Climate-gate

I have posted links to the archeological evidence.
Not sure what your point is here. And I lost track of which links you're referring to.

The claim is Now. Suddenly.
There are no claims in science, just facts in evidence. No this is not new. Reactionary anti-science mania is, though.

The collected data extends back roughly 60 (CO[sub]2[/sub]) to 120 (temp.) years. The substantial concerns leading to the creation of IPCC go back a generation (25 YA). The observable trend (e.g. linear approximation) is monotonic increasing, available in evidence since at least the Truman era, earlier if you consider only warming. We can mark several points on that trend line in which scientists were expressing this, all of which precede this recent reactionary anti-science mania. It's simply an innovation in Republic disinformation campaigning. Science is what it is, and works the same in the way it transports your posts across the web as it does in studying and reporting on the climate. You can no sooner disregard the work of IPCC scientists as you can the work of engineers and physicists who gave you your better-than-Star-Trek communicator. And that's because we're all working out of the same toolbox. And the master craftsmen are sweating away at the lathes, fashioning newer and better tools. You've characterized shared technology as group think. It's a sad commentary on the way ignorance leads to cynicism. Knowledge of the Greenhouse Effect extends back to the era before Anabaptists would grow into ugly little mean illiterate anti-science fundamentalists. Presumably you're not a technophobe, but obviously it takes a little training to recognize what trends are. And that science was baselined when people were still living in log cabins.

Its changing because of co2. They have not proven that. Not by a long shot.
No, it was proven about two centuries ago in connection with solving the ultraviolet catastrophe. Sorry to burst your bubble, it's not a long shot at all, just elementary physics. The only long shot is whether the numbskull maniacs will ever comprehend any of the science they're babbling about.

You still have not addressed the content of the article.
I gave you the charts. They addressed it. This issue is DOA, it's a rehash of the parading of science under the lens of ignorance. They went looking for local maximums and were overjoyed to discover that we recently passed through one. That's your answer, I thought you understood that from the charts. The maniacs evidently never took freshman calculus or physics or they would have some respect for the experts who wield it with ease. If you need a detailed explanation of why your source is rehashing a long dead topic, you might want to go Google the testimony given by NOAA to Congress when this mania was going through one of its most bizarre temper tantrums. Let me know if you need help with that.

OK next, you're going to remind us that IPCC has advanced from its original charter since the UN commissioned it to prepare a world body to address climate change:

The role of the IPCC is to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation. IPCC reports should be neutral with respect to policy, although they may need to deal objectively with scientific, technical and socio-economic factors relevant to the application of particular policies.

That's pretty standard fare. Nothing special there. So you give us the cite.

http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf

And here comes the attack:

See above link. That is the IPCC role quoted directly from the IPCC website. The mandate has nothing to do with climate, its focus is about human. No disernable human fingerprint, no IPCC.
You're just recasting aspersions on the work done since the original charter in 1988, which explains the harm from increasing greenhouse gas emissions, with earlier conclusions from studies on anthropogenic emissions. You want us to throw all of that work in the trash because your illiterate buddies have decided that these evil scientists are at the controls their doomsday machine, ready to pull the lever, wringing their hands and cackling like witches? That's about all I can get from what you're telling me. So far you haven't told us what IPCC actually said was the evidence of anthropogenic emissions. Maybe you'll stipulate to that; that it's moot. But you have no actual evidence that IPCC is wrong, that science is broken, that evidence is doctored, that they're playing Machiavellian games and so forth, so you're falling back to the worst perpetrators of pseudoscience and propaganda, folks like Singer and Steele -- because they give the false persona of actually practicing science. It's all a smoke screen, but only designed for the rheumy eyed idiots who think they're smarter than the experts. The rest of the world is just yawning, wondering when these folks will die off, hoping the youngsters haven't been too seriously damaged by the propaganda machine you're defending.

No. Correlation is not causation.
Tell that to your doctor who's reminding you to ditch the cigarettes. Correlation is what it is. This is first order analysis. That's why people go to school to learn science. If all we had in our rucksack to solve all technical problems were tools of the first order, we'd still be living in serfdoms. Fortunately, to save you the trouble of having to enroll yourself in order to figure what basis vectors are, and what singular value decomposition is, technical stuff like that which you might encounter as you drill down into the puzzle, the universities have prepared millions of finely honed minds to do that work for you, many of whom have been writing on subjects like this since before your grandparents were born. And since 1988 the folks specializing in this field have been known as IPCC--but they represent the voice all of professionals and academics, and those folks attest to the science employed by the appointees because it's all drawn from that shared toolbox you're dismissing as group-think. The folks your buddies all calling dullards are no more dull-witted today than they were 25 years ago, or any other era. In fact they're better, smarter, esp. thanks to much better resource and tools, and finer grained-data. Of course you're assuming they are corrupt, so I guess all bets are off in proving to you that they've done the higher order analysis. I guess we could try go there too but I suspect your eyes will just glaze over.

The key is: what does IPCC tell about causation? You haven't elaborated on that, so I suspect this conversation will remain relegated to drawing lines in the sand around science and playing King of the Mountain. It's a highly technical subject like brain surgery. Do you assume to tell a brain surgeon he's doesn't know what he's doing? Most people don't even backseat drive their plumber or car mechanic, and that's hitting you square in the wallet. But anyone with little insight could pick up that level of technology pretty quickly. So what gives with all of the presumptions that climate scientists need help crossing the street?

We have evidence of past warming/cooling in the not so distant past and that cannot be explained by co2.
As I said before it's premature to render any verdict on the findings of paleoclimatology. If you want to develop that some more go ahead. But while you're at it, try estimating the energy in the atmosphere over the last 100 years, and tell us why anyone cares about the pre-historic trends. This reminds me a little of trying to dismiss Big Bang theory for failing to satisfy the religious person's need for causation at the outset of the expansion.

Until they determine the cause of all of it, they cannot proclaim this is different.
Only if you short circuit all climate science and install yourself as Dean. But why go there?

But the Political mandate (role assigned) prevents an objective look at the climate.
That's nothing but sour grapes. Control freaks can't stand anyone with skill twiddling with the choke on the engine. They think the guy is showing off, trying to get into his girlfriend's pants or something. It's just ego, pure styrofoam. You lose a lot of that real quick struggling through your freshman exams. Nature really is what it is, and you simply have to let go of all of your beliefs in a Divine Master of the Universe in order to understand what it's telling you. I suggest you learn the story of the Ultraviolet Catastrophe and how it got us to where we are today (at least a few of the salient facts). Just a dash of science will go a long way to explaining why you simply can't bypass the fuel pump to get more mileage out of reactionary mania.

Simply put, its not their job to assess the climate.
Geez. :rolleyes:

The job is to find a human fingerprint.
Are you sure you're not a Baptist minister?

And there is more co2 now than in 99, in 88, in 77 but the warming isnt happening.
For starters, go figure out what thermal capacitance is and get back with me. We're not going to conduct classes here but you could use some help with the basics.

So now your not so sure co2 is at its highest level?
Not sure what you mean, but this isn't about me. I'm just here to help debunk the nuts. Ask NOAA. Let's get straight on that. There is no other authority but science. All we have is the data. The rest is either skill or styrofoam. I think you need to take a step back and re-examine the roots of your cynical skepticism of math and science. Did you have a problem in your early schooling that stilted you? Nothing personal, I feel I have to ask this because I'm noticing a lot of dropouts in the anti-science movement.

