Entire Middle East Not Worth the Bones of a Single US Marine

You can flip that particular coin: how does continuation of American presence help or expedite the situation?

Well, it could. They could rebuild. But almost the entirety of the budget is going to defense, no? I don't know if it's too much to ask that people not set off IEDs and the like, but you have to admit that if there weren't any terrorism there might be more rebuilding. So: the continued American presence, in the present situation, doesn't help. But it could. But the choice of whether it does or not really isn't in the hands of the Yanks.

Anyway, my position is still that if the majority of the people want them gone in six months or one year (however one cares to balance the interpretation of that poll) then they should go anyway. That's the very essence of the democracy they wish to install.
 
What I keep thinking back to is I do not recall us taking any polls, or even asking for much input on the governments we put in place in post Nazi Germany, or Imperial Japan....or really in asking their opinion on the matter of when we should vacate....I think given the current success in both of those nations, perhaps that was a good choice........oh but of course this is different, after all there were no zealots in Nazi Germany, or Imperial Japan.....right?
 
Dear Geoff,

Hows it oign and thank you for your response?

i did not say that at all, anyway the British rule that area before 1948 and called it the british mandate for Palestine or something similar

As you like, but it sounded quite different.

You are right Geoff, not one country does all bad acts and not one country can do all good.

Except [ENC]East Korea[/ENC].

Yes the poor Jewish immigrants have escaped the slaughter and racism against them from Christian Europe.

Well, now we're back on the invective. You seem to have issue with anti-semitism in Europe as being a rationale for the creation of a Jewish state. But, verily I tell you, there was antisemitism everywhere. I think the entire affair is quite unfortunate; yet there is a point to be made that they did need a state of their own. They escaped the slaughter and racism of Christian Europe - only to encounter the racism, slaughter and slow, grinding abasement and genocide of the Middle East. The former does not somehow excuse the latter.
 
What I keep thinking back to is I do not recall us taking any polls, or even asking for much input on the governments we put in place in post Nazi Germany, or Imperial Japan....or really in asking their opinion on the matter of when we should vacate....I think given the current success in both of those nations, perhaps that was a good choice........oh but of course this is different, after all there were no zealots in Nazi Germany, or Imperial Japan.....right?
Are you suggesting you're better off simply imposing your way on Iraq regardless? Mmmmm...
 
Are you suggesting you're better off simply imposing your way on Iraq regardless?

Originally yes, now...it's too late.....

had we gone in with a larger number of troops, presented them with a new government and sat on that country until it started working then yes..we would have been better off....

I think the last 5,000 years of post wars and successful rebuilding of nations supports that point.

At this point doing so would be however seen as a new war with the Iraqi people, as opposed to the last regime....so now it would be a bad idea......

You only get one shot at doing it right......

I don't recall Germans or Japanese initially being fond of American occupation either.....but they're two of the most successful economies in the world right now.....it's hard to argue us imposing a sane form of ogovernment on them like it or not was a bad call.

At what point did we "win the hearts and minds" of Nazi party member's or Imperial cult zealots in Japan? Do you honestly beleive the zealots in Iraq match the zeal of Imperial Japanese still found hold up in caves years later?

We didn't concern ourselves with winning over hearts and minds in those "barbaric days" we simply said this is how it will be, and if you don't like it pick up your rifle and fight........but of course now we're wiser and know that "violence doesn't solve anything"......:p
 
Hello geoff,

thank you for your response.


Except [ENC]East Korea[/ENC].
.

We ll yes i forgot about east Korea.


Well, now we're back on the invective. You seem to have issue with anti-semitism in Europe as being a rationale for the creation of a Jewish state. But, verily I tell you, there was antisemitism everywhere. I think the entire affair is quite unfortunate; yet there is a point to be made that they did need a state of their own. They escaped the slaughter and racism of Christian Europe - only to encounter the racism, slaughter and slow, grinding abasement and genocide of the Middle East. The former does not somehow excuse the latter.

