Buffalo Roam
Registered Senior Member
The true picture is not as rosy:
Regarding the big picture, one important question revolves around how people interpret these reserves estimates. Typically, there is a knee-jerk response that greets any large discovery because many, even some who should know better, believe that reserves and production flows are somehow equivalent. That is not the case. Another important question revolves around the use of extreme production measures in "final frontier" areas like the Walker Ridge deepwater. Rather than indicating continued abundance in oil supply, such measures may be viewed more accurately as indicating the great lengths oil producers must go to in order to find more oil to meet the world's insatiable demand. The "low-hanging fruit" is gone and so is the era of the cheap oil. Ultimately, this is the meaning of the Jack-2 test well and hopes for production from the Lower Tertiary of the Gulf of Mexico.
Production from the [presumably, the entire Lower Tertiary] area could add 300,000 to 500,000 barrels of oil a day to U.S. output.
Source:
(The area is also subject to frequent hurricanes.)
Nobody is claiming that the new oil is easy, but it's there, and it isn't just the Gulf, there are the Kitchens, and about another 60 fields awaiting exploitation in the northern continent not subject to hurricanes.
Why do you always look at only one field at a time, the Jack field is one, add the rest and oil production becomes the 3.8 million need barrels very easily.
Now how about the rest of the world, field are coming in at a rate each month that make up for the shortage plus growth, the restraining fact today is that rigs are at 100% usage, and that we and the rest of the world are turning them out as fast as possible to bring in the new field.
If we had a decent energy policy we could have found and exploited this;
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/4808466.stm
Wednesday, 15 March 2006, 11:44 GMT
Mexico discovers 'huge' oil field
Mr Fox's government wants Mexico to maintain its current output
Mexican President Vicente Fox has announced the discovery of a new deep-water oil field, which is believed to contain 10bn barrels of crude.
Thunder Horse, Thunder Horse 2, Thunder Horse North, 250,000b/d in production.
Horn Mountain, 65,000 barrels of oil and 68 million cubic feet of gas per day .
Eugene Island, 15,000 barrels a day.
Shenzi 350 million and 400 million boe.
Coming up are the The Great White, Tobago and Silvertip.
The real kick in the ass though is the fact that China is going to be drilling off the coast of Florida, in the Florida Straights, waters that we should have been drilling 10 years ago.
CHINA STARTS OIL DRILLING
May 21, 2006 ... China is eager to tap into oil reserves in the Florida Straits and then ... that prevent dealing with Cuba to drill in the Florida Straits. ...
http://www.americanfreepress.net/html/china_starts_oil_drilling.html
China, India, Cuba in Gulf oil partnership - May. 9, 2006
May 9, 2006 ... China, Cuba reported in Gulf oil partnership ... Firms from China and India will be drilling for oil off the coast of Cuba, ...
http://money.cnn.com/2006/05/09/news/economy/oil_cuba/index.htm
Gateway Pundit: It's Official, Cuba Hires China to Drill Oil Off ...
May 14, 2006 ... The Cuban government is to allow China to station 12 oil rigs in its waters in the Gulf of Mexico. Fidel Castro's government has stepped up ...
http://gatewaypundit.blogspot.com/2006/05/its-official-cuba-hires-china-to-drill.html