Keep in mind that was in reference to this interglacial with my earliest reference being only 5K years ago.
That's all meaningless to me. Until you get around to telling us how the solution to the ultraviolet catastrophe led to discovery of the greenhouse effect you haven't established a factual predicate for trotting out exhibits from the Republican briefs to the Southern Baptist Convention, or whatever these sources are that you're using.

No, not invalidated IPCC assessments, rather it is the poor quality of the science she uses and she brought that with her to the IPCC.
Based on whose expert judgment? No, you can't have it both ways. You can't on one hand espouse the virtues of science by giving you modern medicine and gadgets and then on the other hand demonize the same hand that helps you. That's ludicrous. And irrationally cynical.

OK next you go back to attempting to discredit an expert your buddies havee singled out. This is in retaliation for the many sorties flown by educated people over nuts like ICR, and as I just did with Singer & Steele. Since your guys have nothing but nuts and windbags driving the car, it's open season on the diligent scientists who actually established themselves in their field by doing dastardy things like actually studying (we can nix all of this pretty quickly with our tutorial on the ultraviolet catastrophe) so here you go, full steam ahead, hoping to trounce one of the scientists that's been singled out:

Species adapt quite well to their environment. From Parmesan's own paper:

http://www.biosci.utexas.edu/ib/faculty/parmesan/pubs/Parm_BAMS_00.pdf

You see? She knows full well species and systems are resilient to Rapid Climate Change. Human domination of the land leaves her with questions on the ability to adapt. Not because of climate change, rather it is because of land use.
Is that what you call science? Because if it is, then you're free to publish it as your rebuttal of her work. The reason that no one on Earth has succeeded in doing that ought to ring some bells. But more to the point, go find out the current estimate of how many species have gone into extinction as a percentage of all that ever evolved. Then discuss how many extinction events there were. Come back and tell us your findings on resiliency.

Again you do not dispute the content.
You mean I didn't rehash the response to what Steele is rehashing?

The graphs were there showing you how the data has been manipulated.
It's called pseudoscience. I thought you understood what I was talking about. Your guys are assuming that what he plotted is evidence of data doctoring, But that's a very bad assumption. And a doctored one at that. Doped up even.

You do not explain why the well situated data was altered to come online with the poorly situated station.
I don't understand you. Steele is propagandizing. It's a pretense, nothing more. He hasn't done any science there, which is why he's giving it to a junk science rag.

The station in question does not meet the standards of CRN instead you resort to a Red_herring
Hah hah. That's your reference to my mention of you officer Obie with his twenty seven eight-by-ten color glossy photographs with circles and arrows and a paragraph on the back of each one explaining what each one was to be used as evidence against us In so many words, I mean. That was my first thought when I saw his Exhibit A.

justify the station adjustments. Your the one with the confidence in the temp data.
That will require us to enter the deadly realm of actual science. So far you're not demonstrating the chops to go there. You haven’t Googled this one yet to figure out what makes your source a chump? Or are you anticipating this with some other plan to attack as soon as we cross into that discussion. That's part of my problem here. I'm not really sure who the real milkweed is, because he's being kinda sly and crafty.

From IPCC released friday and today:
“Models do not generally reproduce the observed reduction in surface warming trend over the last 10 –15 years.”
...This difference between simulated and observed trends could be caused by some combination of (a) internal climate variability, (b) missing or incorrect radiative forcing, and (c) model response error.

Do you even know what forcing is? You might want to start there. The problem with reading science is that you need some training to follow the discussion. I presume from this you've never done any modeling. The good news is, it's running in all the systems that provide you your infrastructure (in the form of predictive algorithms) and of course in the simulators used to test ideas before investments are squandered on the ones that won’t work. As I said before, the data speaks for itself. And I'll add to that the remark that modeling is what it is. If your intent is to trounce modeling (another severe weakness in the academic preparation of your average Republican) then we can go there too I suppose. But you have to take down all of academia as soon as you attack this position. Close all the colleges of science and engineering. Because they are dead on the water without modeling. And that includes all of the hospitals all of meteorology, aerospace, transportation, and of course economics which means banking in general . . . pretty soon the whole world implodes, like in the proverbial sci-fi paradox where people go back in time only to disturb something and erase their later existence.

A much more fun read. The "if its warming its human caused... if its cooling its natural" LOL:
Go back and explain the solution to the ultraviolet catastrophe, relate this to the discovery of the Greenhouse Effect, and come back and tell us what's so funny. :bugeye:
 
One of the biggest problems with the models is not enough emphasis on water which is the engine of weather. If you have ever been outside in the summer, instead of in a lab, and a cloud appears to block the sun, it gets cooler because it reflects energy back to space. As the climate warms, the solubility of water in air increases and more clouds appear to reflect the solar heating. There is a negative feedback system to cancel the CO2 effect. The Co2 warms, more clouds form and less sun gets through until the CO2 effect is minimized.

If we compare the sun shining on water, versus sun shining on land, the land will heat quicker. Go to a small lake on a sunny day and measure the temperature on the shore versus out in the lake. How do the models predict the cloud/sun cover ratio of land and water?

The doom and gloom of climate change is hyped like the government shut down; manipulate for political reasons. Are you aware the furloughed government employees will get back pay when this is over. Propaganda leaves key things out.

What told me this was a scam was when they came up with consensus science. Science is not about consensus but about the truth even if only one person has it. Consensus is about emotion and politics. When science discovered the earth was round the consensus thought it was flat. According to liberalism nothing should have changed.
 
As the climate warms, the solubility of water in air increases and more clouds appear to reflect the solar heating. There is a negative feedback system to cancel the CO2 effect. The Co2 warms, more clouds form and less sun gets through until the CO2 effect is minimized.
Warmer air will indeed take up more water and hold it as gas, but your assumption that automatically more reflective daytime clouds will form at the right heights to provide net negative feedback to a warming trend is poorly founded - whether the probable higher concentrations of water gas in the air will leads to wider areas of beneficial condensation and larger areas of cooling cloud cover is one of the more complex questions faced by the modelers. They have been struggling with it for quite a while, and making some progress, if you want to check in with them.

To remind you, of what you have read but apparently forgotten: water gas is visually transparent and a strong greenhouse gas in its own right - when greenhouse warmed air incorporates more water gas, the feedback to the greenhouse warming is initially strongly positive. That is a great concern - it multiplies the anthro CO2 effect, which is already at hazard level Furthermore, if more clouds form from this water gas (not a sure thing) they can have various effects on the heat budget - some (daytime high altitude low latitude, say) will for sure reflect more back into space than they trap below and help cool the surface below them, some (nighttime low altitude high latitude, say) will for sure trap more below than they reflect back into space and help warm the surface below them, and some are not for sure - it will depend. How much the net consequences of resultant clouds formation will counter the net consequences of more water gas in the air is not an easy question to answer.

- - -

wellwisher said:
- - - Science is not about consensus but about the truth even if only one person has it.
Science is not about the Truth, but about the facts and what fits them.
Consensus is about emotion and politics.
In this issue that depends on how many Tea Partiers, fundamentalists, Randites , truther conspiracy mongers, Republican Party tacticians, and oil company propagandists show up. Without them the consensus assessment of the basic physical situation is a fairly calm and reasonable coming to agreement about what the facts are and what best fits them.
 
