Army Iraq plans run into 2006
Crystal balls: Iraqi colonial future takes the spotlight
Only recently did the major news networks and pundits trump the story that the US would "end" its occupation of Iraq in June, 2004, when the provisional Iraqi government comes to power. Certainly many of us recognized that the "end of the occupation" meant only the end of the legal status of an occupying force. Some, however, did not.
But even Al-Jazeerah recognizes this end of the occupation, so there's obviously no qualm with the term. It was openly acknowledged that, as Jalal Talibani expressed, "The new government will be in charge of negotiating with the occupying forces over how to regulate their presence in the country."
The New York Times website reports on November 22, 2003, that the U.S. Army is currently planning for the presence of at least 100,000 G.I.'s in Iraq until at least early 2006. While the article spoke nothing of a draft, an unnamed "senior Army officer" noted that maintaining such a force would cause the Army to "really start to feel the pain" of its overstressed roster.
The analysis is a senior-level Army perspective; any decisions about the actual size and duration of the American mission remain with the President. The Pentagon has marked the reductions to 105,000 troops, although there is confusion among the anonymous sources about whether that number would come down further. DoD sees the possibility, the Army is not accounting for that circumstance, as it is beyond the scope of the analysis. "What we're looking at doing is making some assumptions with the Marines about sustaining the type of force we're going to need," said a second unnamed officer. "As you look at this, it wouldn't seem prudent right now to plan on using a force of less than what is there now, for March '05." And, as always, ground conditions will be a primary factor.
Part of the Times article seems to be a curious discussion of which branch of what service speculates better. White House and Defense, USSC, the Joint Staff, and ultimately General Abizaid.
Sing it with me!
"I'll be home for Christmas.
But I don't know which one ...."
A long, hard slog, indeed.
And there's some discussion of the division of labor. Stephen A. Cambone, Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence, admitted, "We're a little short on the human side, there's no denying that, so we're in the process of adding to the number of people who may be involved."
Dr. Cambone also pointed indirectly toward the Clinton administration in admitting the lack of sufficient human intelligence capabilities in the military services.
And, to cap off what seems like an odd Times article, author Schmitt notes,
Notes:
• Schmitt, Eric. "Army Is Planning for 100,000 GI's in Iraq Till 2006." New York Times, November 22, 2003. see http://www.nytimes.com/2003/11/22/politics/22MILI.html?hp (Note: NY Times links disappear after a couple of weeks.)
• Al-Nahr, Naseer and Asharq Al-Awsat. "US to End Ira Occupation by June 2004." Al-Jazeerah, November 16, 2003. see http://aljazeerah.info/News archive...n/ US to End Iraq Occupation by June 2004.htm (Note: I cannot make this URL launch properly. For some reason my browser is reading--inserting?--a line break where there is none.)
See Also:
• Head, Buffalo. "We're Out Of Iraq By June, 2004." Sons of Sam Horn, November 15, 2003. see http://pub208.ezboard.com/fsonsofsamhornfrm12.showMessage?topicID=705.topic
Crystal balls: Iraqi colonial future takes the spotlight
Only recently did the major news networks and pundits trump the story that the US would "end" its occupation of Iraq in June, 2004, when the provisional Iraqi government comes to power. Certainly many of us recognized that the "end of the occupation" meant only the end of the legal status of an occupying force. Some, however, did not.
But even Al-Jazeerah recognizes this end of the occupation, so there's obviously no qualm with the term. It was openly acknowledged that, as Jalal Talibani expressed, "The new government will be in charge of negotiating with the occupying forces over how to regulate their presence in the country."
The New York Times website reports on November 22, 2003, that the U.S. Army is currently planning for the presence of at least 100,000 G.I.'s in Iraq until at least early 2006. While the article spoke nothing of a draft, an unnamed "senior Army officer" noted that maintaining such a force would cause the Army to "really start to feel the pain" of its overstressed roster.
The analysis is a senior-level Army perspective; any decisions about the actual size and duration of the American mission remain with the President. The Pentagon has marked the reductions to 105,000 troops, although there is confusion among the anonymous sources about whether that number would come down further. DoD sees the possibility, the Army is not accounting for that circumstance, as it is beyond the scope of the analysis. "What we're looking at doing is making some assumptions with the Marines about sustaining the type of force we're going to need," said a second unnamed officer. "As you look at this, it wouldn't seem prudent right now to plan on using a force of less than what is there now, for March '05." And, as always, ground conditions will be a primary factor.
Part of the Times article seems to be a curious discussion of which branch of what service speculates better. White House and Defense, USSC, the Joint Staff, and ultimately General Abizaid.
Sing it with me!
"I'll be home for Christmas.
But I don't know which one ...."
A long, hard slog, indeed.
And there's some discussion of the division of labor. Stephen A. Cambone, Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence, admitted, "We're a little short on the human side, there's no denying that, so we're in the process of adding to the number of people who may be involved."
Dr. Cambone also pointed indirectly toward the Clinton administration in admitting the lack of sufficient human intelligence capabilities in the military services.
And, to cap off what seems like an odd Times article, author Schmitt notes,
So in other words, we're all wasting column space?One official involved that said that the internal discussions were at a preliminary stage, and that General Abizaid would make recommendations in coming weeks. "We're looking at lots of different possible arrangements," the official said.
Notes:
• Schmitt, Eric. "Army Is Planning for 100,000 GI's in Iraq Till 2006." New York Times, November 22, 2003. see http://www.nytimes.com/2003/11/22/politics/22MILI.html?hp (Note: NY Times links disappear after a couple of weeks.)
• Al-Nahr, Naseer and Asharq Al-Awsat. "US to End Ira Occupation by June 2004." Al-Jazeerah, November 16, 2003. see http://aljazeerah.info/News archive...n/ US to End Iraq Occupation by June 2004.htm (Note: I cannot make this URL launch properly. For some reason my browser is reading--inserting?--a line break where there is none.)
See Also:
• Head, Buffalo. "We're Out Of Iraq By June, 2004." Sons of Sam Horn, November 15, 2003. see http://pub208.ezboard.com/fsonsofsamhornfrm12.showMessage?topicID=705.topic