What makes you think i have any invective issue, i was just reminding you that the Christian europeans caused more sluaghter than the Arabs did of the jews. As i am always quick to poitn out Leaders do shit things to enhance their power and to feed that lust for power too.

but i thoguht the major jewish population increases in Palestine (british Mandated Transjoradan) were from about 1940's onwards or maybe a bit before. therefore the majority settled in israel after 1948 or when the british were in charge, so i dont get what you mean by escaping one slughter and heading into another by the arabs/muslims.

~~~~~~~~
taek it ez
zak
 
GeoffP:“By "unprecedented hell" I presume you mean the terrorism."

No, I mean the totality of Iraq's present agony.

”Oh, God, I knew you were going to say that. "Oh, the horror, the inhumanity!" Can you please specify what you mean, Hindenburg Lad? "

You are being disgustingly flippant about the horrors that Iraqis are enduring, and I suspect that it is because you are exhibiting a conditioned dehumanization of the victims. There is literally a horrific inhumanity taking place in Iraq right now, and the American leaders who concocted this failed occupation are directly responsible for initiating this downward spiral into depravity.

I'm not experiencing a conditioned dehumanization of anything. I'm simply trying to pry out of you a statement on the exact nature of the suffering of the people of Iraq and how the American departure will aid that. The main negative consequence of the Yank presence is terrorism, which apparently the Yanks invoke through their continued and obstinate presentation of themselves as targets, apparently. Now: exactly what other suffering are they responsible for and how will their leaving fix it? Will the roads reknit themselves when the last GI boot is lifted from the sacred soil of Iraq? Will the grace of Allah permit the re-establishment of electricity and water: for, doth he not control all things from the greatest to the smallest? What exactly will happen.

"And how - exactly - will the American withdrawal help or expedite the situation?"

As I have been patiently, clearly, and repetitively explaining to you, the leading direct unintended consequence of the experiment has been the breakdown of Iraqi society. Iraq continues to be wracked by the agony of a societal seizure, that was directly induced by an intervention that has been an incompatible systemic insult. When accountable people carry out an experiment, and the experiment goes catastrophically wrong, accountable people halt the experiment. Irresponsible and insincere people, desperately avoiding inquiries inevitably leading to questions of accountability, often make ridiculous statements of denial, and dance childishly around the subject.

Or, rather, fisk about the subject without providing a clear response to legitimate inquiry with which they'd assuredly rather not deal. Accountable people might well halt an experiment which goes wrong, but if the experiment is doomed to go even wronger once the PI walks out of the lab and flips the light off, then that strikes me as actually even more unaccountable. It's rather like an experiment where someone introduces a few dogs to a room, notices that they immmediately begin savaging one another, and then decides to bugger off to avoid any further suffering on their part. I think you would see that there's going to be suffering even if the researcher in question does leave, and irrespective of what's gone on previously.

"And it behooves the former at least to have suffering and chaos instead of stability and efficient exploitation?"

No again. Unintended consequences remain the aspect of this disaster that you refuse to acknowledge.

Wrong. I do acknowledge it. I merely place the blame evenly, on the appropriate parties for the appropriate reasons.

You have given no reasonable basis for your denial of this reality. I am sensitive to the fact that this denial is essential to your stubborn spin: You are expressing personal investment in the neoconservative project in Iraq.

LMAO - no, hypey, that's ridiculous. Rather, I am simply asking you what the consequences of an American withdrawal will be. This is as relentlessly impersonal as one can get. Tell me - and without falsehood if you can - which reality am I denying? Is it the big one everyone else lives in, or yours? On the contrary, it's you that has a staggering personal investment in this, while I couldn't really care less.

That's fine, but I won't leave you to make facile obfuscations of the basic facts.

LMAO again - which ones?

I'll first offer my estimation of what you are trying to say there: That American troops have been a stabilizing force in Iraq, and beneficial to American energy interests.

Oh, good Lord, man, not at all. That isn't my point in the slightest. The American presence in Iraq is not stabilizing at all. But what you childishly seem to be avoiding is that it's not them that chooses instability. It's hardly the American preference to be loosing men and materials fighting the latest round of idiots off the short bus from Damascus. But is there any other choice, when IEDs are going off everywhere? I might add that the insurgency's concern for the freedom and welfare of Iraqis is a bit mitigated by the horrendous civilian casualties they cause.