One of the biggest problems with the models is not enough emphasis on water which is the engine of weather.

MOST greenhouse effect comes from water. If they were ignoring water then they'd be predicting -20C temperatures worldwide, which isn't happening.

If you have ever been outside in the summer, instead of in a lab, and a cloud appears to block the sun, it gets cooler because it reflects energy back to space.

And if you have ever been in the desert on a summer night, and the clouds roll in, it gets _warmer_ because the clouds block the re-radiation of IR.

As the climate warms, the solubility of water in air increases and more clouds appear to reflect the solar heating.

And more clouds appear to keep the Earth warmer at night.

If we compare the sun shining on water, versus sun shining on land, the land will heat quicker.

The land will heat quicker (less thermal inertia.) The water will absorb more heat overall (lower albedo.)

What told me this was a scam was when they came up with consensus science.
Really? So you don't believe in gravity, since there is a consensus on that?

When science discovered the earth was round the consensus thought it was flat. According to liberalism nothing should have changed.

Uh, actually, it was the conservatives who wanted things to stay the same. It was not the liberals who imprisoned Galileo and executed Giordano for claiming that the Earth was not the center of the universe. Look up the definition of the word "progressive" if you want more information.
 
@ A.I.

While I appreciate the time you put into your deflection, you do not address the primary questions. I am aware of Arrhenius and Tyndall. I did not read your cops analogy and I do not care to go back through the thread.

The graphs were there showing you that the data has been manipulated. You do not explain why the well situated data was altered. You do not address the points in the essay regarding UHI effects on minimum temps and how they distort final averaged data. You deflect by producing graphs which do not address the issues presented within the linked essays. The crux of Steeles question/dispute remain unaddressed. Why did they Greatly adjust older data downwards? He introduces the apparent cause, computer flagging without on-site verification.

Until the past warming episodes are explained (the warming periods of this interglacial) no legitimate scientist can declare this is different with any substantial degree of confidence.

She (Parmesan) knows full well species and systems are resilient to Rapid Climate Change. She notes that OTHER research shows resiliency to Rapid Climate Change but in her biased approach she goes on (quote from Steeles essay):

Comparing the magnitudes and directions of these two factors [warming vs land use] suggests that climate change is more likely than land-use change to be the cause of expansion.” She uses "a mesmerizing statistical model, [originally created by] C.D. Thomas (source of the 60% of species...) argued that because the Silver-spotted Skipper “needs warmth,” only global warming could account for its recent colonization of a few cooler north-facing slopes of England’s southern hills.

At the end of his [C.D. Thomas] paper, relegated to his methods sections, he quietly stated, “we assumed that grazing patterns were the same in 1982 as in 2000.”

Steele goes directly to Jeremy Thomas’ and asks if this basic assumption is correct. He asks the simple question

"Is his implied assumption of no changes to turf height valid?" He replied, “No, it's not valid. There was a massive change in turf height and vegetation structure …between 1980 and the 1990s onwards for 2 reasons.” First, since the 1986 paper, several of the key surviving sites were grazed more appropriately by conservationists and most of them, and many neighbors, are today in “agri-environmental schemes” to maintain optimum grass heights. Second, from 1990 onwards the rabbits had gradually returned and did the same job on several abandoned former sites.

From her paper:
For one finch on Daphne Island [Galapagos], Geospiza fortis, wet years select for small individuals while droughts select for large ones, leading to frequent shifts in the distribution of body sizes (Boag and Grant 1984).

However, the current trends in many wild turtles toward smaller population sizes, fewer and more isolated protected nesting habitats, (all leading to less successful dispersal), and limited choice of sites for nesting within a habitat, suggest that the assumption of self- adjustment of sex ratios may no longer be valid

Wait. You mean these finches EVOLVED within these parameters? Natural selection on an Island providing both larger and smaller of the same species as a method of survival in a changing environment. And with the turtles, again we see it is land use change that has the major potential to disrupt the continuation of the Map turtle. It is a habitat related.

So yes I most certainly can reference Parmesans papers to show she was fully aware of alternative (and more likely) causes of increasing populations of both the Blue and Skipper butterfly.

Groupthink is a psychological phenomenon that occurs within a group of people, in which the desire for harmony or conformity in the group results in an incorrect or deviant decision-making outcome.

Group members try to minimize conflict and reach a consensus decision without critical evaluation of alternative ideas or viewpoints, and by isolating themselves from outside influences.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groupthink

That is what the IPCC requires of its members via the mandate to seek the human component of a system we do not fully understand, nor have the long term documentation for background to declare "this is different".

http://savetheeaglesinternational.org/new/whooping-cranes-decimated-by-windfarms.html
 
@ A.I. While I appreciate the time you put into your deflection,
You opened with a deflection - Singer and Steele. To deflect from a deflection is to answer directly.

you do not address the primary questions.
I did. Maybe you do not agree and/or understand. That's different.

I am aware of Arrhenius and Tyndall.
Does that mean you accept the science leading to the discovery of the greenhouse effect? Without that critical piece of science behind us, discussion of the rest of climate science is quite problematic.

I did not read your cops analogy and I do not care to go back through the thread.
Not sure what you mean. I intended to go back to some of the research presented during prior attacks on global science in years past. I had in mind another thread, not this one. It's probably in Earth Sciences, which is where climatology fits best. This thread ostensibly deals with the psychology (human science) of pseudoscience--the tactics used, and the effect of science illiteracy on public attitudes.

The graphs were there showing you that the data has been manipulated.
By Steele. Let's make that clear. Steele has lied to you, and done so through the use of those graphs.

You do not explain why the well situated data
Explain what you mean by this term.

..was altered.
It was altered by Steele. He has taken uncalibrated data and presented it to you as calibrated data, which is a lie.

You do not address the points in the essay regarding UHI effects on minimum temps and how they distort final averaged data.
I did address it. I suggested you try some research. Here:

Sometimes when the instruments change, the observations will show an artificial increase or decrease. Such a jump in the measured amount is an example of an inhomogeneity and adjustments to these data are often applied to account for the effects of the inhomogeneity. If a long-term time series is homogeneous, then all variability and change is due to the behaviour of the atmosphere
http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcdmp/wcdmp_series/documents/WCDMP-53.pdf

Climate records (e.g. temperature and precipitation measurements) are affected by changes in measurement conditions, e.g., modernisation of the instrumentation, relocation of the weather stations, changes in observation rules, automation, etc. These inhomogeneities are of the same order of magnitude as anthropogenic climate change or slow climatic cycles. The aim of a homogenisation procedure is to detect and correct these changes. Inhomogeneities of this kind can be detected as jumps in the difference between observations from two nearby stations. The measurements of neighbouring stations are usually strongly correlated and jumps in the difference between these measurements indicate a change in the conditions of one station, whereas climatic changes are expected to affect both stations. By analysing a larger network of stations, these jumps can in general be attributed to a specific station.

http://www2.meteo.uni-bonn.de/mitarbeiter/venema/themes/homogenisation/index.html

Also this.

You deflect by producing graphs which do not address the issues presented within the linked essays.
Which graph does not address the issue of global warming?

