Billy, how much effort and $$ would it take to simply supportive breed the commercial bee pop'ns? Could we say reasonably double or triple commericial bee output to make up the shortfall, or do you see this as too epidemic? Are we all screwed?
Yes, I think it is probably some disease spreading.
It would not be too hard to rapidly re-populate from some hive that was naturally resistant to the disease, I think. So no, I do not think we are "screwed" by this non-global problem.
Most any of the thousand of eggs a healthy queen lays each day can become a queen, given the right food (which probably includes hormones etc.). Some bee keepers know all about this, but I do not. They make their money by selling a queens and few thousand bees to people who want to start a new hive.
I bought mine from Mont. Ward.* - they are delivered by postman - in small box with wire mess walls. Queen is separated from the others, not sure why, but perhaps so they can not kill her before box arrives. (I forget the details, but there is a covered "sugar wafer" that you uncover to let the bees "meet their new queen" slowly as they eat thru the sugar.) Just tossing a queen in with some "queen-less" bees does not work - they will kill her, despite fact she could keep the hive from dying.
BTW the hive's queen does give something special to the mix that bees are constantly exchanging with each other.** If you remove the queen, nothing happens for a few hours, until the level of this substance in the "food" exchanged drops below some critical level. Then the hive frantically starts to try to make a few new queens. (build the slightly larger cell this requires move an egg into it etc.) Also when the queen is old, not producing eggs like she once did, there is a "revolt" - the workers again make a few new queens and the old one will try to kill them.
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*As I was not really trying to make money from honey and not living near my hives, I rarely saw any swarms. I did catch one “still assembling” and put it in an empty hive but that failed. They wait for their scout bees to return and report*** the various possible new homes (They are full of honey and do not want to waste any flying around looking as they must use most of it (eat it) to make the wax that will store the newly collected nectar. - it is really critical - some do not make a new hive.) Later learned that they must fly some distance when they swarm - will not accept a hive near the old one, even if it has honey comb already in it! - I suspect mother nature has built this behavior into their genes so that one forest fire does not get both hives. - my idea not sure it is true - may be some other reason. Anyway, despite my dumping the swam in a wonderful home, with wax already there, they were gone the next day.
** This is another reason why I insist that it is the hive that is alive - the individual bees are just speciallized cell of the living hive organism, which, like most living organisms, does circulate a fluid between it various cells.
***When most have reported back, the merits of each possible new home found are discussed, a decison is reached, the localtion told to all and even if more than a mile away they all fly straight to it most in one group! (Probably for same reason fish form "schools" -WWII had ship convoys, etc.)
For the fourth time: If you have oppportunity like to learn - get rewarded for doing so - keep a hive of bees.