WHY EINSTEIN WILL NEVER BE WRONG:

Agree with your last sentence. That is why the concept of "truth" is problematic in theories of science - and in fact is generally avoided.

As I never tire of pointing out, theories are models of reality. The latest of them may be the most comprehensive and accurate that we have, but that does not make them logically "true" , nor does it make them 100% accurate. An observation can be considered "true" but the theories we derive from observation are always a step away from "truth".

So, really, the subject of this thread is an Aunt Sally. "Wrong" is not the word we will use, when someone finds a weakness in General Relativity. As in fact the quoted piece makes clear.
You'll be saying it a lot around here. Thanks for saying it. Maybe it will eventually sink in?
 
http://www.universetoday.com/108044/why-einstein-will-never-be-wrong/

WHY EINSTEIN WILL NEVER BE WRONG

13 Jan , 2014 by Brian Koberlein

One of the benefits of being an astrophysicist is your weekly email from someone who claims to have “proven Einstein wrong”. These either contain no mathematical equations and use phrases such as “it is obvious that..”, or they are page after page of complex equations with dozens of scientific terms used in non-traditional ways. They all get deleted pretty quickly, not because astrophysicists are too indoctrinated in established theories, but because none of them acknowledge how theories get replaced.

For example, in the late 1700s there was a theory of heat known as caloric. The basic idea of caloric was that it was a fluid that existed within materials. This fluid was self-repellant, meaning it would try to spread out as evenly as possible. We couldn’t observe this fluid directly, but the more caloric a material has the greater its temperature.


Ice-calorimeter from Antoine Lavoisier’s 1789 Elements of Chemistry. (Public Domain)

From this theory you get several predictions that actually work. Since you can’t create or destroy caloric, heat (energy) is conserved. If you put a cold object next to a hot object, the caloric in the hot object will spread out to the cold object until they reach the same temperature. When air expands, the caloric is spread out more thinly, thus the temperature drops. When air is compressed there is more caloric per volume, and the temperature rises.

We now know there is no “heat fluid” known as caloric. Heat is a property of the motion (kinetic energy) of atoms or molecules in a material. So in physics we’ve dropped the caloric model in terms of kinetic theory. You could say we now know that the caloric model is completely wrong.

Except it isn’t. At least no more wrong than it ever was.

The basic assumption of a “heat fluid” doesn’t match reality, but the model makes predictions that are correct. In fact the caloric model works as well today as it did in the late 1700s. We don’t use it anymore because we have newer models that work better. Kinetic theory makes all the predictions caloric does and more. Kinetic theory even explains how the thermal energy of a material can be approximated as a fluid.

This is a key aspect of scientific theories. If you want to replace a robust scientific theory with a new one, the new theory must be able to do more than the old one. When you replace the old theory you now understand the limits of that theory and how to move beyond it.

In some cases even when an old theory is supplanted we continue to use it. Such an example can be seen in Newton’s law of gravity. When Newton proposed his theory of universal gravity in the 1600s, he described gravity as a force of attraction between all masses. This allowed for the correct prediction of the motion of the planets, the discovery of Neptune, the basic relation between a star’s mass and its temperature, and on and on. Newtonian gravity was and is a robust scientific theory.

Then in the early 1900s Einstein proposed a different model known as general relativity. The basic premise of this theory is that gravity is due to the curvature of space and time by masses. Even though Einstein’s gravity model is radically different from Newton’s, the mathematics of the theory shows that Newton’s equations are approximate solutions to Einstein’s equations. Everything Newton’s gravity predicts, Einstein’s does as well. But Einstein also allows us to correctly model black holes, the big bang, the precession of Mercury’s orbit, time dilation, and more, all of which have been experimentally validated.

So Einstein trumps Newton. But Einstein’s theory is much more difficult to work with than Newton’s, so often we just use Newton’s equations to calculate things. For example, the motion of satellites, or exoplanets. If we don’t need the precision of Einstein’s theory, we simply use Newton to get an answer that is “good enough.” We may have proven Newton’s theory “wrong”, but the theory is still as useful and accurate as it ever was.

Unfortunately, many budding Einsteins don’t understand this.


Binary waves from black holes. Image Credit: K. Thorne (Caltech) , T. Carnahan (NASA GSFC)

To begin with, Einstein’s gravity will never be proven wrong by a theory. It will be proven wrong by experimental evidence showing that the predictions of general relativity don’t work. Einstein’s theory didn’t supplant Newton’s until we had experimental evidence that agreed with Einstein and didn’t agree with Newton. So unless you have experimental evidence that clearly contradicts general relativity, claims of “disproving Einstein” will fall on deaf ears.