Your repetitious insistence that foreign intervention in Iraq, instigated deceptively by the Bush Wite House, is not the leading political irritant in Iraq is a baseless and ridiculous argument.

Yawn. No, hypey, that's not what I'm saying. It's funny; you almost seem to be proposing a sort of racism based on the idea that the terrorists don't have any range of self-control, or that they must, automaton-like, attack Americans on whatever grounds, as though they were unable to decide for themselves whether or not to commit to terrorism. You do realize that they could - and should - not to blow people and things up, but maybe even to help with the reconstruction? :eek: Imagine that: a proto-islamic-political supremacism not based on the suppression or destruction of the other.

"Wouldn't chaos also make it hard to exploit Iraq?"

(Round and round we go) Obviously. Again, the architects of this war were not anticipating such chaos. They admitted as much in their early pronouncements of their expectations during the mobilization and invasion. I don't think I need to round up the quotes for you, because they are well established in the public record and conscience now. I doubt that you have managed personally to fully repress these memories.

Yawn. I think I'd be more interested in your personal slanders if they were funny, I guess. Anyway: this does not place the blame on the Yanks, I'm sorry to have to tell you. They were not anticipating such chaos: and, categorically, they did not cause it directly. The direct parties are elsewhere - lest you think Americans are personally running around bombing things.

"...the direct result of the terrorists deciding that a 4:1 civilian:soldier fatality distribution was "deen enough for us"), which does suggest intentionality."

Blah, blah, blah. Also untrue: The fatality rate among Iraqis, relative to US fatalities, is much higher, and the deaths are by no means confined to "terrorists".

Amazing. You have missed the point entirely, because your political predisposition canalizes your focus to imagine that all your opponents must be "Johnny-USA" types, preaching body-bag superiority. Astounding. The ratio refers to the civilians, tiny, tiny brain: those civilians that the terrorists are trying to liberate into the Great Hereafter, apparently.

"That's the only way you could ascribe it directly back to the Yanks."

Horse pucky. There is direct correlation between American troops in Iraq and the violence there.

Because the Americans are the ones planting IEDs. The terrorists are merely mindless automatons, incapable of thought, but only response to stimuli, like primitive organisms. No?

"Let us hope. But let us also not delude ourselves."

Oh, bullshit. You can't dumb this down to some inane plot line like a fantasy adventure of 2-dimensional heroes, villains, and foes. This isn't a game of Cowboys and Indians. Try confronting the issues, Geoff. The silly game of denial you're playing is just lame.

I considered your complaints, and frankly it all boils down to this: there is no need for an insurgency, and no need for terrorism. A significant proportion of Iraqis (according to your own poll) want the Americans to leave, but a significant proportion want them to stay for at least a year. The Yanks could be rebuilding all this time, but instead they're forced to deal with terrorism. The terrorism itself engenders the suffering: you might think (and undoubtedly do) that the mere presence of American troops causes terrorism, but it doesn't. That decision is taken every day by the terrorists themselves. A majority of Iraqis wanted Saddam gone, and he is: there is and remains damage from the war that got rid of him, but terrorism is not going to help clean that up. You refuse to answer questions about how much more or less suffering is going to occur once the Yanks leave: frankly, it more seems like you'd be happier once the entire situation is under the radar, no matter what the immediate outcome. This is your choice, but let's be realistic about the facts.
 
We ll yes i forgot about east Korea.

On behalf of our Glorious Nation, I accept your apology.

What makes you think i have any invective issue, i was just reminding you that the Christian europeans caused more sluaghter than the Arabs did of the jews. As i am always quick to poitn out Leaders do shit things to enhance their power and to feed that lust for power too.

Well then, we agree on point of politics - and in that case specifically, the failure of separation of mosque and state. My issue is with the larger realm of islamic politics altogether - domestic and otherwise - much as my issue is with the concept of capitalism altogether.

therefore the majority settled in israel after 1948 or when the british were in charge, so i dont get what you mean by escaping one slughter and heading into another by the arabs/muslims