The crux of Steeles question/dispute remain unaddressed.
Not true. As I said, you would have to be willing to cross into the deadly realm of actual science, and suggested you go look for papers like the ones I cited above.

Why did they Greatly adjust older data downwards?
With the above cites, you should now begin to understand that this question makes assumptions that are false and incorrect.

He introduces the apparent cause, computer flagging without on-site verification.
Nope. He's just lying.

Until the past warming episodes are explained (the warming periods of this interglacial) no legitimate scientist can declare this is different with any substantial degree of confidence.
That's what the Right Wing wants you to believe. Contrast with their mind games the actual science, which studies the data and concludes that the trend for a century has been monotonic increasing. And it correlates with anthropogenic CO[sub]2[/sub].

She (Parmesan) knows full well species and systems are resilient to Rapid Climate Change.
Cite her. I see nothing but meritorious work from her in the public domain.

She notes that OTHER research shows resiliency to Rapid Climate Change but in her biased approach she goes on (quote from Steeles essay):
Forget him. Jim Steele, of the Sierra Nevada Field Campus of SFU, is an incompetent fool and patent liar. He is unqualified to address the scope of Parmesan's work.

Comparing the magnitudes and directions of these two factors [warming vs land use] suggests that climate change is more likely than land-use change to be the cause of expansion.”
It's a bogus cite. He left off the footmark (cite 29 in the original document) which cites research by Warren, M S ; Hill, J K ; Thomas, J A ; Asher, J ; Fox, R ; Huntley, B ; Roy, D B ; Telfer, M G ; Jeffcoate, S ; Harding, P ; Jeffcoate, G ; Willis, S G ; Greatorex-Davies, J N ; Moss, D ; Thomas, C D, in their work Rapid responses of British butterflies to opposing forces of climate and habitat change.

NOTE: Singer is behind this too. He attacks the same work in his junk science rag N-IPCC.

More propaganda. No science.

She uses "a mesmerizing statistical model,
All of statistics mesmerizes junk science dealer Jim Steele, or he would have explained to you what the NOAA data really is all about.

[originally created by] C.D. Thomas (source of the 60% of species...) argued that because the Silver-spotted Skipper “needs warmth,” only global warming could account for its recent colonization of a few cooler north-facing slopes of England’s southern hills.

At the end of his [C.D. Thomas] paper, relegated to his methods sections, he quietly stated, “we assumed that grazing patterns were the same in 1982 as in 2000.”
Do you mean Nature printed an unscientific and/or doctored journal article?

And we arrive at this conclusion simply because Steele can't understand what that assumption was or why it was mentioned?

Steele goes directly to Jeremy Thomas’ and asks if this basic assumption is correct. He asks the simple question

"Is his implied assumption of no changes to turf height valid?" He replied, “No, it's not valid. There was a massive change in turf height and vegetation structure …between 1980 and the 1990s onwards for 2 reasons.” First, since the 1986 paper, several of the key surviving sites were grazed more appropriately by conservationists and most of them, and many neighbors, are today in “agri-environmental schemes” to maintain optimum grass heights. Second, from 1990 onwards the rabbits had gradually returned and did the same job on several abandoned former sites.

I haven't read the article, I have no idea what he's referring to. But based on his fatal errors thus far, we can safely dismiss it as junk science rant. If he thinks all of the above experts (let's face it they leave Steele behind in the dust) are going to overlook something as fundamental as rabbits eating the grass, he's off his rocker. Again, I don't have the text, so for now it's unclear what the article actually said.

From her paper:
For one finch on Daphne Island [Galapagos], Geospiza fortis, wet years select for small individuals while droughts select for large ones, leading to frequent shifts in the distribution of body sizes (Boag and Grant 1984).

First of all that's a different paper.

However, the current trends in many wild turtles toward smaller population sizes, fewer and more isolated protected nesting habitats, (all leading to less successful dispersal), and limited choice of sites for nesting within a habitat, suggest that the assumption of self- adjustment of sex ratios may no longer be valid

Wait. You mean these finches EVOLVED within these parameters?
Where do you come up with that? The previous remarks about finches came under the heading Effects of extremes on morphology but it was predicated on the mention of climate extremes on the availability of the seeds they feed on. The discussion of turtles falls under the heading Effects of extremes on behavior and reproduction. But I have no idea what you are driving at.

Natural selection on an Island providing both larger and smaller of the same species as a method of survival in a changing environment.
That doesn't seem to have any bearing on her remarks at all. Maybe you should read what she actually wrote and see if you can tell us what in the world you are objecting to.

And with the turtles, again we see it is land use change that has the major potential to disrupt the continuation of the Map turtle. It is a habitat related.
That's not what she said. She gave your buddy some facts about the effects of heat in producing more males than females. He just processed it through his junk science filter, and spit out some vitriol at her. It looks like she snubbed him or else he imagines that she did. He's obviously got an axe to grind, one he's been carrying for years. Who knows what's going on in his sicko whacko nutty mixed up head.

So yes I most certainly can reference Parmesans papers to show she was fully aware of alternative (and more likely) causes of increasing populations of both the Blue and Skipper butterfly.
It would help to address what she actually said. Maybe you can explain what bothers you about either of the papers I've linked to.

Groupthink is a psychological phenomenon that occurs within a group of people, in which the desire for harmony or conformity in the group results in an incorrect or deviant decision-making outcome.
And that's all Singer and Steele are feeding you.

Group members try to minimize conflict and reach a consensus decision without critical evaluation of alternative ideas or viewpoints, and by isolating themselves from outside influences.
That's especially true when they are unqualified and incompetent. That's all you get reading junk science rags. If you want actual science, and the ability to process it with a modicum of understanding, you need to rely on authoritative sources. And of course you need training in science in order to evaluate their authority yourself. You're not going to discredit an expert by sniping from the sidelines. You have to have some chops. Otherwise all you're producing is trash.

That is what the IPCC requires of its members
They require credentials. They wouldn't allow fools like Singer and Steele to darken their doorstep. They look for people who actually have the chops (like Parmesan, her co-authors, and the people whose work she studied). Steele and Singer want us to believe IPCC is operating out of Al Gore's playbook. That's crackpottery. IPCC was selecting experts long before Al Gore was involved. Any ideation to the contrary is just Republican pro-energy propaganda.

via the mandate
It's not a mandate, it's a UN charter.

to seek the human component
not to seek it, but to measure it. You're confusing analysis (measurement) and synthesis (in this case, making it up.)

of a system we do not fully understand,
Who's this "we"? Certainly not climate scientists:

Annual net CO2 emissions from anthropogenic land use change were 0.9 [0.1 to 1.7] GtC yr–1 on average during 2002 to 2011

http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/uploads/WGIAR5-SPM_Approved27Sep2013.pdf



nor have the long term documentation for background to declare "this is different".
Au contraire:

Observations of the climate system are based on direct measurements and remote sensing from
satellites and other platforms. Global-scale observations from the instrumental era began in the
mid-19th century for temperature and other variables, with more comprehensive and diverse sets
of observations available for the period 1950 onwards. Paleoclimate reconstructions extend some
records back hundreds to millions of years. Together, they provide a comprehensive view of the
variability and long-term changes in the atmosphere, the ocean, the cryosphere, and the land
surface.

ibid.