The other way to trump Einstein would be to develop a theory that clearly shows how Einstein’s theory is an approximation of your new theory, or how the experimental tests general relativity has passed are also passed by your theory. Ideally, your new theory will also make new predictions that can be tested in a reasonable way. If you can do that, and can present your ideas clearly, you will be listened to. String theory and entropic gravity are examples of models that try to do just that.


But even if someone succeeds in creating a theory better than Einstein’s (and someone almost certainly will), Einstein’s theory will still be as valid as it ever was. Einstein won’t have been proven wrong, we’ll simply understand the limits of his theory.


http://www.universetoday.com/108044/why-einstein-will-never-be-wrong/
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You've done a yowmans job at researching the Internet for the links you've provided. Thanks.
 
You've done a yowmans job at researching the Internet for the links you've provided. Thanks.
No probs bruce: As I am so often saying, the variety cranks that infest this forum do so for many reasons:
[1] The crank weirdo that posts purposely anti science crap just to get a raise out of people.
[2]The religious cranks that are concerned science has pushed back their need for any deity into near oblivion.
[3]Those with delusions of grandeur that believe they are a reincarnation of Einstein.
[4]The occasional Maverick physicist that are pushing an alternative model and agenda.
And we just happen to be the only outlet most of this brigade has to preach their nonsensical rants to.
If any of them had anything of a concrete nature, or with any substance at all, they would not be posting here, but would be seeking proper peer review and recognition.
 
If physicists really wanted everyone to be really good at physics then why don't they make textbooks available for everyone without payment?

Textbooks really cost a lot of money so obviously not everyone can afford them. Mathematica for example, a computer algebra system, costs a shitload of money too so obviously not everyone can afford it.

Physicists are so angry when someone isn't good at physics or doesn't understand their theories but at the same time they don't do anything to make the tools to be successful at physics available for everyone.

No wonder most rational people choose to study economics or finance or business administration at university instead of physics because being very good at physics really costs a lot a lot of money and takes a lot of talent which most people don't have.

Physics is obviously not for everyone unless you are already rich or very talented.
You don't have to be rich to be a physicist. Most those dudes and dudetts are trying to get tenure for a little financial security. Go to school. Those tools you speak of will be made available to every student. Think about it. The logic path you described for becoming a physicist is nonsense.
 
Agree with your last sentence. That is why the concept of "truth" is problematic in theories of science - and in fact is generally avoided.

Yet champions of science (I include myself in those ranks) continue to believe that scientific inquiry is a source of knowledge about the universe around us. 'Knowledge' has traditionally been defined as 'justified true belief'. If our scientific endeavor isn't even interested in whether what it says is true, then it's hard to imagine how its results could still be called knowledge.

I'll say that generally speaking, I'm a scientific realist. I persist in thinking that most of the central terms of our scientific theories possess reference to the real world, or at least are intended to refer. In your own chemistry, I think that most chemists believe that atoms and molecules really do literally exist, and aren't just conceptual conveniences whose role in chemical theories allows chemists to better predict outcomes when they mix liquids in glass bottles together or create stinks with their Bunsen burners.

http://www.jstor.org/stable/2708449?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents

Even the author of the OP seems to have reverted to the realist mode of thinking that he was otherwise dismissing when he wrote about caloric, "We now know there is no "heat fluid" known as caloric", suggesting that while caloric theory still works as a predictive instrument for observations as well as it ever did, science can't help thinking about what does and doesn't exist and caloric theory has seemingly been shown to be wrong about that.

As I never tire of pointing out, theories are models of reality.

Right, we agree on that.

The latest of them may be the most comprehensive and accurate that we have, but that does not make them logically "true" , nor does it make them 100% accurate.

'Truth' needn't imply logical necessity. If a proposition isn't a tautology, it can still be true.

I'm very much a fallibilist regarding science and everything else humans say they know, in the sense that every statement that we intend as a statement of truth may in fact be mistaken. (I'd even extend that to mathematics and logic.) That doesn't imply that we can't sometimes be right. I'm confident that we often are and that we already know a great deal.