Well it's plain to see that when the majority moved in they rapidly would have become aware of the conflict from those Jews already there - and the latter had abundant reason to be alarmed at the goings-on towards them in islamic Palestine.
 
GeoffP: "The main negative consequence of the Yank presence is terrorism, which apparently the Yanks invoke through their continued and obstinate presentation of themselves as targets, apparently. Now: exactly what other suffering are they responsible for and how will their leaving fix it?"

Terrorism is an inadequate descriptor of the vicious cycle of violence now gripping Iraq. A civil war is grinding on without any possible chance for resolution, and it will continue thusly for so long as US forces (and their dwindling token allies) remain.

"Will the roads reknit themselves when the last GI boot is lifted from the sacred soil of Iraq? Will the grace of Allah permit the re-establishment of electricity and water: for, doth he not control all things from the greatest to the smallest? What exactly will happen."

The same thing that happens in any civil war: More killing. The difference will be that it will run its course, and the sectarian fighting may hopefully be contained by neighbor states. Basically, the USA does not have a legitimate mandate to decide the outcome of the Iraqi Civil War. Nor does the USA have the capability to halt it. We can't even effectively take sides with a viable party. We have become universally despised among Iraqi communities. Our favor is the kiss of death. All that we can now accomplish through American military efforts in Iraq is to prolong and compound the carnage.

"I think you would see that there's going to be suffering even if [occupation forces] leave, and irrespective of what's gone on previously."

That's right.

"I am simply asking you what the consequences of an American withdrawal will be."

Catharsis.

"Tell me - and without falsehood if you can - which reality am I denying?"

You are denying the reality that the false justifications for the intervention in Iraq eliminate all possibility that Iraqis will settle their future under US auspices. We have been revealed to be holding a corrupt moral mandate in Iraq, which is much worse than having no mandate at all. This removes all hope of popular support for our self-declared mandate. Popular support is essential and indispensible to the realization of our goals. Popular support for any American designs is gone, and it isn't coming back.

"it's not [the occupation force] that chooses instability. It's hardly the American preference to be loosing men and materials fighting the latest round of idiots off the short bus from Damascus. But is there any other choice, when IEDs are going off everywhere? I might add that the insurgency's concern for the freedom and welfare of Iraqis is a bit mitigated by the horrendous civilian casualties they cause."

American forces are in the middle of a fight that we recklessly precipitated. And still the fact remains that it is not our fight.

"you almost seem to be proposing a sort of racism based on the idea that the terrorists don't have any range of self-control, or that they must, automaton-like, attack Americans on whatever grounds, as though they were unable to decide for themselves whether or not to commit to terrorism. You do realize that they could - and should - not to blow people and things up, but maybe even to help with the reconstruction? Imagine that: a proto-islamic-political supremacism not based on the suppression or destruction of the other."

You are again lumping all Iraqi turmoil under the propagandistic label of "terrorism", in order to obscure the issues.

"this does not place the blame on the Yanks, I'm sorry to have to tell you. They were not anticipating such chaos: and, categorically, they did not cause it directly."

Bullshit. Without the invasion, this would not be happening. Lots of us saw it coming, and we warned the Bush cabinet before they pulled the trigger.

"The direct parties are elsewhere - lest you think Americans are personally running around bombing things."

As a matter of fact, we are, and it's not making us any friends.

"a significant proportion [of Iraqis] want [Americans] to stay for at least a year."

How significant a proportion? Sources please.

"You refuse to answer questions about how much more or less suffering is going to occur once the Yanks leave"

Less than if we stay, because the status quo is an extremely bloody stalemate.

"let's be realistic about the facts."

Yes, let's please do that.
 
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Well, hype has cherry-picked his way through my points, and courtesy dictates I do the same.

GeoffP: "The main negative consequence of the Yank presence is terrorism, which apparently the Yanks invoke through their continued and obstinate presentation of themselves as targets, apparently. Now: exactly what other suffering are they responsible for and how will their leaving fix it?"

Terrorism is an inadequate descriptor of the vicious cycle of violence now gripping Iraq. A civil war is grinding on without any possible chance for resolution, and it will continue thusly for so long as US forces (and their dwindling token allies) remain.