I suggest you read actual pro-wildlife sources instead of pro-energy sources pretending to be pro-wildlife:

This system uses [an] airport bird-strike avoidance radar to identify flocks of migrating birds and automatically shut down the wind project when the risk of collision is high.

http://www.abcbirds.org/newsandreports/stories/090612.html

Bird-lover Jim Steele should be behind this. Rather than kick and scream that NOAA doesn't know what it's doing, he should be publishing articles that promote ideas that strive to correct problems as they occur. So far we are left with a legacy of kicking the can down the road from the right wing. This conversation between science and policy makers is now 25 years old.

That's the problem with Republicans. They've become RepubliCANTs.
 

Dr. Timothy Ball is Chairman and Chair of the Scientific Advisory Committee of the Natural Resources Stewardship Project (NRSP).[1] Two of the three directors of the NRSP - Timothy Egan and Julio Lagos - are executives with the PR and lobbying company, the High Park Group (HPG).[2] Both HPG and Egan and Lagos work for energy industry clients and companies on energy policy.[3]

Ball is a Canadian climate change skeptic and was previously a "scientific advisor" to the oil industry-backed organization, Friends of Science.[4] Ball is a member of the Board of Research Advisors of the Frontier Centre for Public Policy, a Canadian free-market think tank which is predominantly funded by foundations and corporations.[5]

Ball is also a writer for Tech Central Station.[6]


TCS is a publication of DCI Group:

DCI has been described as a "Republican public relations firm".[2] Oil company ExxonMobil is a confirmed client (by an Exxon spokesman), and DCI Group has engaged in climate change denial campaigns, paying skeptical scientists to write editorial pieces.[3]

So far, all you guys are posting is pro-energy Republican screed. There is no scientific merit to any of it. It's all PR, per the Republican propaganda machine. I guess it remains to be seen whether you are working for them, or whether you're just very gullible. :shrug:
 
@ A.I.
You opened with a deflection - Singer and Steele. To deflect from a deflection is to answer directly.

Actually I did not. My opening:

And how do you address the content of the article? Attacking one of the authors is not a rebuttal of the claim(s)...I am skeptical of the lofty claims of the IPCC and its not because of religion or politics... The IPCC role is what has ruined the science. Their role is not about evidence of past climate; what good will it do them to discover these fluctuations are normal in the long term? Simply put, its not their mandate to show climate, the mandate is to find Anthropogenic Climate change. Apply the same skepticism towards these political appointees that you apply towards the skeptics. Follow the government grant monies as equally as you do the allegations of oil money. Truly ask yourself just how much Pachuri/Gore/CRU/Mann/Hansen et al. have to lose if AGW, specifically co2 is a minor issue.

I haven't read the article, I have no idea what he's referring to.

But you have no problem with attacking the author. Confirmation bias. Steele does not meet your internal prerequisite for the authority to question the belief you adhere to so you retort by presenting issues outside of the scope of his critique.

Confirmation bias is what Steele was pointing out in his critique of Parmesan. You either missed that point or ignored it. Global temperature is irrelevant to Steele's issues. Its as irrelevant as average sea floor depth, or assigning a global mountain height average. It is a generalization of little use in any study including climate. There is no global climate and ‘fixing’ the global climate will not address the issues of the Blue and Skipper butterflies Steele references.

You said:
Me said:
The graphs were there showing you that the data has been manipulated. You do not explain why the well situated data was altered.

It was altered by Steele. He has taken uncalibrated data and presented it to you as calibrated data, which is a lie.

Raw Data is unmanipulated data and Steele presents it as Raw Data. Well situated stations do not need adjustments, they are accurate depictions of temperature at that station. Your own reference links describe the reasons to adjust temps yet these parameters were not present during the adjustments Steele talks about at his stations. These suspect adjustments have been noted by several persons, in multiple US locations (and as a sidenote in AU and NZ).

I suggest you read actual pro-wildlife sources instead of pro-energy sources pretending to be pro-wildlife:

This system uses [an] airport bird-strike avoidance radar to identify flocks of migrating birds and automatically shut down the wind project when the risk of collision is high.

http://www.abcbirds.org/newsandrepor...es/090612.html

Wow. Save the eagles is pro energy?

http://savetheeagles.wordpress.com/birdkill-pictures/

Please produce a map of these bird strike radar. I would like to see where they exist (in regards to the windfarms).

From your link abcbirds:

While these recent advances point towards a better regulated and more responsive wind industry, many projects that may still be very risky for birds are being fast-tracked. For example, several projects in the Great Plains states of North and South Dakota, Nebraska, and Kansas are going ahead without provisions to protect endangered Whooping Cranes. Cranes are well known to be at risk from collisions with electricity transmission lines, and thousands of turbines now being erected along the cranes’ migration route could provide an additional, serious hazard at a time when the population is already at a critically low level.

You do not seem to understand the limits of radar spotted bird migration.

http://virtual.clemson.edu/groups/birdrad/COM4A.HTM

The birds are not being tagged by the windfarms at their migration altitude. They are tagged on landing (for the most part), below typical radar range. Additionally, there are very few whoopers and when they migrate, they do so in small numbers reducing the potential of them even being seen by radar.

Page 7 (link below) shows how many stopovers only 20 gps tagged birds made on fall migration sept-nov 2011. Note, those 20 cranes did not migrate together either. They were in multiple groups, typically family units.

http://www.cranetrust.org/wp-conten...Partnership-2011-breeding-and-fall-update.pdf

I really debated whether or not to respond. I hate to say it but you have found your apocalypse, the high priests of climate have read the words of god (models) and declared repent you sinners or fry in the fires of hell. You have discovered the devil and his name is republican. To sway you from your belief is to argue with a born again about his/her salvation. Pointless.

However, others read the threads so here I am.

http://judithcurry.com/2013/10/18/trust-and-dont-bother-to-verify/

http://www.landscapesandcycles.net/
 
milkweed

AI has laboriously pointed out the falsity of your claims and your cites(step away from that corporate Kool-Aide). The simple fact is that natural processes affect climate, it's been measured throughout history(look up the "Little Ice Age" and it's causes). So if a volcano spewing CO2 into the atmosphere(among other noxious gasses)can cause an instant ice age, the principles of CO2 greenhouse effects are established. Nature does not know or care where these gasses come from, it will react according to this well established principle. If we spew ever more CO2 into the atmosphere over a single century(the increase is undeniably the result of burning stuff for energy), the effect is not so dramatic, it is smoother, it's spread out more but it is ultimately just as effective.

The second point I will make is that the climate denial sites are brought to you courtesy of the very same duo of industrialists that financed the recent doin's in our Congress and are every bit as driven by drivel as those events have been. Why the unnamed pair are not in jail charged with Sedition and Conspiracy to destroy the economy(not to mention attempted coup of the rightful government) I'll never understand, but their stench is rubbed all over your side of this debate as well. A wise man would walk away quietly, but if you must, by all means proceed.

Grumpy:cool:
 
milkweed
The simple fact is that natural processes affect climate, it's been measured throughout history(look up the "Little Ice Age" and it's causes).

The second point I will make is that the climate denial sites are brought to you courtesy of the very same duo of industrialists that financed the recent doin's in our Congress and are every bit as driven by drivel as those events have been.

Grumpy:cool:

Several causes have been proposed: cyclical lows in solar radiation, heightened volcanic activity, changes in the ocean circulation, an inherent variability in global climate, or decreases in the human population.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age

We really dont know what caused the LIA. Nor do we know what caused the various past warmings. We do know it wasnt Anthropologic co2.

