Hillary Out of Race?

How does Hillary have such a sizeable lead? Obama was ostensibly the democratic leader of New Hampshire, yet he's down about 5% as of now, and rapidly declining. I don't know if rigging at this point is useful or helpful to anyone (although it is plausible), but something happened to boost the Clinton support. Maybe people bought the tears?

I don't know how else you explain this.

Hillary had to bus in supporters to fill her campaign rally's. Obama had to go outside and console those who couldn't get into his.

Democracy my ass.
 
Other than the crying, could Bill Clinton be the other factor? He made some very anti-Obama soundbytes at the last minute.

Hoping to knock Obama off-stride, Bill Clinton took several shots at the Illinois senator during a Monday town-hall-style meeting in Hanover. The former president said the media had been too easy on Obama -- saying at one point, "Give me a break. This whole thing is the biggest fairy tale I've ever seen."

But Obama responded sharply Tuesday to the former president as he campaigned at a Dunkin Donuts in Manchester. "He keeps on giving half the quote. I was always against the war," Obama said. "And you know, I understand why he's frustrated. But at some point since we've corrected him repeatedly on this and he keeps on repeating it, you know, it tells me that he's just more interested in trying to muddy the waters than actually talk fairly about my record."

Clinton was saying Obama was for the war. Is he descending into some Limbaugh level smearing? That would be sad.

Obama has closed the gap a little bit. Hopefully he ends solidly ahead. I'd just *love* to see Hillary's reaction to a loss after false hope.
 
madanthonywayne:

madanthonywayne said:
JR said:
No doubt conservative fundamentalist Christians like sandy will be doing everything they can to retain their man in the White House. Non-rednecks will really have to mobilise to get a Democrat elected, even despite the Iraq war etc.

So everyone is either a Democrat or a conservative fundamentalist Christian redneck? And you say conservatives oversimplify and see things in black and white.

You're reading something into my post that I never said, and creating a straw man.

I never said every Republican was a redneck fundamentalist Christian. Your assumption that I think that says more about you than it does about me.
 
I'm one of those people, sort of. I said I didn't care about the caucus, and I really didn't. Pat Buchanan won Iowa, didn't he? Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton lost it.
The fact is, I think HC could get beat in New Hampshire, beat badly, and still salvage her prospects with Super Tuesday. Momentum is important in elections, but it's not everything.

I don't care about it either. It's just interesting/fun to watch because I like some of the candidates. I like watching the Obama/Hillary thing. The GOP nom is a crapshoot but I'm still leaning toward Romney. He is the one I would trust in a crisis. None of the others.

I'm now convinced that the whole thing is rigged.
Fcking Hillary winning New Hampshire. What a fkcing joke.

Obama's only behind by 3%. The nite is young. And it's not over yet. I do hope Hillary wins though.
 
It's far too soon to be making THAT prediction! Even though I don't like Hillary, it's not over until the "flat" lady screams (and cries). ;)

She has made some devastating mistakes (I'll list some of them) But has time to correct them - if she gets smart enough.

1. The biggest of all is her attempt to conncet with those who want change and her paridoxial claims to BE offering change. Why? Because all of her senior campaign staff members are all straight from within the Beltway. They've been there for years, including with Bill. And if she were to win they would all be given Cabinet positions and such as a reward for having helped her. The result of that whould be NO change at all - just the same business as usual.

2. This is also connected with her promise of change. The people have grown very tired of the Bush/Clinton version of government for the past 28 years. Most do not want to extend it - they actually DO want change.

3. Last one I''ll mention (for now). Her recent "breaking voice, teary eyes" are certainly NOT the vision people have of a strong leader! Since she's obviously emotional, that also means unstable. Do you really want that for supreme leader of the country?????? And by the way, that's ALWAYS been the major complaint that most people have to the idea of a female president. (Question: have you seen any of the male contenders break down like that??)
 
3. Last one I''ll mention (for now). Her recent "breaking voice, teary eyes" are certainly NOT the vision people have of a strong leader! Since she's obviously emotional, that also means unstable. Do you really want that for supreme leader of the country?????? And by the way, that's ALWAYS been the major complaint that most people have to the idea of a female president. (Question: have you seen any of the male contenders break down like that??)

So "strong" people can't cry? There's nothing wrong with getting emotional about something you feel very passionate about. Considering she's been campaigning constantly for almost two years, these types of things come naturally. Now, this doesn't mean that I thought her teary eyes were legitimate or genuine, but even if they were, she shouldn't be scrutinized for it. Being emotional does not mean you're unstable. Would you really want a person who showed no emotion running your country?
 
So "strong" people can't cry? There's nothing wrong with getting emotional about something you feel very passionate about. Considering she's been campaigning constantly for almost two years, these types of things come naturally. Now, this doesn't mean that I thought her teary eyes were legitimate or genuine, but even if they were, she shouldn't be scrutinized for it. Being emotional does not mean you're unstable. Would you really want a person who showed no emotion running your country?

Emotions are one thing that comes in many forms. WEAK emotions are NOT the mark of a fearless leader.

Two year, nothing! She's been working on this ever since Bill left office. Why do you think she moved and set up residence in New York? She's been a political animal FAR too long to just crack under the strain of loosing a singel caucas and only facing the second state in voting.
 