That brings up the problem of the so-called 'pessimistic induction', the observation that if all of our outmoded scientific beliefs now seem to be false, it's only reasonable to think that from the point of view of the future everything science currently believes will be recognized as being false too. So we don't really know anything. I think that's the problem that the author of the OP is addressing, if only implicitly.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pessimistic_induction

I kind of follow Popper in thinking in terms of verisimilitude (truthlikeness). While outmoded theories aren't entirely true, if they work at all then they do succeed in capturing something about reality. And the author is probably right in thinking that one way to capture that idea of truthlikeness is in terms of empirical adaquacy. Geocentric cosmology was and still continues to be a very good engine for predicting the future positions of heavenly bodies in the sky. Similarly, Einstein's theories will continue still work as well as they work today, even after they are eventually superceded by other theories in the future. They will continue to retain whatever verisimilitude they already possess.

But... even though we can say that medieval geocentric cosmology will works today as a predictive engine for observations of the sky from the earth, it's harder to argue that it continues to be right about the sun orbiting the earth once a day. That just seems to be wrong.

Old and outmoded theories might continue to produce useful predictions of observables, but the way they go about doing it (whether by geocentric cosmology or imagining the existence of vital spirits, caloric or phlogiston) might turn out to bear little resemblance to what is actually happening in the physical world.
 
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I'm very much a fallibilist regarding science and everything else humans say they know, in the sense that every statement that we intend as a statement of truth may in fact be mistaken. (I'd even extend that to mathematics and logic.) That doesn't imply that we can't sometimes be right. I'm confident that we often are and that we already know a great deal.
Scientific theories do not deal in proof: But if by any accident any scientific theory should actually describe reality as it really is, then all well and good. [Evolution fits that category]
That brings up the problem of the so-called 'pessimistic induction', the observation that if all of our outmoded scientific beliefs now seem to be false, it's only reasonable to think that from the point of view of the future everything science currently believes will be recognized as being false too. So we don't really know anything. I think that's the problem that the author of the OP is addressing, if only implicitly.
Scientific theories such as Newtonian and GR are most certainly correct within their known domains of applicability: GR being a classical theory does not cover quantum/Planck level. But in what it does cover, [from Newtonian through to relativistic speeds and masses, it gives correct results.
Even any future QGT that extends obviously beyond GR, will not invalidate what GR is already telling us, but should encompass it, while the QGT in itself again will probably not be the be all and end all.
If obtaining that 100% accurate precision to the utmost detail and reality is ever really possible to obtain.
 
No probs bruce: As I am so often saying, the variety cranks that infest this forum do so for many reasons:
[1] The crank weirdo that posts purposely anti science crap just to get a raise out of people.
[2]The religious cranks that are concerned science has pushed back their need for any deity into near oblivion.
[3]Those with delusions of grandeur that believe they are a reincarnation of Einstein.
[4]The occasional Maverick physicist that are pushing an alternative model and agenda.
And we just happen to be the only outlet most of this brigade has to preach their nonsensical rants to.
If any of them had anything of a concrete nature, or with any substance at all, they would not be posting here, but would be seeking proper peer review and recognition.
I kinda like the maverick scientists. I know one who tends towards brilliance. His main interest is solutions to the field equations but he doesn't bother with writing papers, at least not lately, he just puts it on you tube. His other great interest is modifying the Alcubbiere spacetime to determine if it would be possible to shutdown the warp from the ship inside the warp spacetime or more importantly reduce the negative energy to sustain the warp spacetime. Not the most popular subject in physics. At least not lately. Kinda like Schmelzer.
 
I kinda like the maverick scientists. I know one who tends towards brilliance. His main interest is solutions to the field equations but he doesn't bother with writing papers, at least not lately, he just puts it on you tube. His other great interest is modifying the Alcubbiere spacetime to determine if it would be possible to shutdown the warp from the ship inside the warp spacetime or more importantly reduce the negative energy to sustain the warp spacetime. Not the most popular subject in physics. At least not lately. Kinda like Schmelzer.
I actually find the interest in the Alcubbiere spacetime as quite fascinating and interesting. Afterall we know that spacetime can be curved, bent, twisted and warped: All we need to do, is find the method to manually do this.
Schmelzer certainly knows his stuff as a professional, that is obvious, but just as obvious is the rather "warped" view even a physicist may take on certain issues for whatever reasons, if he has an agenda: The great Fred Hoyle also had his cross to bear in that he could not accept the BB.
 