And similar to A.I. you do not address any of the issues Steele (or now Curry) present rather you introduce

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisoning_the_well

Kool-aid comes in many flavors.
 
I haven't read the article, I have no idea what he's referring to.
But you have no problem with attacking the author [Steele].
Wrong article. I read what Steele wrote, which speaks for itself. What I did not read was a journal article he cited which I did not find in the public domain.

Confirmation bias.
Pot calling the kettle black. But I'm not even on the stove. There is such a thing as transparency, which means we have objective measures for quickly discovering that Steele is a fraud. My intent in establishing this first was to help you understand that there is no point in responding to fraudulent claims. Much in the manner of Republican propaganda, Steel is fabricating facts, giving them a scientific tinge by plotting certain data, but then lying to you about what the data says and what it means. So you see the reverse is true. If you swallow his deliberate lies hook, line and sinker, especially now that I have demonstrated the nature of his lies (in my prior posts) then it's you -- and the people who posted favorable remarks about him -- who are experiencing confirmation bias.

The only question here is what did Steele do, what did he say, how are those statements proven false, and then once they are proven false, what motivates a decision to project your confirmation bias onto me? This was why I asked you earlier if you are a Baptist minister. You haven't said yet where your bias originates, so I'm only left to speculate. I've often wondered if the Koch Brothers, or perhaps some church, has hired folks to logon to science boards under the pretense of being rational independent thinkers, but with the covert agenda of trying to validate the fabricated controversy over climate science (and evolution, the existence of God, etc.) A lot of it is purely expressed as technophobia, such as your fear and loathing of IPCC. So that's a connection you've planted in my brain which would like answers.

Steele does not meet your internal prerequisite
It's certainly not internal. All derision against him is entirely self-inflicted, and corroborated by experts all around the world. The man is a liar and a fraud and it looks like the liars in the Right Wing are happy to put him on a pedestal. That's politics, not science.

for the authority to question the belief
you are confusing belief with knowledge (again reminding me of a minister). Never the twain shall meet.

(the belief) you adhere to
The beliefs I adhere to are ideals, like "knowledge trumps ignorance". But evaluating Steele is different. It's the necessary result of knowing he lied, not any belief. The beauty of science is that we can all arrive at the same conclusions if we know the substantive facts necessary to infer new knowledge. And that process leads us to the conclusion that we know Steele is lying. That was my reason for dismissing him in the first place, but you discounted my remarks, which leads us to where we are now, namely, you are hoping that pseudo-science trumps actual science, although it's not clear what motivates you. That's the whole problem with the Right Wing. They seem to think all of human knowledge is subject to the same propaganda tactics employed by ICR. No, I adhere to knowledge, not much more. I adhere to the Rayleigh-Jeans Law, among other knowledge handed down during an era when fundamentalists hadn't yet thought to discredit science by throwing pseudo-science back at them. Again, you've turned the tables. This is about you adhering to pseudo-science, not me adhering to anything--other than actual knowledge. This basically sharpens the focus on why there is a Culture War. Those Who Know are being discredited by Those Who Don't. It's as simple as that, unless we pull back the veil a little more to peer into the treasury that funds pseudo-science, which consists of the real monsters, not IPCC, but Those Who Either Know Or Are Wealthy Enough To Find Out, But Who Don't Care, And Have No Qualms About Lying. Eventually a sincere discussion about this would boil down to that, but we don't expect to get very far with it, since the propagandists are always covert operatives. Steele is just their puppet, so the fact that he is out of the closet gets us nowhere unless someday it came out that he was on the Kochs' payroll.

so you retort by presenting issues outside of the scope of his critique.
It's never out of scope to reject a source for being unqualified, overtly biased, discredited and dishonest. Au contraire, we are obligated to check our sources before using them. That's why Biology 101 doesn't begin by teaching Genesis 1:1. It's not on the authorized list of source material for science, is it.

Confirmation bias is what Steele was pointing out in his critique of Parmesan. You either missed that point or ignored it.
I answered that in my prior post. I demonstrated that he lifted something Parmesan said and altered it by redacting what she actually said (such as more male turtles are produced as the ambient temp. rises), and he tried to give the false appearance that she made a recklessly unscientific conclusion. Another was his ludicrous claim that the 20 or so scientists who contributed to the article about the English butterfly had ignored the fact that rabbits eat the grass, and therefore their conclusions are recklessly unscientific. So I missed or ignored nothing. Again, it's the reverse. You missed or ignored the fact that I showed that Steele has accomplished nothing more than to advance unfounded and deliberately unscientific answers to various articles in the public domain, which he is basing his appeals to the Right Wing sheeples on. No one in the scientific community gives him an ounce of credit because he hasn't earned it. In fact he's seriously in default on his obligations to post objective scientific facts.

Global temperature is irrelevant to Steele's issues. Its as irrelevant as average sea floor depth, or assigning a global mountain height average. It is a generalization of little use in any study including climate. There is no global climate and ‘fixing’ the global climate will not address the issues of the Blue and Skipper butterflies Steele references.
You mean the issue that the investigators failed to account for rabbits eating the grass? In science, we don't elevate speculation to the status of an issue without evidence. So no, there is no issue there. All you've presented is the argument that Steele has an issue. Indeed, the man has issues. But his claims contain no issues. Just fabricated crap.

The case for global warming, as it attaches to Steele's feigned outrage over Dr. Parmesan is (as far as I can tell) based on his redaction of her remarks such as I just mentioned (ambient temp. affecting the percentage of male vs. female turtles that will hatch). This is one of the problems of demanding that we give him credibility, and that we actually entertain his claims as if they are real issues that deserve answers. Once we answer him with actual science, you're confronted by your own statement: You either missed that point or ignored it.

Raw Data is unmanipulated data and Steele presents it as Raw Data.
False and incorrect. He presents it as calibrated data, a term I am using loosely in hopes that you will catch on. There's a huge difference between raw and calibrated, which is what this whole game is all about. Steele knows it, at least there is no excuse for him not knowing it, but in any case his circumnavigation of this highly critical fact is what makes his writing so toxic. "Here, have some more poison. It's good for your brain. I'm ornithologist Jim Steele, and I approve this message."

Well situated stations do not need adjustments,
You're inventing the term well situated. Until you can correctly explain what it means to remove bias from data, and how we detect bias, and where it comes from, you haven't yet begun to understand what measurement science teaches. This gets back to allowing belief to trump science. As far as I can tell, you would be cured of this error by simply enrolling in a high school or freshman college class which involves making measurements in a lab.

they are accurate depictions of temperature at that station.
That's what you believe. Now go find out what we actually know about the data. There is a gaping hole between what we know and what you haven't yet learned.

Your own reference links describe the reasons to adjust temps yet these parameters were not present during the adjustments Steele talks about at his stations.
That's incorrect. I've read the Forest Ranger annotations for some of the sites he mentioned and it's obvious Steele is lying. Worse, he's trying to discredit the document I mentioned earlier, but he's not even telling you it exists. It's a stealthy attack on science, not giving it a chance to confront the accusations against it. But the document speaks for itself. You can see quite clearly in Steele's plots he's presenting uncalibrated conditions. I'm deliberately using that term instead of "inhomogeneous", so you don't go into too much shock about the actual work involved in the diligent pursuit of truth. But that's what Steele hopes you won't understand. And so far he's succeeded.