After which, it will magically stop, precipitated by little elves.

"Will the roads reknit themselves when the last GI boot is lifted from the sacred soil of Iraq? Will the grace of Allah permit the re-establishment of electricity and water: for, doth he not control all things from the greatest to the smallest? What exactly will happen."

The same thing that happens in any civil war: More killing. The difference will be that it will run its course, and the sectarian fighting may hopefully be contained by neighbor states.

There: now that wasn't so hard, was it? Yet, the neighbour states are not really containing it, are they? Nor will they. The end will be predictable: Iranian influence. Or Saudi. So the foreign intervention is never really going to be done. One hopes the violence might be; rather, I see more a Beirut happening.

"I am simply asking you what the consequences of an American withdrawal will be."

Catharsis.

LOL - bloodletting, you mean? Indeed.

"Tell me - and without falsehood if you can - which reality am I denying?"

You are denying the reality that the false justifications for the intervention in Iraq eliminate all possibility that Iraqis will settle their future under US auspices.

Mmmm - yes and no. There were various reasons given for the invasion, some of which were obviously true. Saddam was a dick. He was trying to buy nukes from North Korea. Some of the impressions of the Yanks are wrong, some are not. But in assessing who's responsible for most of the suffering in Iraq today, it's the terrorists. There could be more rebuilding, but the budget's going to fighting them.

American forces are in the middle of a fight that we recklessly precipitated. And still the fact remains that it is not our fight.

Do you feel that the Americans have no obligation to sort Iraq out before they pack up and leave?

You are again lumping all Iraqi turmoil under the propagandistic label of "terrorism", in order to obscure the issues.

Well, which other ones? You yourself discussed nothing but the terrorism. Which other issues are going to be solved by the Yanks leaving?

"this does not place the blame on the Yanks, I'm sorry to have to tell you. They were not anticipating such chaos: and, categorically, they did not cause it directly."

Bullshit. Without the invasion, this would not be happening. Lots of us saw it coming, and we warned the Bush cabinet before they pulled the trigger.

"We"? Which "we" is this? Is this Colin Powell?

The issue is whether or not Bush saw the fiasco coming; and he evidently didn't.

"The direct parties are elsewhere - lest you think Americans are personally running around bombing things."

As a matter of fact, we are, and it's not making us any friends.

Oh? Americans are planting IEDs and cutting people's heads off? Why are they doing that?

"a significant proportion [of Iraqis] want [Americans] to stay for at least a year."

How significant a proportion? Sources please.

http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/pipa/articles/home_page/250.php?nid=&id=&pnt=250&lb=hmpg1

So a major proportion want the US to stay for a year. 100-37=?? I don't know whether the "2 year" question below it is with the same poll or not.

"You refuse to answer questions about how much more or less suffering is going to occur once the Yanks leave"

Less than if we stay, because the status quo is an extremely bloody stalemate.

I wonder.
 
GeoffP: "The neighbour states are not really containing [Iraqi violence], are they?"

They will act in their own self-interests, which is of scant comfort to Iraqis. However, there is a chance for containment if the situation is not allowed to continue festering as it is now.

"The end will be predictable: Iranian influence. Or Saudi."

There are more players than that, and the end is not predictable. Israel is involved in Kurdistan, Turkey against them, Iran with the Shiat, Jordan and Saudia are involved with the Sunni. And there are still more players. Iraq, like Lebanon during her worst crises, is being tugged at from all sides.

"I see more a Beirut happening."

It's already beyond that. Civilian deaths since the invasion have long and far exceeded those of the Lebanese Civil War. You are extremely callous about Iraqi deaths, Geoff.

" [Saddam] was trying to buy nukes from North Korea."

Oh, come off it. It's pathetic to fall back on that tired old bullshit again, trying to pass it off as justification for what is occuring.

" In assessing who's responsible for most of the suffering in Iraq today, it's the terrorists."

You are again lumping all Iraqi turmoil under the propagandistic label of "terrorism", in order to obscure the issues.

" Well, which other ones? You yourself discussed nothing but the terrorism. Which other issues are going to be solved by the Yanks leaving?"

Apparently the concept of terrorism is intruding on all of your thoughts. We have been discussing sectarian and anti-occupation violence in Iraq that cannot be dismissed as terrorism.

" Do you feel that the Americans have no obligation to sort Iraq out before they pack up and leave?"