I actually find the interest in the Alcubbiere spacetime as quite fascinating and interesting. Afterall we know that spacetime can be curved, bent, twisted and warped: All we need to do, is find the method to manually do this.
Schmelzer certainly knows his stuff as a professional, that is obvious, but just as obvious is the rather "warped" view even a physicist may take on certain issues for whatever reasons, if he has an agenda: The great Fred Hoyle also had his cross to bear in that he could not accept the BB.
Me too. I've been meaning to ask if you get the American syfy channel and the great series called Expanse? Right up your alley with a story centered on mining the asteroid belt and the politics with earth and a established Mars coloney and a Outer Planets Alliance. A bit like Dune in our solar system. The rocketry is advanced solar system. It's fun to watch.
 
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Me too. I've been meaning to ask if you get the American syfy channel and the great series called Expanse? Right up your alley with a story centered on mining the asteroid belt and the politics with earth an established Mars colonel and the Outer Planets Alliance. A bit like Dune in our solar system. The rocketry is advanced solar system. It's fun to watch.
Fun?
Just wait 'til the aliens appear.
 
So you've read the books? I used to be a complete science fiction freak then I found the real science. I'll be looking for the aliens.
I'm about 1/3 of the way through the fifth book now - I saw episode 1, got hold of the books and started reading...
 
He wasn't actually wrong. He thought he was. It turns out that the cosmological constant has much to do with the type universe we live in. In the string theory the string vacuua is defined by the value of the cosmological constant. String vacuua with 0 cosmological constant are predicted to be identical. While vacuua with a cosmological constant are predicted to vary. This somewhat defines the greatest problem for string theory. Choosing the right string vacuua that describes the evolution of our universe from first principles. From 10^1000 possible choices.! Another possibility is to place a limit, on this huge number, by using the anthropic principle to limit the string vacuua under consideration to string vacuua for a universe which could include our existence. How they do this is beyond me and is a good reason to leave it with folks who have the scholarship to do the research. The cosmological constant term, in the metric, is a pressure term which is essentially an anti gravity term. The WMAP and PLanck experiment both predict the cosmological constant is the source of the accelerating expansion of our universe. How far off from the predicted operating temperature is you transformer? Assuming the perfect temperature is the predicted operating temperature? Welcome to the bullshit ring of Dantes inferno. Thanks for posting. Happy New Year.
I'm weak in English you know ! And I'm not perfect to the bullshit ring of Dantes inferno. Happy new year.
 
I'm weak in English you know ! And I'm not perfect to the bullshit ring of Dantes inferno. Happy new year.
I don't see it that way. You certainly speak more languages than me. I got your point. It is the bullshit ring of Dantes inferno. lOL. Just in case that was a joke. The Dante's inferno comment.
 
Me too. I've been meaning to ask if you get the American syfy channel and the great series called Expanse? Right up your alley with a story centered on mining the asteroid belt and the politics with earth and a established Mars coloney and a Outer Planets Alliance. A bit like Dune in our solar system. The rocketry is advanced solar system. It's fun to watch.
Sadly bruce, no we don't get that at this time: Sounds right up my alley! :)

You have given me an idea though: My Son is an IT expert and I may see if he is able to download episodes onto our system.
 
Sadly bruce, no we don't get that at this time: Sounds right up my alley! :)

You have given me an idea though: My Son is an IT expert and I may see if he is able to download episodes onto our system.
It's pretty good. Have a good one.
 
I don't see it that way. You certainly speak more languages than me. I got your point. It is the bullshit ring of Dantes inferno. lOL. Just in case that was a joke. The Dante's inferno comment.
They do this is beyond you because I can walk on earth surface but not to the black hole. How can I able to do that (black hole) sir ?
 
They do this is beyond you because I can walk on earth surface but not to the black hole. How can I able to do that (black hole) sir ?
General relativity is a local theory of gravity that describes the natural motion of matter. The natural motion is freefall. These freefall paths are called geodesic paths. Inertial freefall paths with no forces disturbing them. Like Newton's first law Light and all other bosons follow a null geodesic while matter with mass, such as us, can follow different geodesic. These geodesic paths are determined by the local spacetime curvature. Matter tells the local spacetime curvature how to curve while the local spacetime curvature determines the path of matter. So if you could get within falling distance of the black hole you can find a geodesic which would carry you to r=0. The center of the black hole. There's much theoretical research ongoing to figure out what r=0 actually means.
For general relativity and this discussion it means the place where all geodesic paths, crossing the event horizon, end. What would happen to you over this path is depressing but theoretically interesting. lOL. It gets more interesting when falling into a rotating black hole. Most of the common knowledge is associated with the Schwarzschild black holes. This spacetime is the easiest to work with because it's limited to spherically symmetric non rotating uncharged black holes. This spacetime is commonly used to model weak fields like the near earth spacetime since the earth is rotating at the snail pace and is nearly spherically symmetric. Hey don't jump in the hole until I get there. Have a good one.
 