These suspect adjustments have been noted by several persons, in multiple US locations (and as a sidenote in AU and NZ).
Like UFO sightings, it doesn't matter what anecdotal reports come in off the wires. All that matters is the truth, and long ago we established ways of reporting newly discovered truths, which is by publication of the actual work that leads to the conclusions asserted. Obviously a lot of hard work is involved in analyzing many tech pubs. Steele wants you to believe that the day after a shade tree was felled and the instrument began running hotter, the climate in that particular locale coincidently gained energy, and remained warmer than usual. It's fraud, plain and simple -- but much easier than doing some actual work to find out what's true and what's false.

Wow. Save the eagles is pro energy?

http://savetheeagles.wordpress.com/birdkill-pictures/

Please produce a map of these bird strike radar. I would like to see where they exist (in regards to the windfarms).

From your link abcbirds:



You do not seem to understand the limits of radar spotted bird migration.

http://virtual.clemson.edu/groups/birdrad/COM4A.HTM

The birds are not being tagged by the windfarms at their migration altitude. They are tagged on landing (for the most part), below typical radar range. Additionally, there are very few whoopers and when they migrate, they do so in small numbers reducing the potential of them even being seen by radar.

Page 7 (link below) shows how many stopovers only 20 gps tagged birds made on fall migration sept-nov 2011. Note, those 20 cranes did not migrate together either. They were in multiple groups, typically family units.

http://www.cranetrust.org/wp-conten...Partnership-2011-breeding-and-fall-update.pdf

My point was to say (a) that the risk to wildlife was not known before the windmills went up and (b) now that we see harm being done, the solution is not to dismantle the windmills, but to divert the wildlife away from them. That's not an impossible task, it's being worked on, and there are some hopeful prospects for a solution. Anyone who argues contrary to this is pro-energy. Yes, you're "save the eagles" site appears to be a covert propaganda scheme from the folks who want to save the double eagles in their back pockets, while they are killing a lot more than eagles by clearing habitats, polluting ground water and dumping more carbon into the atmosphere. Among a laundry list of other things.

I really debated whether or not to respond.
I like conversing with you. Don't take offense, I'm really lashing out at the kingpins.

I hate to say it but you have found your apocalypse,
When we get to the heart of this, it's the apocalypse of carbon tax that has the Kochs on their knees sweating out hallucinations of a blood moon rolling up like a scroll (whatever all that crap was supposed to mean) while seven headed flying monsters (the carbon tax, Al Gore, Barack Obama, IPCC, NOAA, NASA and the National Academies) circle ominously overhead.

the high priests of climate have read the words of god (models) and declared repent you sinners or fry in the fires of hell. You have discovered the devil and his name is republican.
They just put the US on the grill went out for a beer and came back 18 days later only to decide that we're fully carbonized, so yeah, they are some mean dirty bastards and bitches. That's their modus operandi, and they will continue to sabotage the US and the world until we repeal Roe v Wade, stop teaching evolution, criminalize homosexuality, deport all aliens, send the blacks to back of the bus, legalize bazookas, shut down the IRS, dismantle the executive branch, and return to laissez faire. And of course that last part is all their sponsors care about. The rest can go to hell. Evidently they are looking for a return to something like the Roaring 20s, since they seem fixated on producing another crash.

To sway you from your belief is to argue with a born again about his/her salvation. Pointless.
This is the tired old mantra of the Right Wingers, that requires us to conclude that there is no such thing as science, since all of academia is obviously nothing more than a matter of brain washing. Somehow they have managed to get a few people who should know better onto their payrolls-- folks who they hold up as scientists. But they're all quacks. This is why academic freedom is so important and so valiantly fought for by scientists who take the time to get involved, or who pursue careers that give them vehicles of expressing the truth, even if they are buried in the technical esoterica of the publications such as Dr. Parmesan's, or the team she cites that researched the butterflies, or the link I gave that challenges you to figure out what data homogeneity is all about. These are mere atoms in a massive mountain of evidence silently being put forward every day by folks who strive for the truth. There is nothing different about the nature of work for a climate scientist than there is for a physicist who is hoping to devise a better solar cell, or a radio engineer trying to build a device that diverts wildlife away from a windmill, or any of countless tasks and careers people dedicate themselves to in order to solve actual problems that cause actual harm.

So far all you have done is to project onto me all of the errors and fallacies I've uncovered in your posts. In this case, equating science with brainwashed religious devotees looks like a reflex response to my suggestion that you might be a minister. As I mentioned before, that huge difference is that the scientific mind rejects belief over knowledge, so that entire caricature you constructed simply falls apart.

That being said, I would offer that there is an element of science that reminds us of the ideals of religion (what religion aspires to, not what it achieves). And that is this: we value the truth. You could say we hold truth sacred. That would be about as far as I would go in comparing the ideology of scientists with that of religious people. Unlike religions, scientists do not live under the scourge of being excommunicated for blasphemy against any institution, but only for blaspheming nature. And that's what Steele, Singer, and the nuts Photizo posted are doing. And that's why no one who knows any science pays any attention to them.

Whoa dude. What a pile of crap.

Aha so Steele is selling a book. So: that's what's in it for him. Let me add a review:

Whatever you do, don't buy Jim Steele's book! He is a lying conniving enemy of the public interest. "Landscapes and Cycles: An Environmentalist's Journey to Climate Skepticism" is a title designed to pump more junk science into the dumpster he and a few other opportunists have filled with vapid claims, manufactured controversy, redacted citations, grandstanding and pure bullshit. You can get just as much truth about how things work by learning all of your science from the Institute for Creation Research. On the other hand, if you want to actually learn something, go to school. Get up, you lard-asses, and crack a book. Take all the money you waste on curly-fries and Republican donations, and go out and hire a motivational coach to get you back into the game. For the Love of Pete buy a chemistry textbook before wasting your money on Steele's idiotic book--it's just a covert propaganda straight from the playbook of the Koch Brothers. Go back to school, knucklehead! Who do you think you're fooling, pretending to be smarter than people who actually cracked the books and bothered to actually do the work, solve the questions given in the lab classes, and took the time and effort to actually learn the material needed to pass the exams? Get off the gas! You're just a dumb Bozo, and you know it! But it's not too late! Today you can practically get a degree with a TV remote in one hand and a sack of Cheetos in the other! Yeah, I'm talking about online education -- Univ. of Arizona, that sort of thing! In the mean time, feel free to visit SciForums.com and see if you can understand the difference between scientific information and sheer propaganda. Start by reading some of the links given to university and government sites, and, if you can handle it, any of the journal articles posted. Become a member! Start asking questions! There are plenty of educators, scholars, and professionals trained in science and engineering who will be glad to offer what they know! It's really not that hard -- er, once you know the ropes. OK so the ropes are hard. Get over it, we can make it a helluva lot easier for you than it was for us! So what's it going to be, folks? Knucklehead :wallbang: or hip enough to ask questions :cool: ? You decide. But forget Steele, and don't waste your money.
 
