineral deposits, it is both possible and probable that the Plutonium will also be present in the soil.
To reiterate, then, since we apparently agree on the point: Plutonium is not found in the soil under "normal environmental conditions" anywhere on this planet.
From which we note: The levels found are not normal amounts found in soil under normal environmental conditions, such as humans have thousands of years of experience with and a reasonable inference of safety from. Safety cannot be inferred from the levels of plutonium found in the soil near this reactor. Implying such safety, inferring such safety, supporting such implications and inferences by technospeak and weasel wordings, etc, is not reasonable.
trippy said:
As well as cherry picking, it's a red herring, because what there saying amounts to "Actually, it looks like most* of the Putonium we've detected appears to have been a result of events that predate this incident, rather than as a consequence of this incident"
That is exactly and critically
not what they are saying, differing in the central and crucial detail of inferred safety from normal environmental circumstance. They are deliberately and precisely obscuring the fact that plutonium in the soil of Japan is due to
events - recent human caused disasters, accidents, horrific assaults; recent and bad effects of human doings,
->from which the safety of normal experience and long familiarity cannot be inferred.<-
Which of course is central and directly relevant to my arguments here.
Attempts to describe quantities of plutonium as the amounts expected in soil under "normal environmental conditions", in transparent and bogus attempts to reassure people of their safety and the general safety of industrial practices that manufacture and use plutonium, are dishonest. The people making these attempts are lying scum, attempting to regain narrative control in the wake of their latest disaster.
Successfully, if the suckered experts on this thread are a fair sample of the general information sources we will be seeing on our major media for months - as seems probable, from the media handling so far.
(btw: No, placer sand deposits are not "soil" in any reasonable, ordinary technical, or especially major media useful sense of the term -
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Placer_deposit.
Neither is mine waste, exposed and weathering bedrock, alluvial mineral deposits in stream beds, etc)
adoucette said:
So if there is a 10% chance of a Tsunami > 6 meters over 50 years it's quite likely the chance of a Tusunami > 8 meters would be half or less than that, and one of 10 meters much much less than that and one > 12 meters nearly zero.
So actually, that paper was probably somewhat reassuring.
Anyone who has ever been reassured by handwaving about "nearly zero" based on the contemporary state of earthquake prediction (forecasting, odds setting, etc) should be excluded from the design and siting decisions of nuclear power plants, now and from now on.