in my opinion the connections represent the largest unknown.. . . there would still be the question of how strong the material should be, and how strong the connections should be.
the only thing i can say is read (familiarize yourself with) the construction details of 1 & 2.If it is too strong, it won't collapse, and there won't be anything to analyze. If it is too weak, like a "house of cards" type arrangement, then it can collapse, but the question arises as to whether that is a valid model of a building designed to remain standing through hurricane strength winds.