There really isn't much productively left to do, but give fair warning to the Arab League and the UN, and commence a staged withdrawal.

"This does not place the blame on the Yanks, I'm sorry to have to tell you. They were not anticipating such chaos: and, categorically, they did not cause it directly."

Bullshit. Without the invasion, this would not be happening. Lots of us saw it coming, and we warned the Bush cabinet before they pulled the trigger.

"We"? Which "we" is this? Is this Colin Powell?"

No. I am one of many American citizens who spoke out before this war began. Warnings about dire consequences including civil war in Iraq were conveyed to the very top.

"The issue is whether or not Bush saw the fiasco coming; and he evidently didn't."

That's no cause for absolution.

"The direct parties are elsewhere - lest you think Americans are personally running around bombing things."

As a matter of fact, we are, and it's not making us any friends.

"Oh? Americans are planting IEDs and cutting people's heads off? Why are they doing that?"

Most often, it's in panicked self-defense. Their explosive devices are manufactured and mobile, not improvised and stationary. Very often the collateral casualties are apalling and enraging to the local populace. Iraqis, like any people, are far more likely to overlook the crimes of their countrymen than those of a foreign occupier.

"a significant proportion [of Iraqis] want [Americans] to stay for at least a year.""

How significant a proportion? Sources please.

GeoffP's linked source: Most Iraqis Want U.S. Troops Out Within a Year
A new WPO poll of the Iraqi public finds that seven in ten Iraqis want U.S.-led forces to commit to withdraw within a year. An overwhelming majority believes that the U.S. military presence in Iraq is provoking more conflict than it is preventing and there is growing confidence in the Iraqi army. If the United States made a commitment to withdraw, a majority believes that this would strengthen the Iraqi government. Support for attacks on U.S.-led forces has grown to a majority position—now six in ten. Support appears to be related to a widespread perception, held by all ethnic groups, that the U.S. government plans to have permanent military bases in Iraq...

A large majority of Iraqis—71%—say they would like the Iraqi government to ask for U.S.-led forces to be withdrawn from Iraq within a year or less.

"So a major proportion want the US to stay for a year. 100-37=?? I don't know whether the "2 year" question below it is with the same poll or not

You are grossly misinterpreting your own link. Why don't you go back and read it again slowly.

"You refuse to answer questions about how much more or less suffering is going to occur once the Yanks leave"

Less than if we stay, because the status quo is an extremely bloody stalemate.

"I wonder."

Good. Keep wondering, and you'll find a way to break out of denial.
 
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I pray that Americans have learned that their administration has really screwed up their country and completely devastated the Middle East. I really hope that at last Americans, particular those who supported Bush, learn that we people of the Middle East desire only peace
Really?
Sheik Ahmad Bahr, acting Speaker of the Palestinian Legislative Council, declared during a Friday sermon at a Sudan mosque that America and Israel will be annihilated and called upon Allah to kill Jews and Americans "to the very Last One".

"you will be victorious," but only "if you are believers." Allah willing, "you will be victorious," while America and Israel will be annihilated, Allah willing. I guarantee you that the power of belief and faith is greater than the power of America and Israel. They are cowards, as is said in the Book of Allah: "You shall find them the people most eager to protect their lives." They are cowards, who are eager for life, while we are eager for death for the sake of Allah. That is why America's nose was rubbed in the mud in Iraq, in Afghanistan, in Somalia, and everywhere.

America will be annihilated, while Islam will remain.

Oh Allah, vanquish the Jews and their supporters. Oh Allah, vanquish the Americans and their supporters. Oh Allah, count their numbers, and kill them all, down to the very last one.
 
GeoffP: "The neighbour states are not really containing [Iraqi violence], are they?"

They will act in their own self-interests, which is of scant comfort to Iraqis. However, there is a chance for containment if the situation is not allowed to continue festering as it is now.

Ah, not too encouraging, as the next part illustrated. Next.

"I see more a Beirut happening."

It's already beyond that. Civilian deaths since the invasion have long and far exceeded those of the Lebanese Civil War. You are extremely callous about Iraqi deaths, Geoff.

Really? And yet I'm the one wondering whether or not pulling out of Iraq would be a good thing for the Iraqi people. Meanwhile, you term the upcoming bloodbath "cathartic". Oh, nice. :rolleyes: I suppose it could be called cathartic in an Elizabeth Bathory-kind of way.

