The Etp Model Has Been Empirically Confirmed

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I am passing over here again and dropping a few updates that speak for themselves:

http://globalriskinsights.com/2015/12/algerias-austerity-bill-sparks-protests/

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/gulf-braces-austerity-oil-income-125110114.html

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/863d2112-774b-11e5-933d-efcdc3c11c89.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/a5f89f36-ad7e-11e5-b955-1a1d298b6250.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...more-than-analysts-expected-as-demand-withers

http://www.nigeriannewspapers.today...prepare-for-tough-austerity-measures-in-2016/

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d60ac2b2-7453-11e5-a129-3fcc4f641d98.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9



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Oil (and other commodities) producing countries need prices to rise as soon as possible, but no one has been able to predict when (Or IF) it will happen. The social stability in these countries is going to be seriously compromised if there isn't a reversal in the current trend. Meanwhile, the currencies of emerging economies are being swallowed by the US dollar and experiencing capital-flights, making more difficult the repayment of their debts (which is mostly denominated in US dollars).

I expect serious trouble to hit emerging economies late this year, and the next one.

Best Regards,
 
Kondratieff said:
I am passing over here again and dropping a few updates that speak for themselves:

http://globalriskinsights.com/2015/12/algerias-austerity-bill-sparks-protests/

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/gulf-braces-austerity-oil-income-125110114.html

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/863d2112-774b-11e5-933d-efcdc3c11c89.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/a5f89f36-ad7e-11e5-b955-1a1d298b6250.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...more-than-analysts-expected-as-demand-withers

http://www.nigeriannewspapers.today...prepare-for-tough-austerity-measures-in-2016/

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d60ac2b2-7453-11e5-a129-3fcc4f641d98.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9
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all this was stated around ten years ago. nothing new nor surprising-- it is and has been expected.



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Oil (and other commodities) producing countries need prices to rise as soon as possible, but no one has been able to predict when (Or IF) it will happen.
Click to expand...
not true at all. predictions occur every second--and some are correct.
The social stability in these countries is going to be seriously compromised if there isn't a reversal in the current trend.
Click to expand...
same exact words that are said every time a downturn is coming or occurs.
Meanwhile, the currencies of emerging economies are being swallowed by the US dollar
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this has been occurring since emerging econs developed their currencies. also the eur is still holding, but i am actually short the eur/usd-- i will hold this short until it hits 1.065.
making more difficult the repayment of their debts (which is mostly denominated in US dollars).
Click to expand...
ahh yes-yes-- the hot potato game. :)
your question should be-- why do they have so much debt in us currency?
I expect serious trouble to hit emerging economies late this year, and the next one.
Click to expand...
this is simply obvious--again this has been expected.[/quote][/QUOTE]
 
Kondratieff said:
I am passing over here again and dropping a few updates that speak for themselves:

http://globalriskinsights.com/2015/12/algerias-austerity-bill-sparks-protests/

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/gulf-braces-austerity-oil-income-125110114.html

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/863d2112-774b-11e5-933d-efcdc3c11c89.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/a5f89f36-ad7e-11e5-b955-1a1d298b6250.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...more-than-analysts-expected-as-demand-withers

http://www.nigeriannewspapers.today...prepare-for-tough-austerity-measures-in-2016/

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d60ac2b2-7453-11e5-a129-3fcc4f641d98.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9



-----

Oil (and other commodities) producing countries need prices to rise as soon as possible, but no one has been able to predict when (Or IF) it will happen. The social stability in these countries is going to be seriously compromised if there isn't a reversal in the current trend. Meanwhile, the currencies of emerging economies are being swallowed by the US dollar and experiencing capital-flights, making more difficult the repayment of their debts (which is mostly denominated in US dollars).

I expect serious trouble to hit emerging economies late this year, and the next one.

Best Regards,
Click to expand...

Most of these oil-producing countries are appallingly corrupt, due to mismanagement and misappropriation of their past oil wealth. They also tend to have very lopsided economies, with poor resilience to fluctuations in the oil price. If revolutions occur as a result of low oil prices, I think it may be a very good thing, for them and for the rest of us. Venezuela is a case in point.

The main problem arising from low oil prices is their tendency to slow down efforts to wean the world off fossil fuels. That faster we can do this the better.
 
and ?
it appears your problem is that you are initiating an short term move/prediction on a long term time frame-- you will fail-- i know this from experience. so please pretend that you are doing something as you sit here and continue to spew without even having any of your own money involved. this is massively typical. overall, please continue to boast yourself--soon you will learn.
 
krash661 said:
and ?
it appears your problem is that you are initiating an short term move/prediction on a long term time frame-- you will fail-- i know this from experience. so please pretend that you are doing something as you sit here and continue to spew without even having any of your own money involved. this is massively typical. overall, please continue to boast yourself--soon you will learn.
Click to expand...

