When we consider how life came about, we need know how complex chemicals had to be before they could qualify as life. One qualification for life is that it be able to reproduce. Before you can talk about these chemicals evolving, something has to create a replication mechanism first.
It seems easy to get the amino acids by mixing basic ingredients in a bottle and zapping it with energy. However, it is a huge leap from there to life. You have to encase whatever you are doing in a sack of some kind. That sack has to let the good stuff in and get rid of the bad stuff. Then there is the issue of replication. DNA is ungodly complex, but you already had to have it for there to be life. Our DNA has 3.2 billion base pair on each of 46 chromosomes which works out to about 5 trillion [5,000,000,000,000] atoms. You can get by with a lot fewer base pair for a simple primitive replication mechanism.
http://www.virtuallaboratory.net/Biofundamentals/lectureNotes/Topic4-1_GeneExp.htm
Mycoplasma Genitalium is an organism with close to the minimum number of DNA base pair required to carry out minimum life functions. It has 580,074 base pair, but could probably do what it does with about 300,000. However, it is a parasite, so it depends on its host to provide some of its life functions. You would have to bump the base pair count back up to 500,000, possibly a bit more, to achieve minimum genome: the fewest number of DNA base pair to carry on life functions.
When each base pair needs about 100 atoms to construct the DNA molecule, the minimum genome requires somewhere around 50 million atoms properly arranged before life can exist. Raise any even modest number to the 50,000,000th power and you get an astoundingly large figure. Just pulling a wild number out of the air, if the average atom can combine with another in any of four ways, then you have to try 10<Sup>30,000,000</Sup> combinations before one of them works.
I will give you an idea how improbable this is to happen by accident. Suppose that in the experiment to create life you try a different combination every trillionth of a second. You never repeat a previous combination, so each attempt is a unique effort. For round numbers you try a new combination in every 30 molecules of water. You cannot use much fewer than this number because you have to suspend the chemicals that will be building the DNA. Since there are 10<Sup>9</Sup> cubic kilometers of ocean, there are 10<Sup>18</Sup> cubic meters and 10<Sup>24</Sup> cubic centimeters of ocean. In each cc of seawater there will be 10<Sup>21</Sup> groups of 30 water molecules, so you should have 10<Sup>45</Sup> combinations of chemicals tried each trillionth of a second to produce DNA. In one second you will try 10<Sup>57</Sup> combinations, and in a year you will try 10<Sup>65</Sup> combinations. After the age of our universe, 13 billion years, you will have tried 10<Sup>75</Sup> unique atomic combinations in search of a DNA molecule.
The problem is that you needed to try 10<Sup>30,000,000</Sup> unique combinations before chance happens to give you one. Actually, I rounded 30,000,000 down from 30,103,000. If a hundred thousand zeros is not significant, then certainly 75 zeros does not mean anything. You would have to continue trying unique combinations of atoms for 10<Sup>30,102,925</Sup> times the current age of the universe before chance will create the smallest DNA molecule needed to sustain life.
It ain’t gonna happen.
It seems easy to get the amino acids by mixing basic ingredients in a bottle and zapping it with energy. However, it is a huge leap from there to life. You have to encase whatever you are doing in a sack of some kind. That sack has to let the good stuff in and get rid of the bad stuff. Then there is the issue of replication. DNA is ungodly complex, but you already had to have it for there to be life. Our DNA has 3.2 billion base pair on each of 46 chromosomes which works out to about 5 trillion [5,000,000,000,000] atoms. You can get by with a lot fewer base pair for a simple primitive replication mechanism.
http://www.virtuallaboratory.net/Biofundamentals/lectureNotes/Topic4-1_GeneExp.htm
Mycoplasma Genitalium is an organism with close to the minimum number of DNA base pair required to carry out minimum life functions. It has 580,074 base pair, but could probably do what it does with about 300,000. However, it is a parasite, so it depends on its host to provide some of its life functions. You would have to bump the base pair count back up to 500,000, possibly a bit more, to achieve minimum genome: the fewest number of DNA base pair to carry on life functions.
When each base pair needs about 100 atoms to construct the DNA molecule, the minimum genome requires somewhere around 50 million atoms properly arranged before life can exist. Raise any even modest number to the 50,000,000th power and you get an astoundingly large figure. Just pulling a wild number out of the air, if the average atom can combine with another in any of four ways, then you have to try 10<Sup>30,000,000</Sup> combinations before one of them works.
I will give you an idea how improbable this is to happen by accident. Suppose that in the experiment to create life you try a different combination every trillionth of a second. You never repeat a previous combination, so each attempt is a unique effort. For round numbers you try a new combination in every 30 molecules of water. You cannot use much fewer than this number because you have to suspend the chemicals that will be building the DNA. Since there are 10<Sup>9</Sup> cubic kilometers of ocean, there are 10<Sup>18</Sup> cubic meters and 10<Sup>24</Sup> cubic centimeters of ocean. In each cc of seawater there will be 10<Sup>21</Sup> groups of 30 water molecules, so you should have 10<Sup>45</Sup> combinations of chemicals tried each trillionth of a second to produce DNA. In one second you will try 10<Sup>57</Sup> combinations, and in a year you will try 10<Sup>65</Sup> combinations. After the age of our universe, 13 billion years, you will have tried 10<Sup>75</Sup> unique atomic combinations in search of a DNA molecule.
The problem is that you needed to try 10<Sup>30,000,000</Sup> unique combinations before chance happens to give you one. Actually, I rounded 30,000,000 down from 30,103,000. If a hundred thousand zeros is not significant, then certainly 75 zeros does not mean anything. You would have to continue trying unique combinations of atoms for 10<Sup>30,102,925</Sup> times the current age of the universe before chance will create the smallest DNA molecule needed to sustain life.
It ain’t gonna happen.