" [Saddam] was trying to buy nukes from North Korea."

Oh, come off it. It's pathetic to fall back on that tired old bullshit again, trying to pass it off as justification for what is occuring.

Please don't be more idiotic than the situation calls for, hype; there's a certain median in these things. You're trying to play "mental lag time traveller". Bush and his lot clearly had no idea it would degenerate to this, and Saddam was indeed trying to buy off-the-shelf nukes (as Hitchens puts it) from North Korea. It isn't justification, since Bush had no idea what would happen.

" In assessing who's responsible for most of the suffering in Iraq today, it's the terrorists."

You are again lumping all Iraqi turmoil under the propagandistic label of "terrorism", in order to obscure the issues.

" Well, which other ones? You yourself discussed nothing but the terrorism. Which other issues are going to be solved by the Yanks leaving?"

Apparently the concept of terrorism is intruding on all of your thoughts. We have been discussing sectarian and anti-occupation violence in Iraq that cannot be dismissed as terrorism.

And now we come to the meat of it: you're quibbling over terms. But unless any of those groups has formed a regular army, then it still qualifies as terrorism. Yet, you've at least managed to prove my point: the Americans are not directly responsible for sectarian idiocy. The directly responsible parties are the sectarian idiots. My word, but you do like to chase your own tail.

" Do you feel that the Americans have no obligation to sort Iraq out before they pack up and leave?"

There really isn't much productively left to do, but give fair warning to the Arab League and the UN, and commence a staged withdrawal.

But there could be, if there were no sectarian violence. This is what I'm telling you, and this is the way it is.

No. I am one of many American citizens who spoke out before this war began. Warnings about dire consequences including civil war in Iraq were conveyed to the very top.

And Bush didn't believe you; yes, I understand. So then you admit that he didn't know this would occur. In short: the present chaos was not the objective of the Americans. Thankyou! Next!

That's no cause for absolution.

Do you absolve the sectarians? Do you blame them also? I blame both parties; but the tribalists are more directly responsible because they're the ones making the IEDs and carrying the AKs.


Most often, it's in panicked self-defense. Their explosive devices are manufactured and mobile, not improvised and stationary. Very often the collateral casualties are apalling and enraging to the local populace. Iraqis, like any people, are far more likely to overlook the crimes of their countrymen than those of a foreign occupier.

True, but stupid. However, the terrorists and sectarians are far worse than the Americans since their weapons are, indeed, stationary and non-reactive. They can pick their targets. Unfortunately, they don't seem to want to pick their targets, but rather seem to be going out of their way to kill their own civilians even though they should know the ground well enough to avoid civilians deaths.

You are grossly misinterpreting your own link. Why don't you go back and read it again slowly.

Can't do math? Really, it's very simple interpretation: 2/3 of the country want the US to leave within a year, while, simultaneously, 2/3 of the country wants the US to stay at least one year. It's overlapping probability. You will note also that they don't say they want the US to leave "tomorrow", or "immediately" or "right this second". No: a year or more, for 2/3 of respondants. In other words, they want the US to help pick up the pieces and put things back together. They want repairs. They want social support. Yet, all that is unlikely if the terrorism and sectarianism goes on. It would appear it's more the sectarians that want the US gone (and, let's face it, the Sunnis) whereas a large component of the people want the US to stay and fix things. Can they fix things? Of course not. Because of the terrorists and "sectarians".

"I wonder."

Good. Keep wondering, and you'll find a way to break out of denial.

What? The denial of the fact that as soon as the US leaves, the country will explode in an all-out civil war?

Yeah, I'm the denier. Sure sure.
 
"I'm the one wondering whether or not pulling out of Iraq would be a good thing for the Iraqi people."

You're not the only one. The watching world has been wondering for over 4 years now, and have reached an expressed majority consensus that it's time for the US-led occupation to go.

"you term the upcoming bloodbath "cathartic"."

I didn't intend to make it sound pleasant. It isn't going to be. After the bloody American-brokered stalemate, the final round will inexorably come when the US departs, and Iraqis will ultimately decide their future themselves. There is reason for hope that it will not be any more bloody than the status quo, which up to the present has been achieving nothing definitive.

"Bush and his lot clearly had no idea it would degenerate to this"

