If everyone somehow switched religions, but the same segregationism was forcibly introduced, the results would have been much the same.
GeoffP: "On what basis do you make this assumption?"
On the basis that human beings of every culture have much more in common than separatists, and irrational fears would have us believe. -On the basis of the universally-viral effect of vicious oppression. Victims often take out their rage not on their tormentors, but on the next victims in the chain; on the next viral host of sociopathy.
The profound bitterness of the Holocaust was passed on by zionists, in hard-hearted, dehumanizing oppression against non-Jewish residents of the Levant. Some Palestinian victims of the zionists went on to commit their own atrocities against other creeds- in Lebanon, for example. Every generation makes their collective choices based on reason, or based on blind reactionism. The world's most secure societies are more secure because of the primacy of reason over fear. Reason brings understanding, and understanding brings harmony. Fear destroys reason, and cries for security, but can't deliver it.
That is why the over-arching trend in humanity through history has been the triumph of reason over fear. If it were not so, we would not be having this conversation: If fear and aggression had greater power over us, there would already have been ruthless competitive elimination, and a series of "final solutions" would have already culminated in one single race and culture, or (most likely in the last round of cultural elimination) no survivors at all.
"If [religious irrelevance] is indeed - as you claim - so, then should not the Jews of Israel have similarly kicked out their Arab citizens?"
Oppression and hatred is viral, and becomes a cycle when reason is displaced by fear and hatred- in any culture, in any religion. The aftermath of the Holocaust was explosive- due to an anomolous multiplicity of factors (European and American sentiments of guilt, vulnerabilities in Palestine, surplusses of weaponry in Europe, zionist-separatist aspirations, etc) the 1940s catapulted an Israel into being that was rationally and ethically flawed. That is why Israel remains highly insecure today, no matter what weapons and walls are installed there.
"Yet they don't [kick out other ethnicities], although they do put them under scrutiny."
Israel's insecurity is entirely the result of forced segregation. The Palestinian diaspora is not the result of mere "scrutiny"; it didn't happen by accident.
But the cycle of oppression will be halted by reason. Arab Jews, Arab Muslims, Arab Christians, Arab Druze, Arab Armenians, other Arab sects, and multiethnic immigrants will all get back to living together in multi-ethnic societies all over the region. As segregationism is dismantled and abolished, tensions will decrease. Obviously, it won't happen overnight. But if humans walk the earth for another thousand years, I expect us to continue becoming more reasonable, and for hacked-out ethnic "Homelands" to become nothing more tangible than bad memories.
"The evidence is against you"
No, multiculturalism was the norm in the Levant before 1948. Multiculturalism is the global and historic trend. When segregationism is put back into the dustbin of Mideast history, a greater equilibrium, and more enduring and prosperous coexistence than ever experienced before will ensue.
"this is not the experience of religious minorities in the islamic world."
It was before the shock of 1948.
"Unless you mean that tensions will decrease because the minorities will live under a climate of repression and fear..."
No, that's not what I mean at all. Mideastern Jews today have become concentrated in a fortress-prison of zionist making, that has triggered a convulsive cycle of separatism, interrupting a larger trend, whereby Jews had been experiencing integration into societies all across the region, just like minorities have been, and continue to integrate in less paranoid societies all over the world.
"[minorities live in fear], whilst the dominant culture enjoys its empowerment."
Such an environment damages everyone involved- oppressor, and oppressed. Segregationism is a regressive, dysfunctional, insecure way to structure a society. The more humanity learns our history, the more we hold certain truths self-evident, and the better our societies function.
"The multiethnic societies you describe belong to the 15th century (and even entirely at the whim of the dominant culture), not the 21st."
Wrong. Arab Jews were a visible part of the cultural tapestry, all across the Mideast before 1948. The "triumph" of zionism was by far the greatest disaster for Mideast multiculturalism in modern times, causing a global cascade of disasters for multiculturalism. Other minorities suffer too, because of the confrontationalism each new convulsion of ethnic separatism triggers. Where Arabs and Jews coexist far from the Mideast, tensions resulting from zionism are contagious, because fear is incompatible with reason.
"You seemingly have considerable trouble stopping your own mental murdercycle."
I'm human, just like you. I claim no immunity from anger. But I do understand that there is no solution to be found by going around and around about who initiated any given cycle of aggression. When segregation in the USA was defeated as official policy, the process began with principled non-violent action that replaced oppression and rage with reason, cross-cultural empathy, and cross-cultural solidarity. I believe strongly in the triumph of reason over rage, and I know that it is throuh the conscious advancement of reason that destructive cycles of behavior are halted.
"Cyclicity is not the only enemy of reason."
The definition of insanity is continuing to do the same thing over and over, and then expecting different results.
Militaristic separatism is an insane policy, and the insanity is revealed every time Israel, or any other nation tries to force the issue; the insanity is revealed every time the level of violence is escalated. If you believe in separatism, you're crazy; If you are a segregationist, you've allowed your fears to overcome reason.