LONG%20TERM%20vs%20SHORT%20TERM_zps5sqeuwsg.jpg


Not having money in the game gives me a better perspective on the longer view than you. We are at the end of the oil age. Apocalypse soon.


---Futilitist:cool:
 
Futilitist said:
Welcome back, Russ. Good timing as usual.

West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil ----- $31.62
Brent Crude Oil ----- $31.94
DOW ----- 16306

---Futilitist:cool:
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Great news! Gas is only a few cents above $2 near me - the situation keeps getting awesomer and awesomer!
 
Futilitist said:
LONG%20TERM%20vs%20SHORT%20TERM_zps5sqeuwsg.jpg


Not having money in the game gives me a better perspective on the longer view than you. We are at the end of the oil age. Apocalypse soon.


---Futilitist:cool:
Click to expand...

Yeah we must be, since two major middle eastern powers are competing to supply more than we need, we have masses more on tap whenever they change their minds or run out, and China is not going to need as much as was forecast. Stands to reason. :rolleyes:
 
Futilitist said:
Not having money in the game gives me a better perspective on the longer view than you. We are at the end of the oil age. Apocalypse soon.
Click to expand...
what a pathetic joke your whole entire comment is
:) (shakes head) and (shrugs)
overall, please continue to boast yourself--soon you will learn.

edit--
when prices move back up here around spring and stabilize--you will simply disappear with silence. again-- this prediction of mine is from experience.
 
Russ_Watters said:
Great news! Gas is only a few cents above $2 near me - the situation keeps getting awesomer and awesomer!
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It should come down even more with the current drops in oil. Cheap energy is certainly going to help buisnesses, well not the energy sector...
 
Russ_Watters said:
... Gas is only a few cents above $2 near me - the situation keeps getting awesomer and awesomer!
Click to expand...
Yes and the Shock & Awe for banks who granted the frackers large loans is coming too - Possibly a problem larger than Lehman's debts - economic recession worse than 2008's.
 
Russ_Watters said:
I'm sure I must be starting to sound like a broken record, but do you have any references for that?
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Yes, you do sound like a broken record.

mr_magoo_2.jpg


West Texas Intermediate Crude traded today below 31 dollars a barrel!!!! What was your forecast again, Mr. Magoo? I think you said oil would be around 80 or 90 dollars a barrel by now! Of course the oil industry is in deep shit, and so are the banks that paid for all that fracking. And so is everybody else that depends on the economy. Which means all of us. We are all in this thing together. Enjoy your AWESOME world while it lasts, Russ.

There are none so blind as those who choose not to see.



---Futilitist:cool:
 
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Billy T said:
Yes and the Shock & Awe for banks who granted the frackers large loans is coming too - Possibly a problem larger than Lehman's debts - economic recession worse than 2008's.
Click to expand...
Lehman debt wasn't the issue. What happened was a loss of confidence in the sociopath investment vehicals and the revelation of how bad AIG and the investment banks had fucked up. They saw themselves in the Lehman crisis and shit their pants.
 
Kondratieff said:
I am passing over here again and dropping a few updates that speak for themselves:

http://globalriskinsights.com/2015/12/algerias-austerity-bill-sparks-protests/

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/gulf-braces-austerity-oil-income-125110114.html

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/863d2112-774b-11e5-933d-efcdc3c11c89.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/a5f89f36-ad7e-11e5-b955-1a1d298b6250.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...more-than-analysts-expected-as-demand-withers

http://www.nigeriannewspapers.today...prepare-for-tough-austerity-measures-in-2016/

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d60ac2b2-7453-11e5-a129-3fcc4f641d98.html#axzz3w2iKyEb9



-----

Oil (and other commodities) producing countries need prices to rise as soon as possible, but no one has been able to predict when (Or IF) it will happen. The social stability in these countries is going to be seriously compromised if there isn't a reversal in the current trend. Meanwhile, the currencies of emerging economies are being swallowed by the US dollar and experiencing capital-flights, making more difficult the repayment of their debts (which is mostly denominated in US dollars).

I expect serious trouble to hit emerging economies late this year, and the next one.

Best Regards,
Click to expand...
Austerity measures never achieve the goal they're instituted to achieve. Pulling currency out of the ecomomy is assinine. Sucks for people trying to find a way to take care of their family. Strangles your economy even more. Makes people think about getting rid of folks who make such clueless decisions.
 
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