Bullshite. They were warned. They were responsible for the lives they exposed to harm while the United States was not threatened by Iraq.

"you're quibbling over terms...unless any of those groups has formed a regular army, then it still qualifies as terrorism."

Not true. Militias, resistance, sectarian fighters, common criminals, you can't credibly lump everything you don't like together as "terrorism".

"the Americans are not directly responsible for sectarian idiocy."

The sectarian violence would not be occuring absent the unprovoked US-led invasion.

"But there could be [a successful occupation] if there were no sectarian violence. This is what I'm telling you, and this is the way it is."

But there is sectarion violence that the occupation cannot quell. That is the way it is, and that is why there is no justification to continue it.

"So then you admit that [President Bush] didn't know this would occur. In short: the present chaos was not the objective of the Americans. Thankyou! Next!"

The Administration was publicly warned about that very potential:

Sen. Joseph Biden (D-DE) CNN Larry King Live, 10/9/02:
I have not been very enamored with the way half this administration has gone about this effort without thoroughly going into what happens the day after Saddam is down. … The president said “What could be worse than Saddam?” Well, what could be worse than Saddam would be a major civil war in the region.


Sen. Robert Byrd (D-WV) Congressional Record, S10006-10007, 10/7/02
What plans do we have to prevent Iraq from breaking up and descending into civil war?


Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-MD) Congressional Record, S10078, 10/8/02
The end of Saddam Hussein could mean the start of a civil war.


The President was also privately warned, as multiple corroborating intelligence-community sources have related through multiple outlets:

A government official confirmed that the two prewar reports had sounded clear warnings of a widening struggle for Iraq. The official also noted that the conclusions in the assessment were shared by the entire intelligence community, not just the CIA. "It talked about possible insurgency, possible waging of guerrilla warfare, the possibility of domestic groups engaging in violent conflict,"


"Do you absolve the sectarians?"

Of course I do not absolve sectarian killers.

"Do you blame them also?"

Not for the invasion and resulting collapse of order, I do not.

"I blame both parties; but the tribalists are more directly responsible because they're the ones making the IEDs and carrying the AKs."

The weapons one carries legitimize/delegitimize the cause? That's only true in Denialistan.

"The terrorists and sectarians are far worse than the Americans since their weapons are, indeed, stationary and non-reactive. They can pick their targets. Unfortunately, they don't seem to want to pick their targets, but rather seem to be going out of their way to kill their own civilians even though they should know the ground well enough to avoid civilians deaths."

There are too many instances of indescriminate fire from frightened occupation troops. As is to be expected anywhere, people will overlook native crimes and excesses much more readily than those of a foreign occupier. This is no small part of the equation, whereby we have irretrievably lost public support essential to our success.

"2/3 of the country want the US to leave within a year...
A large majority of Iraqis—71%—say they would like the Iraqi government to ask for U.S.-led forces to be withdrawn from Iraq within a year or less.

"simultaneously, 2/3 of the country wants the US to stay at least one year."

Are you high?

"It's overlapping probability."

I can find no evidence of "overlapping probability" in your link. I think you're trying to bullshit me.

"You will note also that they don't say they want the US to leave "tomorrow", or "immediately" or "right this second."
A large majority of Iraqis—71%—say they would like the Iraqi government to ask for U.S.-led forces to be withdrawn from Iraq within a year or less.


No: a year or more, for 2/3 of respondants.

Um, that figure is 29% according to your link.

"In other words, they want the US to help pick up the pieces and put things back together."

That isn't what was expressed at all. Neither is it what has been expressed in other credible polls.

"It would appear it's more the sectarians that want the US gone (and, let's face it, the Sunnis) whereas a large component of the people want the US to stay and fix things."

Most everybody wants the US gone save our toadies, who no doubt have their escape plans well rehearsed.

"Can they fix things? Of course not. Because of the terrorists and "sectarians"."

That's why it's time to go.

"I wonder."

Good. Keep wondering, and you'll find a way to break out of denial.

"What? The denial of the fact that as soon as the US leaves, the country will explode in an all-out civil war?"

No. The denial of the facts that (1) the invasion precipitated the civil war and (2) the occupation can only protract, and can not stave off the Iraqi civil war.
 
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