Yet champions of science (I include myself in those ranks) continue to believe that scientific inquiry is a source of knowledge about the universe around us. 'Knowledge' has traditionally been defined as 'justified true belief'. If our scientific endeavor isn't even interested in whether what it says is true, then it's hard to imagine how its results could still be called knowledge.

I'll say that generally speaking, I'm a scientific realist. I persist in thinking that most of the central terms of our scientific theories possess reference to the real world, or at least are intended to refer. In your own chemistry, I think that most chemists believe that atoms and molecules really do literally exist, and aren't just conceptual conveniences whose role in chemical theories allows chemists to better predict outcomes when they mix liquids in glass bottles together or create stinks with their Bunsen burners.

http://www.jstor.org/stable/2708449?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents

Even the author of the OP seems to have reverted to the realist mode of thinking that he was otherwise dismissing when he wrote about caloric, "We now know there is no "heat fluid" known as caloric", suggesting that while caloric theory still works as a predictive instrument for observations as well as it ever did, science can't help thinking about what does and doesn't exist and caloric theory has seemingly been shown to be wrong about that.



Right, we agree on that.



'Truth' needn't imply logical necessity. If a proposition isn't a tautology, it can still be true.

I'm very much a fallibilist regarding science and everything else humans say they know, in the sense that every statement that we intend as a statement of truth may in fact be mistaken. (I'd even extend that to mathematics and logic.) That doesn't imply that we can't sometimes be right. I'm confident that we often are and that we already know a great deal.

That brings up the problem of the so-called 'pessimistic induction', the observation that if all of our outmoded scientific beliefs now seem to be false, it's only reasonable to think that from the point of view of the future everything science currently believes will be recognized as being false too. So we don't really know anything. I think that's the problem that the author of the OP is addressing, if only implicitly.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pessimistic_induction

I kind of follow Popper in thinking in terms of verisimilitude (truthlikeness). While outmoded theories aren't entirely true, if they work at all then they do succeed in capturing something about reality. And the author is probably right in thinking that one way to capture that idea of truthlikeness is in terms of empirical adaquacy. Geocentric cosmology was and still continues to be a very good engine for predicting the future positions of heavenly bodies in the sky. Similarly, Einstein's theories will continue still work as well as they work today, even after they are eventually superceded by other theories in the future. They will continue to retain whatever verisimilitude they already possess.

But... even though we can say that medieval geocentric cosmology will works today as a predictive engine for observations of the sky from the earth, it's harder to argue that it continues to be right about the sun orbiting the earth once a day. That just seems to be wrong.

Old and outmoded theories might continue to produce useful predictions of observables, but the way they go about doing it (whether by geocentric cosmology or imagining the existence of vital spirits, caloric or phlogiston) might turn out to bear little resemblance to what is actually happening in the physical world.

That's the whole thing with scientific knowledge. It's ridiculous to suggest scientists are not interested in whether their ideas are "true", but what we mean in the context of science is not logical truth, i.e. as opposed to falsehood. We are interested in physical REALITY. I think any scientist must believe there is an objective reality that the models strive to represent. To the extent that they succeed they are in a sense "true" models, but it is not absolute truth, or logical truth, or certainty. It is partial truth, probability, likelihood, approximation.

We tend to content ourselves with saying that such and such is "consistent with experiment" (or observation), rather than making a claim to "truth" as such. That is just modesty and common sense, given how science evolves.

P.S. Re reality of molecules, I had a physics teacher at school who professed to be agnostic on the subject of molecules. Whether this was just a pose or not, I do not know. He was an excellent teacher in fact. But you pick the sort of example that non-scientists always pick. What about the theory of organic reaction mechanisms - what physical chemists dismissively refer to as "arrow-pushing"? Or the idea of "Lewis Acids"? Or oxidation numbers? These are useful concepts in chemistry that account for what is observed, but we chemists all know they are just models that serve a purpose in predicting and may not reflect anything very fundamental. Or, again, is Newtonian gravitation "real"? You tell me, because I can't answer that yes or no. As with all things, there are shades of grey. Molecules seem real enough to physical scientists, but a lot of other theories are far less clear-cut.
 
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