No, I adhere to knowledge, not much more. I adhere to the Rayleigh-Jeans Law, among other knowledge handed down during an era when fundamentalists hadn't yet thought to discredit science by throwing pseudo-science back at them.
Conservation of mass.
Conservation of Energy.
The laws of stoichiometry.
Rayleigh Jeans Law.
Simple Harmonic Motion (and subsequently quantum mechanics).
Stefan-Boltzman Law
Inverse Square Law.
Laws of reflection.
Beer-Lambert Law.

Even then I'm fairly sure the list is incomplete.
 
milkweed

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age

We really dont know what caused the LIA. Nor do we know what caused the various past warmings. We do know it wasnt Anthropologic co2.

http://www.csmonitor.com/Science/20...tions-emerge-as-lead-cause-for-Little-Ice-Age

See what comes of remaining willfully ignorant of science? It was large quantities of CO2 and acids injected into the stratisphere. This affected the climate, the circulation of the ocean changed and the Gulf Stream quit ferrying warm water to England and Northern Europe for centuries. Voila, Little Ice Age.

And similar to A.I. you do not address any of the issues Steele (or now Curry) present rather you introduce

Like AI, I don't bother with debunking known liars and industry shills. The Kochs bought quite a few. They sold their integrity and now have none, just like the scientists who fought the smoking/cancer research, you can not believe a single word they say. If the recent actions of the Republicans taught you nothing about the character of the Koch brothers I can't help you. And these "scientists" are supported by those exact same Koch brothers, for the exact same reasons(greed and lust for power). Their father was deeply involved with the John Birch Society and those apples didn't fall far from the tree.

Grumpy:cool:
 
Wrong article. I read what Steele wrote, which speaks for itself. What I did not read was a journal article he cited which I did not find in the public domain.

You lifted from a different article and ignored Steele reference. It was ME who posted the turtle reference to show more of Parmesans bias. How did female turtles get born in colder times? It was habitat variety allowing for multiple nesting site options.

You mean the issue that the investigators failed to account for rabbits eating the grass? In science, we don't elevate speculation to the status of an issue without evidence.

The speculation is Parmesan climate linkage. It was land use changes that impacted the checkerspots and blues. The speculation is that somehow this minor warming is different.

Once we answer him with actual science, you're confronted by your own statement: You either missed that point or ignored it.
But you havent used actual science. Neither has Parmesan. Your rebuttals refer to different articles that do not dispute Steeles points, consist of logical fallacies or draw upon irrelevant points, such as global temperature (which doesnt exist).

False and incorrect. He presents it as calibrated data, a term I am using loosely in hopes that you will catch on.
It is CLEARLY marked Raw data. Your own links advise against homogenizing data that doesnt show a need such as station move/change in equipment. And of course your using the term loosely, your foundation is built upon sand.

You're inventing the term well situated. Until you can correctly explain what it means to remove bias from data, and how we detect bias, and where it comes from, you haven't yet begun to understand what measurement science teaches.
I posted a link directly to NOAA and their station siting. No one has shown the need to remove bias from the stations Steele is talking about.
I'm deliberately using that term instead of "inhomogeneous", so you don't go into too much shock about the actual work involved in the diligent pursuit of truth. But that's what Steele hopes you won't understand. And so far he's succeeded.

Except the above again avoids the real point Steele is making. Data that is not subjected to station/equipment change is accurate and doesnt need homogeneity. Posting a tutorial about the function avoids the situtation Steele points out. This data has been changed without a station/equipment move.

Steele wants you to believe that the day after a shade tree was felled and the instrument began running hotter, the climate in that particular locale coincidently gained energy, and remained warmer than usual. It's fraud, plain and simple -- but much easier than doing some actual work to find out what's true and what's false.
Except this is not what Steele is saying. Yours is the fabrication.

My point was to say (a) that the risk to wildlife was not known before the windmills went up and (b) now that we see harm being done, the solution is not to dismantle the windmills, but to divert the wildlife away from them.
But that isnt what you said, nor implied with your answer. People have been documenting birds hitting transmission lines and there were many concerns for the raptor population brought up during the debate on the construction of Altamount Pass windfarm. You must be too young to have been alive during the debate and the reassurances that the birds will just fly around them.

There is ONE wild population of Whooping cranes any your answer is to re-route this wild population? To where? So its OK if wind energy wipes golden eagles from Cal, destroys the last wild Whooper population but its GREEN! lol

Snip the rest of the irrelevant rant.
 
Steele said:
...The rationale for homogenization is based on the dubious assumption that all neighboring weather stations should display the same climate trends....

It's not an assumption, it was an observation made back in 1984 or 1986 (I think it was) that while the absolute values may differ there was good correlations in the trends observed at stations seperated by up to 400km (I think that's right). It wasn't an abrupt cutoff - the further apart the stations were, the weaker the correlation.
 
milkweed

http://www.csmonitor.com/Science/20...tions-emerge-as-lead-cause-for-Little-Ice-Age

See what comes of remaining willfully ignorant of science? It was large quantities of CO2 and acids injected into the stratisphere. This affected the climate, the circulation of the ocean changed and the Gulf Stream quit ferrying warm water to England and Northern Europe for centuries. Voila, Little Ice Age.
Quite a leap there. They found a huge volcano. OK. They note the 'year without a summer' that happens around the time of the eruption. OK. A year without a summer can happen with a large volcano. This is the LIA you are talking about, more than a year, more than a decade, more than a century. Then they produce models.

I am not fond of models.

It is a giant leap from model to proof the LIA was caused by volcanos (two of which are described in article with one not showing up in N. Hemi samples). Keep looking boys. I still am not convinced we know what caused the LIA (or various warmings).

BTW, you are not really suggesting that co2 caused the LIA are you? You do mean particulates right?
Like AI, I don't bother with debunking known liars and industry shills. The Kochs bought quite a few. They sold their integrity and now have none, just like the scientists who fought the smoking/cancer research, you can not believe a single word they say. If the recent actions of the Republicans taught you nothing about the character of the Koch brothers I can't help you. And these "scientists" are supported by those exact same Koch brothers, for the exact same reasons(greed and lust for power). Their father was deeply involved with the John Birch Society and those apples didn't fall far from the tree.

Grumpy:cool:

But you havent debunked anything. You are still resorting to (multiple) logical fallacies. Curry, Steele, etc have no known ties that I am aware of to these people/politics. Its also a red-herring (as the kindest attribution) to post issues with smoking studies that neither of these two have any association with.
 
milkweed said:
I still am not convinced we know what caused the LIA (or various warmings).
Then why not err on the safe side by advocating a conservative approach to human existence and try to minimize our environmental impact as much as reasonably possible. What would you have to lose?
 
It's not an assumption, it was an observation made back in 1984 or 1986 (I think it was) that while the absolute values may differ there was good correlations in the trends observed at stations seperated by up to 400km (I think that's right). It wasn't an abrupt cutoff - the further apart the stations were, the weaker the correlation.

http://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/mesomap.cgi?

Drop down California.

Marysville is located within 5 miles of Yuba city (north of Sacramento).
Orland is nne of Yuba city.

Please tell me which of these stations is accurate? There is a wide variety of temps within a small distance. Isnt it quite possible, more than likely actually, that different locations can have accurate reading and still display temp variations of several degrees, even if all stations are well situated? But lets homogenize the data. Piecemeal. In several stages. With different agencies adding to/taking away from the data.

And lose the originals (ie Phil Jones).
 
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