Perhaps some citizens of NH assumed that Obama would win because of his lead in the polls, and thus did not feel a responsibility or need to vote for him, believing that he would win regardless of their input. However, NH is largely an independent state, and perhaps John McCain took votes from Obama.
And then again, perhaps the whole thing was rigged, which I do not believe is farfetched at all. In fact, in my state (Washington) there were several recounts for our most recent governor [Gregoire (D)], and a Republican was the declared winner, only to have it go into multiple recounts, where the lead flipped repeatedly, and headlines in the news airing "mail-in votes lost" and such.
And on the note of presidency, I would be very afraid if Clinton was our president, not only because she breaks down (and I'm not referring to her recent balling) and is indecisive in my opinion. And while Obama isn't necessarily all that, despite his impressive syntax, I disagree with some things, but then again, my other alternative- McCain, isn't my favorite either. However, despite my preferences, Clinton is clearly still in this race.
 
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Honestly if that is the reason people changed to Hillary it is hopelessly pathetic.
 
No more so than the woman interviewed in South Carolina who equated seeing Obama and Oprah to a "religious experience." Or the woman who liked Edward because she liked his hair. In other words, most of the reasons people vote the way they do are "hopelessly pathetic."
 
Hillarys win in NH stinks to high heaven. How come the polls correctly predicted every other race, but the only race they were WAY off on was Hillary and Barak's. I wonder why?

Obama and Paul poll workers kicked out of some precincts

Posted by James Pindell January 8, 2008 03:23 PM

Campaign volunteers for the Barack Obama and Ron Paul have been kicked out of precincts from Concord to Swanzey for not having the proper credentials, several unrelated sources have witnessed.

In general elections it is standard practice to have poll workers sitting behind the registration table and scratching off names as people sign in. Periodically they take those lists and the campaign gets in contact with those who have voted yet.

http://www.boston.com/news/local/politics/primarysource/2008/01/obama_and_paul.html
 
Yeah, Obama lost just like Gore did. The election was stolen from him. Not. :rolleyes:

There are several theories of why Hil had a comeback, the most pathetic being her croc tears worked with the stupid/young woman voters. :rolleyes:
 
Yeah, Obama lost just like Gore did. The election was stolen from him. Not. :rolleyes:

There are several theories of why Hil had a comeback, the most pathetic being her croc tears worked with the stupid/young woman voters. :rolleyes:

Doesn't matter because she's going to get obliterated in the S.C primaries.
 
I don't know how else you explain this.

Hillary had to bus in supporters to fill her campaign rally's. Obama had to go outside and console those who couldn't get into his.

Democracy my ass.

Exactly, how come all those people who allegedly voted for her can't make it to any of her rallies? The pundits mentioned that Obama had the biggest crowds that they've ever seen in N.H. 700 people inside his rallies, and 700 people outside who couldn't get in. Hillary didn't draw those crowds to her rallies. But she sure did drive them to the polls. And her staged IRON MY SHIRT fiasco was dispicable.
 
ganymede said:
Hillarys win in NH stinks to high heaven. How come the polls correctly predicted every other race, but the only race they were WAY off on was Hillary and Barak's. I wonder why?
The polls were off in general, everybody's races.

The most accurate poll on the Hillary/Barack vote (one of the major polls almost nailed it - had Barack,but by by less than a point) was the least accurate on the Republican side (picked Romney to win).

Predictive polls are not the same as exit polls, for evaluating vote counts and the like.

If I wanted to cobble up a conspiracy, I would look at whether Hillary's campaign manipulated the polls in advance, to maximise the favorable impact of what they could see would be close vote, and maximise the known tendency of NH voters to react against being pushed and assumed. All the reports of discouraged staff, emotional distress, etc - not the sort of thing one would expect from the Machine after a small setback like Iowa. Barack's a rookie at this - his confidence and charisma just got used against him.
 
Exactly, how come all those people who allegedly voted for her can't make it to any of her rallies? The pundits mentioned that Obama had the biggest crowds that they've ever seen in N.H. 700 people inside his rallies, and 700 people outside who couldn't get in. Hillary didn't draw those crowds to her rallies. But she sure did drive them to the polls. And her staged IRON MY SHIRT fiasco was dispicable.

Crowds at campaign rallies don't necessarily translate into votes at the polls. People forget to vote, change their mind, aren't registered — there's a whole host of reasons. For example, I went to an Edwards event to hear him speak, but I would never vote for the man. About 40,000 people went to see Oprah/Obama at USC in Columbia, but I doubt he gets that many votes from it. College kids never vote.
 
Polls are inaccurate. Look at the election exit polls in 2000. And 2004. :D
Everyone had Gore and then Kerry winning. :rolleyes:

HAHAHAHAHAHA!! :xctd:
 
I read in the news that she won...something, and she really looks happy about it. So she can't be out of the race yet. I saw Magdaline Albright at barnes and noble bookstore last evening, she came to sign her new book, everybody seem to really like her. I' sure alot of people couldn't believe their eyes, including me. I can proudly say I have seen the former secetary of state.
 
I posted/started a new thread last nite at 10 that she won. There are a lot of election threads.
 
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